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As is the case in every other sport, advanced stat geeks are ruining baseball lines
We've already seen it in basketball and football. Now baseball, with all of its advanced stat garbage, has been swallowed whole, and oddsmakers have completely and blindly tailed.
This Yankees/Rangers game tonight is a perfect example, and more specifically, Tanaka. I don't mean to pick on LT, but I saw him defending Tanaka in his thread earlier, citing both surface and advanced stats to justify arguably the worst line I've ever seen for a baseball game. I've actually WATCHED Tanaka pitch in three of his last four starts. Something is clearly not right with him. He's been dodging bullets for weeks now. Yet if you stare at a stat sheet -- LT already says he never watches games -- and nothing else, you'd have no idea.
Vegas has gone from making honest, legitimate lines based on both numbers and human knowledge/error, to buying into horseshit systems that spew out nonsense like what's been going on with the Rangers lately. This team is absolutely gang-raping the books, yet has their been any adjustment from oddsmakers? Hell no. The +170 line tonight is a perfect example of both how infatuated they've become with advanced stats, and how unwilling they are to move beyond what a computer tells them.
As a result:
Major League Baseball Money Statistics
Team Record Pct. Money Home Home $ Road Road $ RL RL $ O-U 1 Texas 51-27 0.654 3110 28-12 1662 23-15 1448 51-27 2307 40-34 2 Baltimore 47-30 0.610 1686 31-13 1540 16-17 146 46-31 1694 39-35 3 San Francisco 49-30 0.620 1369 24-16 310 25-14 1059 39-40 -87 40-38 4 Cleveland 46-30 0.605 1033 23-12 709 23-18 324 41-35 1068 39-31 5 Chi. Cubs 51-26 0.662 615 25-11 171 26-15 444 44-33 1277 39-35
It is, quite literally, insane.
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Originally Posted by Mxs1332
paco gave No coincidences 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
