[FUqer]

SDQL 5/24

ALL = Yesterday 7-5 (Total 179-155)
SU = Yesterday 4-2 (Total 98-74)
RL = Yesterday 1-0 (Total 22-26)
OU = Yesterday 2-3 (Total 59-55)
---------------------------------

SU

PLAY: The Orioles are 20-0 SU at home as a favorite after a home loss in which they did not score after the third inning.


team = Orioles and HF and p:HL and p:S3 = p:runs and date >= 20120926



PLAY: The Orioles are 12-0 SU since Sep 26, 2012 as a home favorite off a home game in which they were shutout.


team = Orioles and HF and p:H and p:runs = 0 and date >= 20120926



PLAY: The Orioles are 11-0 SU since Oct 04, 2015 when Chris Tillman starts in an afternoon game.


team=Orioles and starter=Chris Tillman and DAY and date>=20151004



PLAY: The Astros are 44-14 SU and 15-1 SU L16 as a Home Favorite in the 3rd game of a series after winning the first two.


team=Astros and HF and SG=3 and p:W and pp:W



FADE: The Pirates are 3-22 SU off a one-run loss as a dog.


team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816



FADE: The Pirates are 1-15 SU since Aug 16, 2014 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they lost by one run.


team=Pirates and A and p:AD and p:margin=-1 and date>=20140816



PLAY: The Red Sox are 22-1 SU since Apr 25, 2013 as a 200+ favorite after they held a multiple-run lead last game.


team = Red Sox and line<=-200 and p:BL > 1 and date >= 20130425



PLAY: The Royals (266-242 +21.0% ROI)


AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2



FADE: The Yankees are 1-12 SU+RL as a home favorite when their opponents starting pitcher has same-season-revenge and it is not the first game of a series.


team = Yankees and HF and oS:L and oS:season = season and SG > 1 and date >= 20150509



FADE: The Phillies (98-145 -22.3% ROI)


-140<=line<=120 and p:margin<=-4 and pp:margin<=-4 and op:runs>=8 and H and SG<4 and total<11



FADE: The Mariners (48-133 -35.8% ROI)


team=Mariners and po:hits>=12 and AD



PLAY: The Nationals (103-54 +11.1% ROI)


HF and line<-130 and line>-160 and p:margin>7 and p:margin<10



PLAY: The Rays (967-579 +11.8% ROI)


H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)



------------

RL

FADE: The Athletics are 0-17 RL as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they left 18+ men on base and it is not a series opener.


team = Athletics and SG > 1 and F and p:H and p:F and 18 <= p:LOB and date >= 20140806



PLAY: The Mariners are 15-0 RL as a 140-plus dog after they allowed six-plus runs and it is not a series opener.


team = Mariners and SG > 1 and 140 <= line and 6 <= po:runs and date >= 20130529



PLAY: The White Sox are 21-4 RL as a road dog after they hit multiple home runs and it is not a series opener.


team = White Sox and SG > 1 and A and D and p:HR > 1 and date >= 20150604



------------

OU

OVER: The Cardinals are 16-1 OU as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent.


team = Cardinals and D and p and p:SII < po:SII and date >= 20150711



OVER: The Braves are 16-2 OU at home after they allowed 12-plus hits.


team = Braves and H and 12 <= po:hits and date >= 20160612



OVER: Teams on 3 str8 Overs or more. (84-54 +15.3% ROI)
(Athletics, Mets, Rockies, Red Sox)


________________

SU

Orioles
Astros
Braves
Red Sox
Royals
Rockies
Nationals
Rays

RL

Marlins +1.5
Mariners +1.5
White Sox +1.5

OU

Cardinals/Dodgers Over
Pirates/Braves Over
Marlins/Athletics Over
Padres/Mets Over
Rockies/Phillies Over
Rangers/Red Sox Over
Twins/Orioles Under

___________________________________

[FUqer]

Chris Tillman L17 starts.

OU:	2-15-0 (-1.65, 11.8%)	avg total: 8.8	over / under: -$1,410 / +$1,260	ROI: -77.9% / +65.1%

[FUqer]

A few things I found but won't be adding as a play.


Jose Quintana has just a 6-22 team record in day starts, Under 20-8.

D-Backs who have been good vs lefties last few years, are just 5-13 during a day game at Home vs a lefty since 2014, Under 5-12-1.

Red Sox 9-1 SU & 7-3 RL L10 at Home vs a Lefty, Over 6-3-1.

Rangers 10-2 SU and 11-1 RL as a Road dog after giving up 10 or more runs.


NL on Road vs AL this season = 3-7, contrast to last season. (early)
AL on Road vs NL this season = 7-3, contrast to last season. (early)