1. 07-02-14 12:15 PM #1
    No coincidences
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    Huge line movement in favor of Pads and Tribe again

    Thoughts?
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  2. 07-02-14 12:18 PM #2
    KRIT
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    Votto out of the lineup. Think I may just roll with the under in that game.

    Lol at huge line movement in favor of tribe for like like sixth straight game in a row.
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  3. 07-02-14 12:23 PM #3
    upscope
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Thoughts?
    Line movement certainly needs to be taken into consideration but you spend WAY too much time trying to figure the meaning of line movements. Time that can be spent figuring out more important aspects of the game IMO.
    This baseball season I've seen big line moves win & big line moves lose. Neither has won or lost enough to conclude that these big line movements really mean that much.
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  4. 07-02-14 12:47 PM #4
    Smutbucket
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    its very simple
    a smart bookie would do it to drive even money and minimize losses and risk
    its hard to believe though that the money would be so lopsided so many games in a row for teams like the Indians without adjustments made to the opening lines
    bookies these days taking more risks?
    only way to really know is to find a site data miner and look for a correlation between these heavy line moves that seem to be happening more and more frequently this season, and the end results.....but my guess would be the correlation wouldn't be very significant....right around 50%,
    I don't even look at any of that shit, whatever the line is when I do my capping is the line I take, too hard to guess IMO what direction lines will move
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  5. 07-02-14 01:05 PM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by upscope View Post
    Line movement certainly needs to be taken into consideration but you spend WAY too much time trying to figure the meaning of line movements. Time that can be spent figuring out more important aspects of the game IMO.
    This baseball season I've seen big line moves win & big line moves lose. Neither has won or lost enough to conclude that these big line movements really mean that much.
    Quote Originally Posted by Smutbucket View Post
    its very simple
    a smart bookie would do it to drive even money and minimize losses and risk
    its hard to believe though that the money would be so lopsided so many games in a row for teams like the Indians without adjustments made to the opening lines
    bookies these days taking more risks?
    only way to really know is to find a site data miner and look for a correlation between these heavy line moves that seem to be happening more and more frequently this season, and the end results.....but my guess would be the correlation wouldn't be very significant....right around 50%,
    I don't even look at any of that shit, whatever the line is when I do my capping is the line I take, too hard to guess IMO what direction lines will move
    I was just wondering what your thoughts were on these specific games.
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  6. 07-02-14 01:10 PM #6
    mgoncalves10
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    You think AGon & Puig out of the lineup has anything to do with that..?!
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  7. 07-02-14 01:19 PM #7
    jed81
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    Quote Originally Posted by mgoncalves10 View Post
    You think AGon & Puig out of the lineup has anything to do with that..?!

    Correct !
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  8. 07-02-14 01:24 PM #8
    mgoncalves10
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    What are you thinking for this game..? Ryu doesn't have great numbers at home, and against left handed batters, he's giving up a .297 BA. The Indians have 5 players who can bat right handed in the starting lineup. And for the Dodgers, Bauer has pitched against the Dodgers once, but has not seen any of their current lineup.

    Was thinking of a No Score 1st inning here.. And as for a side, with Agon & Puig out of the lineup, I'm debating on the Tribe +1.5...

    Thoughts..
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  9. 07-02-14 01:25 PM #9
    Smutbucket
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    ya and hanley......shit I might even put money on the Indians! or maybe just the under....
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  10. 07-02-14 01:28 PM #10
    KRIT
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    You can get Dodgers TT Over 3.5 -121 at Pinny. Might be another pathetic performance out of the Dodgers offense. Hard to beat what they did yesterday though.
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  11. 07-02-14 01:30 PM #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smutbucket View Post
    ya and hanley......shit I might even put money on the Indians! or maybe just the under....
    Hanley's out too? Interesting.
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  12. 07-02-14 01:32 PM #12
    mgoncalves10
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Hanley's out too? Interesting.
    Hanley may be used as a pinch hitter again but he's not in the lineup..

    And in regards to that No Score 1st.. Ryu has not conceded a run in the first inning this season, while Bauer did in his first 2 games of the season, and in his last outing against the Mariners. But seeing how the Dodgers are missing some key bats, I'm thinking this could have some value.. Anyone else agree?
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  13. 07-02-14 01:35 PM #13
    Tony Williams
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Hanley's out too? Interesting.
    Probably going to ride Indians in this one with a lot of big bats out of dodgers lineup. Went to last game Bauer pitched in Cleveland and if he has good stuff. Imploded a bit in 6/7 inning but think he will get it done today
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  14. 07-02-14 01:36 PM #14
    ridims
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I was just wondering what your thoughts were on these specific games.
    then say so rather then:


    Huge line movement in favor of Pads and Tribe again
    Thoughts?





    I think you need to stop gambling. period.
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  15. 07-02-14 01:40 PM #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridims View Post
    then say so rather then:


    Huge line movement in favor of Pads and Tribe again
    Thoughts?





    I think you need to stop gambling. period.
    I'm up 260 units -- all track at SBR -- since the start of the 2012 football season. But yeah, I think I should quit too. Good call.
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  16. 07-02-14 01:43 PM #16
    bankroll27
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    The dodger line up is shit...what you'll be betting on is can ryu shut down the tribe
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  17. 07-02-14 02:46 PM #17
    OMGRandyJackson
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    line moved around on the under too, saw it go from -124 at 3pm to -136 just before game time.
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  18. 07-02-14 02:56 PM #18
    drfunkmaster
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    cueto and reds cant win against the pads.
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  19. 07-02-14 03:00 PM #19
    OMGRandyJackson
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    How the fukk Hamilton didnt make that dive will be a great mystery. Cueto not looking sharp so far.
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  20. 07-02-14 05:15 PM #20
    upscope
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    Nats World Series price just move 5 cents
    Something's gotta be UP??

    Thoughts??
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  21. 07-02-14 05:46 PM #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by upscope View Post
    Nats World Series price just move 5 cents
    Something's gotta be UP??

    Thoughts??
    I must've missed the final scores here -- did the Tribe and Pads win?
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