1. 06-25-14 09:23 AM #1
    44 Mag
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    Wash @ Milw.

    After going 4-1 last night, trying to sneak in an early game today.
    Washington @ Milwaukee 7.5
    After analyzing, probably over analyzing these two pitchers, there is not a lot of confidence in either one right now.
    Strasburg 6-5 ERA 3.24. However, on the road he is 1-4 with a 4.22 last three have been 6-4 L, 4-1 L, 9-2 W.
    Estrada has been a disappoinment to the Brewers to say the least this year.
    6-4 ERA 5.22. Last 4 games sub par giving up 22 runs and 7 homers. by the way he leads the majors in surrendering 24 homers. Last time up gave up 7 runs and still got the victory vs. Colorado in a 13-10 win, somehow?
    His last three have been: 13-10 win, 13-4 loss, 6-2 loss. he also averages better than 4 runs per game in last 7 of 9.
    Last game vs. Nat's 7 runs, 8 hits, 4 innings.
    What does all this mean, probably nothing, but they did play a marathon game last night 5 hours 22 minutes and exhausted both bull pens.
    Summation: over 7.5
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  2. 06-25-14 09:38 AM #2
    RollinDo
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    Like it. GL bro
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  3. 06-25-14 09:39 AM #3
    inZane
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    Good write up, Mag. My only concern is it's a get-away game for the Nats and wondering if the boys might be a little tired after that long game and then having to get up early...
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  4. 06-25-14 09:44 AM #4
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Like it. GL bro
    TX.
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  5. 06-25-14 09:49 AM #5
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by inZane View Post
    Good write up, Mag. My only concern is it's a get-away game for the Nats and wondering if the boys might be a little tired after that long game and then having to get up early...
    Agreed, but I am figuring they will want the starters to as long as they can, and then some, to rest the bull pens, Milwaukee can still hit. I figure you are correct, but it will be the pitchers being more tired, I hope. And, Strasburg has not been a model of consistency for long innings, and Estrada, well his numbers speak for themselves. Wish me luck brother.
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  6. 06-25-14 10:22 AM #6
    inZane
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  7. 06-25-14 10:47 AM #7
    inZane
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    With all of the info online, I wish someone smarter than I could look into the results of totals when an afternoon get away game follows a night game. I just remember through the years that whenever I used to play such games, they had a higher % of unders. But maybe that's just because I used to bet a lot of overs, and I remember the sting of losing such games. Bol Bro!
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  8. 06-25-14 10:52 AM #8
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by inZane View Post
    With all of the info online, I wish someone smarter than I could look into the results of totals when an afternoon get away game follows a night game. I just remember through the years that whenever I used to play such games, they had a higher % of unders. But maybe that's just because I used to bet a lot of overs, and I remember the sting of losing such games. Bol Bro!
    can't argue that point,I was contemplating buying a run to make it -6.5 @ -160, at 5 Dimes , that seems to be more palatable
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  9. 06-25-14 12:39 PM #9
    farmhouse1
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    Stephen strausburgh -.5 -110 first five innings is my bet. GL mag
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  10. 06-25-14 12:52 PM #10
    bankroll27
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    nats and over
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  11. 06-25-14 01:00 PM #11
    leetreaper
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    AAA lineups for both teams, could be under...
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  12. 06-25-14 01:57 PM #12
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by farmhouse1 View Post
    Stephen strausburgh -.5 -110 first five innings is my bet. GL mag
    Hey, for all I know Steve will toss a no hitter.LOL. Just did some research that's all. Time will tell. BOL.
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  13. 06-25-14 01:58 PM #13
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    AAA lineups for both teams, could be under...
    GL, Lee. we will know soon.
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  14. 06-25-14 02:08 PM #14
    runejuice
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    Dat Grand Slam early in the game
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  15. 06-25-14 02:12 PM #15
    leetreaper
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    boom
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  16. 06-25-14 02:15 PM #16
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    boom
    What???? What happened, not watching !!!!
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  17. 06-25-14 02:49 PM #17
    Legend_beatz
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    7 scores on the board, need ONE more Mag... PLENTY of time left!
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  18. 06-25-14 02:59 PM #18
    solman
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    Nats are a good solid team but Strasburg isnt was he used to be since he got injured. Books always pushing under in your face with him pitching. Had MKE Over 3 1/2. Second time a grand slam in the game I need over in a week with MKE. What are the chances?
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  19. 06-25-14 03:05 PM #19
    44 Mag
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    MKE??? = Milwaukee ??? Yes ???
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  20. 06-25-14 03:08 PM #20
    solman
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    Correct. MKE= Milwaukee. Over easy $$.
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  21. 06-25-14 03:09 PM #21
    solman
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    After going 4-1 last night, trying to sneak in an early game today.
    Washington @ Milwaukee 7.5
    After analyzing, probably over analyzing these two pitchers, there is not a lot of confidence in either one right now.
    Strasburg 6-5 ERA 3.24. However, on the road he is 1-4 with a 4.22 last three have been 6-4 L, 4-1 L, 9-2 W.
    Estrada has been a disappoinment to the Brewers to say the least this year.
    6-4 ERA 5.22. Last 4 games sub par giving up 22 runs and 7 homers. by the way he leads the majors in surrendering 24 homers. Last time up gave up 7 runs and still got the victory vs. Colorado in a 13-10 win, somehow?
    His last three have been: 13-10 win, 13-4 loss, 6-2 loss. he also averages better than 4 runs per game in last 7 of 9.
    Last game vs. Nat's 7 runs, 8 hits, 4 innings.
    What does all this mean, probably nothing, but they did play a marathon game last night 5 hours 22 minutes and exhausted both bull pens.
    Summation: over 7.5
    Nice writeup. Thanks for taking the time.
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  22. 06-25-14 03:20 PM #22
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by solman View Post
    Nice writeup. Thanks for taking the time.
    Appreciate it brother ! Haven't won anything yet today though. We'll see. I must admit, it is so much better when there are only a few games to analyze, gives you more time, I meant this afternoon. Not that it pays off, but at least you can do some homework. BOL.
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  23. 06-25-14 03:59 PM #23
    Legend_beatz
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Summation: over 7.5 - WIN!
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  24. 06-25-14 04:12 PM #24
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    After going 4-1 last night, trying to sneak in an early game today.
    Washington @ Milwaukee 7.5
    After analyzing, probably over analyzing these two pitchers, there is not a lot of confidence in either one right now.
    Strasburg 6-5 ERA 3.24. However, on the road he is 1-4 with a 4.22 last three have been 6-4 L, 4-1 L, 9-2 W.
    Estrada has been a disappoinment to the Brewers to say the least this year.
    6-4 ERA 5.22. Last 4 games sub par giving up 22 runs and 7 homers. by the way he leads the majors in surrendering 24 homers. Last time up gave up 7 runs and still got the victory vs. Colorado in a 13-10 win, somehow?
    His last three have been: 13-10 win, 13-4 loss, 6-2 loss. he also averages better than 4 runs per game in last 7 of 9.
    Last game vs. Nat's 7 runs, 8 hits, 4 innings.
    What does all this mean, probably nothing, but they did play a marathon game last night 5 hours 22 minutes and exhausted both bull pens.
    Summation: over 7.5
    Well folks, sometimes homework pays off. BUT, I must admit, I thought the score would be the other way around. LOL. I will take the win. Thanks for all the input & support. Let's get them tonight.
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  25. 06-25-14 04:17 PM #25
    inZane
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    Good job Mag! So much for my theory about fatigue, although it worked on the Rays game today... who do you like later?

