1. 04-16-15 09:17 PM #1
    sballen
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    Giants -170

    Those odds dictate a 62.9% chance for the giants to win. Its going to be an emotional night for the giants and the crowd with bumgarner getting his first home start of the season. Additionally, while bradley has very much potential and had an amazing first game, trusting him at this juncture with the emotions so high and the crowd going nuts is not a wise move. My analysis showing the giants having a 68-72% chance if winning, thus making this a very solid +ev play.

    BOL gents
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  2. 04-16-15 10:11 PM #2
    BigDofBA
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    Bradley is no slouch.
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  3. 04-16-15 10:37 PM #3
    BigDofBA
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    The 70% play is losing 4-1
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  4. 04-16-15 10:39 PM #4
    lucasdawg
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    sigh i need hedge
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  5. 04-16-15 11:21 PM #5
    sballen
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    The 70% play is losing 4-1
    A) you're real bold coming here after the fact
    B) 70% loses all the time, if you're not aware of that then you're dumber than you already appear
    C) it's one play, you get your rocks off trolling one losing play?

    everyone look at the internet tough guy, ohhh you're so scary, yet so cool. Bravo sir.
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  6. 04-17-15 12:11 AM #6
    lucasdawg
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    Lets go sffffff
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  7. 04-17-15 12:12 AM #7
    lucasdawg
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    Lets get it sfffff one moreeeee
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  8. 04-17-15 12:26 AM #8
    lucasdawg
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    fuarkkkk shit kunts
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  9. 04-17-15 12:27 AM #9
    Cordoba25
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    They bring in that "specialist" just so he can give up a HR???? wtf is that all about.

    I'm on AZ so I won't gloat but after that comeback in the 9th what an emotional let down that must be
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  10. 04-17-15 12:42 AM #10
    Cordoba25
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    Dropped fly balls, shortstops dropping balls, pitchers throwing balls... AZ really is doing all it can for you SF backers
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  11. 04-17-15 12:49 AM #11
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by sballen View Post
    A) you're real bold coming here after the fact
    B) 70% loses all the time, if you're not aware of that then you're dumber than you already appear
    C) it's one play, you get your rocks off trolling one losing play?

    everyone look at the internet tough guy, ohhh you're so scary, yet so cool. Bravo sir.
    I bet the D'backs. I posted the play at like 5:30 today in No Coin's thread. So I put my neck on the line backing a significant dog while you played the squarest play on the board. Anyway...

    Playing -170 here was a bad play with a struggling Giants offense going up against Bradley Imo.

    "70% loses all the time, if you're not aware of that then you are dumber than you already appear."

    Lmfao. The Giants don't win this game 70% of the time buddy. Hence -170 being a bad play IMO.

    You might "tweak" your analysis. Lol

    I'm going to bed. Maybe you'll suck out and win this after the Dbacks keep choking despite leading virtually all game.

    I feel ok having my +166 wager being a virtual coin flip now while your holding a -170 ticket. If it loses I'll move on.
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  12. 04-17-15 01:09 AM #12
    Julian9
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    sballen. you are a full blown retard...
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  13. 04-17-15 01:19 AM #13
    Julian9
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    wooooo dbacks!!!
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  14. 04-17-15 01:22 AM #14
    Cordoba25
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    Lets not get too excited. These assholes still have to close out the game. Game should have been over a long time ago.

    The extra run is nice though.
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