Yes Sabathia is good of course, and the Cleveland lineup can be very productive. But Burres may well be able to keep pace with Sabathia in this game, I wouldn't be surprised if the game were tied when the bullpens come in. Cleveland is not hitting well vs lefties so far this year. If the game is close when the pens come in, Baltimore does have a good enough lineup and bullpen to have a good shot at pulling it out. I don't think they should be this big of an underdog at home considering the circumstances.