[stevenash]

Game 1 pick UNDER 7.5 runs

2014 Cy Young award winner and probable 2016 Cy Young award winning pitcher Kluber coming off a no run 7 K 7 inning outing versus hard hitting Red Sox was 18-9 with a 3.14 ERA and a nasty 1.06 WH/IP squaring off against Marco Estrada who despite a 9-9- record had a career year posting 1.12 WH/IP and 3.48 ERA

Fireworks will come later in the series, feeling here is both teams come out a little tight, Kluber is a strikeout machine, while not quite Kershaw elite, is in a class of a few starters half notch below.
Indians bats will get theirs too later in the series, just not tonight, expect pitchers duel.

Inclined to bet Kluber and Indians in game 1, reluctant to lay -140 will pass.

INDIANS +120 to win series

There's your value play right here.
With Salazar the Indians have the better starting pitching, without Salazar the two teams are even in this series regarding starting pitching.

Cleveland is forced to use Tomlin as their number 2 starter, and that's not what he is, he's a middle of the rotation guy that can eat up six innings for your bullpen, he's not your prototypical number 2 guy, Kluber is a big boy ace though, Tomlin was effective vs. Red Sox in prior series however.

Undecided (most likely Trevor Bauer) In game 3 is capable, but I've been disappointed with him.

Don't sleep on Blue Jays starters, used to be a butt end of a joke Toronto now has a solid core at the front end of the rotation with Estrada now who has put up good numbers past two regular seasons, and from out nowhere JA Happ wins 20 games, never in your life did you expect 20 game winner to be attached in front of JA Happ's name. That wasn't a fluke, his 1.12 WH/IP across 32 starts proves this is not a mistake. Sanchez was a surprise 15 game winner, but don't trust him in big games, last start he got clobbered. Getting back to JA Happ, his post season numbers are brutal, he's a bad post season pitcher.

Running out of time here.

Everyone knows about the Blue Jays and the way they mash long balls, Encarncion, Joey Bats, Tulo, JD and on and on and on, what the casual fan does not know is Indians hit for a higher slugging percentage. Indians have scored more runs, Indians have clear advantage in batting average, but because Toronto does walk a lot, the OBA is wash.

Toronto has much more power, Indians overall have the better hitting.
Defense, you can make a case for Toronto being the better of the two, Donaldson is a stud at third base, and Pillar is a whiz in the outfield yet if you are outside of Toronto you would not know this.

Everything is pretty much even up until you get to the bullpens.

Here's the difference the way I see it in the series.

Cleveland has Allen and Miller in the 'pen, and Toronto does not.
Tribe in seven games.

INIDANS to win the Series +120
200 gets you 240

Under 7.5 runs in game 1
1* 100 dollar play there.

Crack of Bud or two.
Sit your ass in front of the big screen
And enjoy some big boy hardball fellas.

Best of luck

[fieryking]

I like your analysis and calls.

I'm on Indians -137 game 1, almost passed as well

[CanuckG]

Jays better starters and offense. Indians better D and bullpen. Should be a good series.

[stevenash]

I like your analysis and calls.

I'm on Indians -137 game 1, almost passed as well

Appreciate your words.
Thanks.

[stevenash]

Jays better starters and offense. Indians better D and bullpen. Should be a good series.

I'm expecting seven games.
Both teams can pick it, Happ is awful in October tough, and can you trust Sanchez in a big game?

[Booya711]

I hope Cleveland beats the fukk out of these Canadians....fukk em

talk and fukk with Texans...Canadians will be trashed

[Bostongambler]

Nice write up Steve Nash

[xdodger19]

strong stuff

[pilebuck13]

Good hit Nash

[stevenash]

CLEVELAND INDIANS +117 - GAME 2

I have to stay with the Cleveland Indians

a) you can't fade this post season winning streak.
Indians have not lost a post season game yet.
Respect the streak and all that.
Indians are on a special magic carpet ride

b) I like home dogs.
Getting +117 in a game where I think the home team should be -105 or -110 I'm on 8 days a week.

c) Indians (depending on what metrics you use are a top five offense versus LHP, and the last time I saw Happ pitch he was left handed.

d) Even though the sample size is not very large, JA Happ is a terrible post season pitcher with a WH/IP almost touching 2.00

I'm buying 100 dollars worth of "Sons of Wahoo"
Indians 100 gets 117 - GAME 2

p.s. Not touching Cubs or game one Cubs
Why? I don't lay 2 to 1 in baseball.

[stevenash]

Cleveland Team Total over 3.5 runs

Stroman has given up 21 HR's this season, has an ERA of almost 4 1/2.
Indians are guaranteed a ninth inning at bat (very important) and even though they scored 2 runs in each of the last 2 games, expect them to resume raking tonight.

I like this better than the game total because of Indians lock down bullpen.

[stevenash]

CLEVELAND INDIANS +113 OVER TORONTO

Stick a fork in the Blue Jays, they are done.
Toronto is to the American League as the Nationals are to the NL, being the next relevant series they win will be their first one.

Blue Jays are DOA, I expect them to roll over and play dead tonight.
Kluber all night, Indians are on a mission from God, Blue Jays just suck when it matters in October

[jazzyj7]

Damn you killed this series. nice predictions.

[tennis005]

How have you been Steve, I can't believe I missed this thread. I was leaning towards Indians, just can't believe how bad Jays hitting is. Do you think this game goes over 7.5?