[The HG]

Houston/Washington under (9 -115): These lineups just aren't strong enough to get into double digits easily at RFK, and tonight the starting pitching may be a bit better than it was yesterday when the game went to 7.

Chris Sampson can be effective at times, and here against a so-so lineup in a pitchers' park off of rest from the break, he is likely to have a good start. On the other side, Tim Redding is a bit of a crap shoot, but if he can go 5 innings or so and give up 3 runs or so, the under should have a better chance of winning than the over IMO.





Cubs ML (-135): Once again, San Francisco will be hard-pressed to come away with a win in this one. Their team is sluggish and lifeless, and not in good shape to keep up with a lively team like the Cubs for 9 innings. SF has lost 4 in a row since the break, and they'll probably have to wait to face less challenging teams before they start winning again.

Barry Zito has been on and off this year, and the Cubs hit lefties significantly worse than righties, but even if Zito has a good start, the Cubs will likely have a decent shot at winning anyway. For the Cubs to have a real chance, Zito will have to pitch 8 innings or more, and give up 2 runs or fewer, which is of course a real possibility, but not likely enough to justify a line this low IMO.





Dodgers ML (-135): The Dodgers are really playing well, and winning, and it's probably not a fluke. Their offense is impressively complete, balanced, and has speed, which is useful in getting things going at a lot of NL parks, including their own.

Philadelphia has some pop in their lineup, but they are not a resilient or winning team in general, and in this game they will be at a particular disadvantage since they will be starting J.D. Durbin, someone who has not shown much either in the majors or minors this year. Facing a big league offense as complete as the Dodgers' is does not bode well for him.

On the other side, Mark Hendrickson has been improving the last few years, and is always capable of a quality 6 or 7-inning start, especially at home. The fact that he pitched 2 innings of relief 3 days ago is a bit worrisome, but not enough so to detract significantly from the Dodgers' value here IMO. They have a deep and effective bullpen that should be able to go 4 or 5 innings if necessary, and will make Philadelphia earn their runs, which Philadelphia tends not to do too well.

[LGBoots]

With you on those 3 Ganch

Was going to go for Texas but delayed too much & the price is down to +142 from +151

Not sure if there is any value at that level but I fancy Texas might just spank Oakland again tonight,

[The HG]

With you on those 3 Ganch

Was going to go for Texas but delayed too much & the price is down to +142 from +151

Not sure if there is any value at that level but I fancy Texas might just spank Oakland again tonight,

I don't really like Texas at all in this one, Tejeda is exactly what won't work against Oakland at McAfee. Oakland has a patient lineup, they'll wait him out on his control issues, and if he starts walking guys, they'll get enough runs to win. Someone with good control, a contact pitcher, would do well against Oakland at McAfee, and Tejeda is the opposite of that, and bad at his style on top of it, at least this year.

[bigboydan]

I'm liking your Dodgers play Mr.HG. Whats your thoughts on that total?

[The HG]

I'm liking your Dodgers play Mr.HG. Whats your thoughts on that total?

Very iffy IMO. Everyone is loving the over, and I myself took it last night at 8.5, figuring it was the kind of bet that I felt confident I'd be able to take back at a locked-in profit if I didn't want it, and that if I did decide I liked it in the end, obviously it would be better to have it at 8.5 than 9.

But it makes me a bit nervous, I'm going to wait to check the weather and lineups, and may take it back depending.

[Da Manster!]

HI Ganch,
I'm relatively new to the forums, (been posting a lot on the sportsbook.com withdrawals thread)...just curious, which book(s) do you use?!...I book with 5 different offshore accounts but soon to be limited exclusively to two because of super slow payout issues...I also respect the fact that you post your picks on the forum and give a brief in-depth analysis...good luck to you, bro...I only do totals in baseball...it's what works for me and I've been moderately sucessful at it for the last six years or so.

[The HG]

HI Ganch,
I'm relatively new to the forums, (been posting a lot on the sportsbook.com withdrawals thread)...just curious, which book(s) do you use?!...I book with 5 different offshore accounts but soon to be limited exclusively to two because of super slow payout issues...I also respect the fact that you post your picks on the forum and give a brief in-depth analysis...good luck to you, bro...I only do totals in baseball...it's what works for me and I've been moderately sucessful at it for the last six years or so.

If it's worth it to you, you can set things up so you can use any book anywhere in the world, but it's a hassle. If you don't need huge limits though, Matchbook/5Dimes/Bet Jamaica is a decent combo for US players. Of course, with this combo, exotic bets like parlays and 5 innings lines, etc etc, are much less favorable than if you had all the options, but what can I say.

[Da Manster!]

Actually, I use bookmaker and diamond...both are A+ books, offer high limits, and payout superfast without the hassle and bs excuses like "processing" and "backlog" issues which is what I encountered at sportsbook.com (still waiting for my $2500 check since May 30th, but they tell me it's on the way and no, I won't hold my breath)....Once payment is received, I'm through with them until they get their shit straightened out and even then I'm not sure I'll go back to them as this horrible experience has put a rather nasty and bitter taste in my mouth...Anyhow, I was just curious as to what you preferred and why...thanks for your input.