[austintx05]

I am mainly an AL guy, but there is a game that interests me.

Florida/Atlanta -104

I like the Braves here. Atlanta is still playing well, even though a disappointing loss to the Nats. Redman is facing a much more tuned down lineup as compared to the Mets who crushed him. Check the numbers if you want, but Dontrelle hasn't had the greatest success vs this lineup. Now we saw Florida improve last year, but I don't think this team will keep it up over the season. They lost Girardi, who I think was a big part of their success. Getting no money on the road with the Marlins? I don't like the idea of that in late innings.

Now back to the AL....

NYY/Oakland

I know Haren's success vs NY, but the two problems with taking Oakland here are the inability to score runs for the A's lately and I thin it is too soon to write off Igawa. As much as I would like to and take the A's at even money, I am not so sure it is that easy. Now it might just be, and Igawa could get crushed again, but taking a stance against him due to one bad outing is not the smartest thing to do, IMO. Imagine if you did that vs Pettitte/Pavano in Minny, you would've lost your ass. Now I think this is a game that will be decided by the pens, so as far as as predictions...its a tossup. I am looking for this game to setup the remainder of the series.

Detroit/Toronto

Tonight's game was a tossup and this is as well. Bondy/Halladay have great success vs each lineup and I see no perceived edge here. Tigs pen has a slight advantage, but Roy normally takes the pen out of the equation as he is good for 7-8 innings and you have a rested Ryan. As much as I want to take Roy tommorrow, I will not. I had him in Detroit and got lucky. Toronto had an extra run due to a fielding error, which was key in sending this game to extra innings. I think your odds are good enough on Bondy for a shot in the dark, but why would you want to bet against the most dominant pitcher next to Santana at home? This game is for the fans.

Those are my quick thoughts...the rest of the card is crap...Brewers as road chalk...horrible bet...Pujols is the one guy who can beat you...-150 for Z who is not a 1st half pitcher...if it becomes a scoring fest, you sure don't want to lay -150 on the Cubs pen...and who in their right mind would lay -152 with Pittsburgh? Could have a nice over situation in Cleveland, but its not really in Cleveland so I will pass on that. Long season...so lets keep that in mind.

Leans

Atlanta -104

[imgv94]

I would lean to ATL as well bro.

[austintx05]

I would lean to ATL as well bro.

GL on your Detroit play IMGV. I can't grasp an edge, but for your sake I hope you get it.

[BuddyBear]

MIL actually falls into a very strong situation tonight that plays against teams that have strung together back to back strong pitching performances (< 2 runs in each of the previous game). I won't bet them but I don't think MIL is as bad a play as you might think it is....

[austintx05]

Well, have fun laying chalk on the road with Milwaukee's pen

[BuddyBear]

Well, have fun laying chalk on the road with Milwaukee's pen

Geez you don't have to have a hostile tone to everyone on here.....Something tells me you are a very insecure guy. All I said MIL falls into a very strong situation tonight that has a very strong positive EV....THE NUMBERS DON'T LIE....you have to learn that to be a successful bettor. Good luck trying to win in sports betting relying on qualitative methods. Anyway, MIL has the better pitcher tonight, the better offense, the better bullpen as well and playing with a day off they have a positive EV. I mean they may lose, but they are not a bad bet like you claim.

Also, I don't even know what the hell you are talking about with Milwaukee's bullpen. They have a 2.51 ERA (1.046 WHIP, 28.7 innings) vs. St. Louis's bullpen 3.42 ERA (1.367 WHIP, 26.3 innings). Given those numbers, I'd trust MIL's bullpen.

Here's some advice bro: relax...don't need to take everything that is said on here like a threat.