[StatsKing]

tonight, this happened:

http://contests.sportsbookreview.com/mlb-batter-up-1500-contest-5348/474100-statsking/picks/20150529/

now, these selections were made based on a statistical model that i have been developing. overall, i have been quite successful by combining my personal intuition with the mathematical output. but as you can see, sometimes things dont quite go as planned, haha. now fortunately i "only" went 0-4 on real $ bets tonight, so things could have been much worse.

in my experience, when days like this occur, the very next day has tended to be an EXCEPTIONALLY strong rebound. do with this information what you want, but tomorrow i will be betting 20% of my roll per pick on my 5 strongest plays. Yes, i am aware that this is severe overbetting and bad bankroll management, but i am taking a leap of faith here....


going to crunch some numbers, ill be back in a few hours

[Optional]

I'm not sure if going 0-16 is such a good sign you should go all in the next day. Sounds like chasing.

[StatsKing]

im not on tilt tho. i only actually wagered on 4 games (mets RL, nats reds over, twins & indians), and im still up for the week. Emotionally, im conpletely fine with the loss, more disappointed that the model performed so poorly. but i feel like now is the time to nut up or shut up, because it always seems to rebound in a big way after shitty nights like these

Play #1: Orioles -129

[StatsKing]

Nats -127

[Optional]

Good luck

[StatsKing]

Marlins +119
Cardinals RL +167
Giants RL + 167

LETS GO!