Taking a shot with the Twins tonight (Stewart > Cahil)
150 to win 250 Twins ml (+165)
100 to win 105 Twins +1.5
20% of tickets on Twins ml + run line. However, line moving with the public: opened A's -152 / Twins +142 vs current A's -184 / Twins +165.
I don't advocate betting against this kind of line movement (even if it's fading the public) or use the word "value" in describing a line.... but I think Stewart is worth a shot pitching at home tonight. Stewarts 1st start for the
Twins was last week - he ended up in a jam with bases loaded 2nd inning vs White Sox and couldn't get out. From what I saw - his mechanics / composure did not seem that bad - he just got in a jam. That said, who knows what he has to offer and I will take the risk vs Cahil. Cahil on the other hand, has pitched very well this year - but he is hittable. Rolling the dice here