1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Wednesday, 6/29/16

    4 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Marlins / Tigers OVER 9.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Yankees -1.5 +115 (Heritage)
    Royals +154 (5 Dimes)
    Royals / Cardinals UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 227-248-9, -14.94

  2. #2
    mikefan1034
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    Royals?!!!!!! Seriously LT man I'm fading this x100

  3. #3
    mikefan1034
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    Royals just lost Cain and are a terrible road team

  4. #4
    mikefan1034
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    Yankees -1.5? Are u serious? Beltran just got hurt he's out their best hitter. Do u even pay attention or just look st fricken numbers. Man this guy is on straight fade alert. Nobody tail him he's a loser and trying to get people to lose money. Tanaka has a horrible home record and era what are u thinking

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikefan1034 View Post
    Royals?!!!!!! Seriously LT man I'm fading this x100
    Quote Originally Posted by mikefan1034 View Post
    Yankees -1.5? Are u serious? Beltran just got hurt he's out their best hitter. Do u even pay attention or just look st fricken numbers. Man this guy is on straight fade alert. Nobody tail him he's a loser and trying to get people to lose money. Tanaka has a horrible home record and era what are u thinking
    This is one of the rare times that the Royals are actually overlays, they are usually overrated. This might be the first time I have played Kansas City all year.

    Yankees is simply a pitching mismatch.

  6. #6
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Boston 66% (-194)
    Cubs 62% (-163)
    Toronto 63% (-170)
    Arizona 63% (-170)
    Yankees 70% (-233)
    Cleveland 67% (-203)
    Washington 71% (-245)

    Do I dare bet the Reds? We shall see. Value seems to be there but leaning toward passing as of now after last night's marathon.
    Last edited by LT Profits; 06-29-16 at 12:22 PM. Reason: Added the two 60%ers missed earlier

  7. #7
    funnyb25
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    Model sucks

  8. #8
    eddycash
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    Any thoughts on Oakland tonight?

  9. #9
    PorkChop
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    Nothing on TB +1.5 -110 & ML +154?

    Moore 3-0 day time.

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    Model sucks
    Model was fine last night, my luck sucked.

    That could actually be seen as a good sign though. I would have been 5-1-1 last night if games ended in middle of the eighth inning, what were the odds of that turning to 2-5? Things like that just don't happen every night, especially the 5-run 15th inning.

  11. #11
    Antibet
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    Model sucks
    Hey, funny, have you are ever seen a penguin, a horny penguin with a very large penis, curiously staring at you?

  12. #12
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Model was fine last night, my luck sucked.

    That could actually be seen as a good sign though. I would have been 5-1-1 last night if games ended in middle of the eighth inning, what were the odds of that turning to 2-5? Things like that just don't happen every night, especially the 5-run 15th inning.
    If it ain't broke, don't fix it

    Meaning

    If something is working adequately well, leave it alone.

    So in the case it's the exact opposite...one should fix something that is broken

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    Any thoughts on Oakland tonight?
    Too close, model has 53% (-113). The way that line is trending, there is a chance Giants could have value later on, although I hate betting Peavy. I never liked him, all that he has done his entire career is take advantage of big ballparks.

  14. #14
    eddycash
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    Oak is hitting like crazy lately, line was -103 and just moved. All the money is on giants so the 80/20 rule applies here

  15. #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    If it ain't broke, don't fix it

    Meaning

    If something is working adequately well, leave it alone.

    So in the case it's the exact opposite...one should fix something that is broken
    I am saying nothing is broken, I would have taken the positions I was in last night every time. I fully expect to be in the black before season's end, we are not even halfway yet and -15 units is nothing considering I probably still have over 600 plays left this year.

  16. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    Oak is hitting like crazy lately, line was -103 and just moved. All the money is on giants so the 80/20 rule applies here
    But line moved too much, past model number.

  17. #17
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Model was fine last night, my luck sucked.

