Originally Posted by
BuddyBear
Good luck Carlos....there are a lot of problems with this methodology.
1) Not everyone posts who goes on gaming forums so you have a very unrepresentative sample
2) Picks are not in real time (i.e. I did not committ to Philadelphia till I got the best possible line at the last second and that's what most people should do when making picks...they should have sbrodds up along with their sportsbook)
3) People don't routinely post....some days they post, some days they don't.
4) The degree of confidence individuals have with their picks varies. Thus not all picks are equal.
Most importantly,
5) Most gaming forum posters lose and are long-term losers.....I'd estimate that about 20% win.