So you're judging Lilly based on the fact that his team has lost his last 4 starts. Under that logic, he could have thrown four straight one hit games where he gave up only a home run and the Cubs lost 1-0 and you would be sour on him? So because they've lost the last 4, that means that the odds are good he'll lose 5? I don't understand that logic.
For the last time, wins and losses is the worst way to judge pitchers because it entails so much that is out of the pitcher's control.
I can show you some numbers that do matter and would make your head spin...