Hello,
I haven't really posted in a while but i have been actively snooping(brain farting on the word that's typically used). Anyways, I'm not here to prove anything I win and lose like everyone else. I'm earnestly hoping that someone finds the information I provide useful and hopefully someone else will provide me information when I am lacking.
The play I really like today is Tampa Bay. Offensively, Tampa bay has significantly more starters that are peaking, while Boston is trending the otherway. Defensively, Boston is definitely superior on the in field but slightly weaker on the outfield. I believe the line is as inflated as it is, because a lot of people are banking that Sale brings his MVP form game when nothing about the way he's been playing indicates that will be the case. Then there is the fact that Chirinos recent performance against NY doesn't look great on paper. From what I can tell, when Chirinos trusts his outfield to make plays for him, good things happen. However, when he tries to carry the team on his back, he gets rocked pretty hard. But I think they will adjust to this information accordingly. As far as the bullpen, TB is obviously deeper and well versed in advanced statistics. Boston on the other hand will have an optimal pitching game if Sale somehow goes 7 innings but I doubt he goes over 6 today. Even if he's gets bombed early, expect Boston to keep him in at least 5 innings due to a lack of bullpen prowess.
Tampa bay is also extremely humid today but I honestly do not know how humidity affects an roofed field.
What do you guys think?