8/26/17

111-133-7, RoR –7.64% (vs 11/10 odds 48.4%)

Mets-Nationals Under 4.5, -117, F5, Gsellman / Gonzalez

BOL

UNDER: I don’t particularly like Bill Welke behind the plate, but; Gonzalez is the most undervalued pitcher in MLB so far this year. Impeccable credentials with an 87.8 rating, 20-5 for quality starts and 18-7 for head-to-head wins. Gsellman has been a disappointment overall but his last two starts were quality efforts and the opponents were the Yankees and D-bax, so maybe he has turned a corner. Both offenses are a little weak right now and it is showing up clearly in their recent numbers overall and versus lefty/righty, respectively. There should be a mild breeze (7-8 mph) blowing directly in at home plate that is really not much of a consideration.

Only play of the day.