1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Sunday, 8/14/16

    4 MLB Plays Sunday

    Rays +102 (Bookmaker)
    Astros / Blue Jays UNDER 9 -115 (Heritage)
    Phillies +122 (5 Dimes)
    Orioles / Giants UNDER 7.5 -120 (Heritage)


    YTD: 341-354-17, -5.27

  2. #2
    lonegambler
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    Giabts under i like but think yanks win severino will pitch good today and kids look good

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Mets 67% (-203)
    Cleveland 62% (-163)
    Washington 68% (-213)
    Boston 61% (-156)
    San Francisco 62% (-163)
    Dodgers 63% (-170)
    Cubs 63% (-170)

  4. #4
    hondo5
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    If you like Tampa then why not the under 9? Tampa not a juggernaut offensively. Guessing you like odorizzi to shut the yanks down?

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by hondo5 View Post
    If you like Tampa then why not the under 9? Tampa not a juggernaut offensively. Guessing you like odorizzi to shut the yanks down?
    Model is practically right on total at 8.9, Severino rates well below average

  6. #6
    McCarthyFam
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    what are your thoughts on pitching matchup with white sox and marlins. what # do you get? thanks

  7. #7
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    YTD: 341-354-17, -5.27


    Break even very very soon !



  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by McCarthyFam View Post
    what are your thoughts on pitching matchup with white sox and marlins. what # do you get? thanks
    Despite starting pitching mismatch in favor of Sale, only White Sox 55% (-122) on the road. Points to nice Miami edges elsewhere.

  9. #9
    McCarthyFam
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    okay thanks. line getting a little to juicy for me now anyways. good luck today!

  10. #10
    RavensFan2k3
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    Damn, I played the Yankees the past two games and I think I'll be on them here too. I think Houston looks good here though

  11. #11
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Damn, I played the Yankees the past two games and I think I'll be on them here too. I think Houston looks good here though
    Rays -1.5 +180

    Yanks -1.5 +177

    this wont end in a 1 run final...

  12. #12
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    You got serious line movement on philli not liking it

  13. #13
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    You got serious line movement on philli not liking it
    Saw that.......

  14. #14
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    Rays -1.5 +180

    Yanks -1.5 +177

    this wont end in a 1 run final...
    i might do that, but what if it does end in a 1 run game lol

  15. #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    You got serious line movement on philli not liking it
    I LOVE it personally since I am on right side of movement. I obviously would not like it if I had not bet the game yet.

  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Addition

    5 MLB Plays Sunday

    Rays +102 (Bookmaker)
    Astros / Blue Jays UNDER 9 -115 (Heritage)
    Phillies +122 (5 Dimes)
    Reds +104 (DSI)
    Orioles / Giants UNDER 7.5 -120 (Heritage)

  17. #17
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    i might do that, but what if it does end in a 1 run game lol
    Then here's your chance to beat Funny 25......

  18. #18
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    Rays -1.5 +180

    Yanks -1.5 +177

    this wont end in a 1 run final...
    my book has Rays -1.5 at +151 and Yanks -1.5 at +178
    Last edited by RavensFan2k3; 08-14-16 at 11:39 AM.

  19. #19
    innovation
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    cueto gave up 7 hrs and 13 earned in 11 innings last year vs Balt

    you think the ballparks were the key to that or rivalry?

    im all over Houston today and contemplating O's

  20. #20
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by innovation View Post
    cueto gave up 7 hrs and 13 earned in 11 innings last year vs Balt

    you think the ballparks were the key to that or rivalry?

    im all over Houston today and contemplating O's
    I don't put as much credence in that as I do overall performance, and Cueto has been one of the best in the league this year. And yes San Fran is a more pitcher friendly park.

  21. #21
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    my boom has Rays -1.5 at +151 and Yanks -1.5 at +178
    that is fine...

  22. #22
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I don't put as much credence in that as I do overall performance, and Cueto has been one of the best in the league this year. And yes San Fran is a more pitcher friendly park.
    LT makes sense half of the time...this is one of the ones!

  23. #23
    klemopixx
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    Adam Morgan (Phi) was awful the last time he was up from the minors. I think Rockies are the bet.

  24. #24
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by innovation View Post
    cueto gave up 7 hrs and 13 earned in 11 innings last year vs Balt

    you think the ballparks were the key to that or rivalry?

    im all over Houston today and contemplating O's
    Houston for me too

  25. #25
    rollie_t651
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    Orioles bounce back today!

  26. #26
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I LOVE it personally since I am on right side of movement. I obviously would not like it if I had not bet the game yet.
    a 20c + drop must be -EV, no?

  27. #27
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    i think if you were to go through your database and record the games played involved in a 20 point drop im positive youd be stuck

  28. #28
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    a 20c + drop must be -EV, no?
    But it makes the +122 +EV

  29. #29
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    i think if you were to go through your database and record the games played involved in a 20 point drop im positive youd be stuck
    That in itself means nothing, most important aspect is what price game was bet at. Goes back to what I said in Post 15. Biggest take-away is beating the closing line.

  30. #30
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    20 point drop im positive youd be stuck
    I actually beat Pinny closer by 30 cents.

  31. #31
    jtoler
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    Cueto gets lit up today take the over.

  32. #32
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    That in itself means nothing, most important aspect is what price game was bet at. Goes back to what I said in Post 15. Biggest take-away is beating the closing line.

    Might mean nothing to your betting methods. I actually am not as knowledgable in bases and just started fading 20 pt price drops and have found it quite profitable. No coin kept mentioning it and I put it in motion. I've been at it for the whole season and it's been working

  33. #33
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    Might mean nothing to your betting methods. I actually am not as knowledgable in bases and just started fading 20 pt price drops and have found it quite profitable. No coin kept mentioning it and I put it in motion. I've been at it for the whole season and it's been working
    See, you bet the opposite side AFTER the 20+ move, so that sounds fine. We both got the best of the line betting opposite sides.

  34. #34
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    ok got ya

  35. #35
    funnyb25
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    Let's get Phils home...

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