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MLB totals Simple but Genius
This is not a back tested system, but a live experiment on betting totals following the juice my book offers. I am basically betting 80% of the games for which ever side of the total has the highest juice using a simple money management strategy that I have found profitable over the last few weeks. I generally have a very busy work schedule so I can not guarantee this thread will run smoothly or have timely updates. However, I do believe we can all make a pretty penny with this money management strategy.
You all have heard of the labby and martingale system before, well this is a hybrid of the two that allows you to bet all your games with out going too large. I will use a $10 unit size for this experiment and if it goes well, I will run a thread next season with a larger unit size. Oh the system basically works like this:
Day 1: always risking the amount and not betting to win, just a matter of comfort for me. You would risk $10 every game for whichever side the highest juice is on. If its a winning day on day 2 you would keep your bet size the same. If its a losing day you simply increase your bet size half a unit so on and so forth until you reach a peak profit. If it ever gets out of hand I will cap my biggest bet at 5u per game or $50 for this experiment and except the loss and reset it back to $10. In theory it should almost never get that high. I would advocate a 200 unit bankroll for this because there is so much action.
For anyone that is good at data mining something like this I more then welcome it because a manual back test would just take FOREVER! Which is why I am doing a live experiment with a small unit size. Oh if both sides of the game are -105 or -110 meaning equal to each other I skip the game.
Good Luck Everyone. Here are today's plays.
Record: 0-0-0
Profit: $0.00
Arz o6.5 (-125) $10 to win $8
SD o9 (-120) $10 - $8.33
Sea o9 (-120) $10 - $8.33
min u8.5 (-120) $10 - $8.33
Tor o9 (-125) $10-$8
Mia u7 (-115) $10-$8.70
Stl o7.5 (-115) $10-$8.70
cle u7 (-125) $10-$8
cin u7 (-125) $10-$8
kc o7.5 (-115) $10-$8.70
chc u7.5 (-125) $10-$8
Phi o8 (-120) $10-$8.33
This seems 5c higher today then my normal lines of -115 with only 1 or 2 games that are -120 on an average day. I use a local book, so maybe they are adjusting the lines because of the action I have been betting on the totals last couple weeks or just a coincidence. Will update late tonight.
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Originally Posted by J.M. Disciple
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