    That could actually be seen as a good sign though. I would have been 5-1-1 last night if games ended in middle of the eighth inning, what were the odds of that turning to 2-5? Things like that just don't happen every night, especially the 5-run 15th inning.
    GTFO of here....the games have 9 innings minimum for a reason...between this comment and ur bad luck victim cries, this is as amateur as it gets...come on man, you are better than this...

  18. #18
    eddycash
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    Tampa bay looks interesting

  19. #19
    eddycash
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    Let's look for a live bet for oak if giants take the lead early

  20. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Nothing on TB +1.5 -110 & ML +154?

    Moore 3-0 day time.
    In a word, NO. See 60%ers, Price -194. If anything, Red Sox are undervalued chalk.

  21. #21
    eddycash
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    Worried about kc but gonna tail it I think lol

  22. #22
    intermission
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    I honestly think Tanaka sucks thsi year, probably gonna get rocked by rangers

  23. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    GTFO of here....the games have 9 innings minimum for a reason...between this comment and ur bad luck victim cries, this is as amateur as it gets...come on man, you are better than this...
    You totally missed my point, I was asking what are the odds that FOUR games would swing the wrong way from that point on. One loss is almost understandable the way my year is going (lol), two OK. But four is ridiculous.

    But when all is said and done and after all the brutal late-inning meltdowns I have had this year (can I WIN some games that way please), I am still only -15. So really no reason to worry at all, I will be fine.

  24. #24
    RavensFan2k3
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    How do you rate Dodger's Brock Stewart?

  25. #25
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    How do you rate Dodger's Brock Stewart?
    Slightly below average to begin. Others rate him better, he did have 99 strikeouts vs. 14 walks in 86 innings in the minors this year. I have some red flags that offset that though.

  26. #26
    MickeyMan
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    Over/under on funnyb25 posts in this thread is set at 43.5.

    Over is looking pretty damn good as he's already posted 3 times and I haven't even had breakfast.

    This guy seriously has nothing better to do with his days.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: JJJ

  27. #27
    PorkChop
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    Marlins/Tigers Under 5.5 -115 thoughts?

    Liking it a lot, but Tigers always hit in day games

  28. #28
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by intermission View Post
    I honestly think Tanaka sucks thsi year, probably gonna get rocked by rangers
    Based on what? Even his mainstream stats that I don't put as much credence in look good with his 3.01 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.

    But on to the stuff that matters, 75 sttrikeouts vs. 18 walks and a quite decent 51.7 percent groundball rate. His 2.5 WAR is tied with Strasburg for 10th in the majors, so he has been from from sucky.

    Speaking of suckiness, that would fit Nick Martinez to a tee with his seven walks and five strikeouts. Yes, that is over just 13 innings, but it continues his career pattern that has him with with an atrocious lifetime 5.05 FIP and 5.19 xFIP.

  29. #29
    PorkChop
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    Ignore my last post, missed your Tigers total at the top.

  30. #30
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Marlins/Tigers Under 5.5 -115 thoughts?

    Liking it a lot, but Tigers always hit in day games
    Are you even paying attention? Look at my very first play.

  31. #31
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Ignore my last post, missed your Tigers total at the top.
    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Are you even paying attention? Look at my very first play.
    heehee. Simultaneous posts

  32. #32
    PorkChop
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    heehee. Simultaneous posts

    I must have double-taked if I recall you played the Miami/Detroit over yesterday. Rare your on back to back overs.

  33. #33
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    60%ers:

    Boston 66% (-194)
    Cubs 62% (-163)
    Toronto 63% (-170)
    Arizona 63% (-170)
    Yankees 70% (-233)

    Do I dare bet the Reds? We shall see. Value seems to be there but leaning toward passing as of now after last night's marathon.
    Also:

    Cleveland 67% (-203)

    Atlanta pitching change came down very late last night and I just now finished loading first-time starter info

  34. #34
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    Worried about kc but gonna tail it I think lol
    This is the SECOND time all season that I have been on the Royals. The first time they won for me at +127 on June 11.

  35. #35
    italianbandit
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    LT is good people. Best of luck. I'm considering the Yankeesrun line, but am concerned about their bullpen.

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