[FUqer]

SDQL 5/19

ALL = Yesterday 7-4 (Total 147-122)
SU = Yesterday 4-2 (Total 82-58)
RL = Yesterday 0-1 (Total 19-24)
OU = Yesterday 3-1 (Total 46-40)
---------------------------------

SU

FADE: The Rockies are 0-17 SU in the first game of a road series off a loss as a dog in which they never led.


team = Rockies and FGS and A and p and p:BL = 0 and p:L and date >= 20130806



FADE: The Angels are 0-15 SU as a road dog off a game as a favorite in which Mike Trout hit a home run.


team = Angels and AD and p:F and Angels:Mike Trout:home runs > 0 and date >= 20130512



FADE: The Pirates are 1-17 SU since Sep 15, 2008 in the first game of a series after a game as a home dog in which they had multiple multiple-run innings.


team = Pirates and p:HD and p:MRI > 1 and SG = 1 and date >= 20080915



PLAY: The Tigers are 17-1 SU as a home favorite in the first game of a series off a home game when playing a team that has a better record.


team = Tigers and FGS and H and F and p:H and WP < o:WP and date >= 20120619



FADE: The Rangers are 1-15 SU as a road dog after a game in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.


team = Rangers and AD and po:TLOB < p:TLOB and date >= 20160702



PLAY: The Indians (1000 game sample +11.4% ROI)


playoffs=0 and D and 120<=line<=200 and WP<=60 and o:WP>=60 and 8.5<=total<=11 and game number>30 and o:STR



PLAY: The Cubs are 22-4 SU L26 games as a Home Favorite in the first game of a series vs a team with more wins than losses.


team=Cubs and HF and o:wins>losses and FGS and date>=20160426



FADE: The Yankees ( 60-93 (-30.3% ROI)


s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5



PLAY: The Blue Jays (530-365 +10.7% ROI)


(p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)



PLAY: The Giants (263-241 +20.7% ROI)


AD and season > 2010 and month != 7 and p:hits < 8 and pp:hits > 6 and 18 > ppp:hits > 2 and pppp:hits > 5 and 17 > ppppp:hits > 4 and 16 > op:hits > 6 and s:SRA < 6 and streak > -5 and SG < 4 and line < 190 and total < 10.01 and 1.9 > STDSWHIP > 1.2



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RL

FADE: The Mets are 0-18 RL in the first game of a series as a home favorite off a road game in which they hit multiple home runs.


team = Mets and FGS and H and F and p:A and p:HR > 1 and date >= 20070511



FADE: The Cardinals are 0-15 RL as a home favorite off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead.


team = Cardinals and HF and p:LD and p:BL > 0 and date >= 20110502



FADE: The Diamondbacks are 0-14 RL when they are off two one-run wins.


team=Diamondbacks and p:margin=1 and pp:margin=1 and date>=20120914



------------

OU

OVER: The Nationals are 10-0-1 OU as a 140+ favorite off a road game in which they allowed 6+ runs - since May 04, 2016.


team=Nationals and p:A and line<=-140 and 6 <= po:runs and date>=20160504



OVER: The Braves are 15-2 OU at home after they allowed 12-plus hits.


team = Braves and H and 12 <= po:hits and date >= 20160612



UNDER: White Sox/Mariners and Angels/Mets (287-197 +12.7% ROI)


H and REG and 6.5<=total<=8 and total/2<=STDSERA<=5.25 and total/2<=o:STDSERA<=5.25 and 1.25<=STDSWHIP<=1.55 and 1.25<=o:STDSWHIP<=1.55 and season>=2007



OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs (+17.7% ROI)
(Indians, Red Sox, Braves, Cubs, White Sox, Blue Jays, Rays, Reds)


date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O



________________

SU



Phillies
Tigers
Indians
Cubs
Rays
Blue Jays
Giants

RL

Angels +1.5
Giants +1.5
Padres +1.5

OU

Nationals/Braves Over
Angels/Mets Under
Indians/Astros Over
Red Sox/Athletics Over
Brewers/Cubs Over
Blue Jays/Orioles Over
Yankees/Rays Over
Rockies/Reds Over
___________________________________

[FUqer]

I'm going to go ahead and cancel out the Reds as a play for the reason why I played faded them today.

Teams on 6 game losing streak as a Home Dog are -16.1% ROI (46-77) and even if they are a favorite, it's not good either at -12.1% ROI.

The Mets are in a similar spot at 7 game losing streak as a Home Fav with a -11.1% ROI.

Sometimes I play on losing streaks if the ROI is there, but not the case with these two.

[FUqer]

Best two of the day are Indians and Blue Jays, IMO, nice sample size and ROI.