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  26. 06-25-14 04:20 PM #26
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by inZane View Post
    Good job Mag! So much for my theory about fatigue, although it worked on the Rays game today... who do you like later?

    Hate to jinx everybody ???? But I like the Detroit Tigers. So go the other way. LOL. Too many folks on them.
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  27. 06-25-14 05:25 PM #27
    inZane
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    I agree with what you said earlier about having fewer games to analyze makes you better. Baseball is like gamblers cocaine; tons of stats to pore over, strategy, mostly outdoor conditions, and most importantly non-stop action with a shit-load of games. It's impossible to do a good job,IMO. I seem to do better as well on low action days. That's why I think I'm better with football. Not as many choices, and you've got all week to think about your pick...

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  28. 06-25-14 07:05 PM #28
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by inZane View Post
    I agree with what you said earlier about having fewer games to analyze makes you better. Baseball is like gamblers cocaine; tons of stats to pore over, strategy, mostly outdoor conditions, and most importantly non-stop action with a shit-load of games. It's impossible to do a good job,IMO. I seem to do better as well on low action days. That's why I think I'm better with football. Not as many choices, and you've got all week to think about your pick...

    Same with the NBA on Thursday's, usually 2 or 3 games. Get away day. BOL tonight.
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  29. 06-26-14 06:06 AM #29
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Legend_beatz View Post
    TX man. I see you had some hits as well. Congrat's.
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  30. 06-26-14 06:51 AM #30
    inZane
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    Nice hit on the Tigers. Hope you have another good day, Bro!

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  31. 06-26-14 07:00 AM #31
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by inZane View Post
    Nice hit on the Tigers. Hope you have another good day, Bro!

    TX man. Tought day today, but we'll find something (I hope) LOL
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  32. 06-26-14 07:15 AM #32
    TheNumbersGame
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    I know this was yesterday but this was my analysis of the game before it started. (I also picked MIL ML + MIL over)

    Nationals 3 Game Away Series Trends
    0-7 3 Game Away Sweep
    Have NOT had a 5 game Win Streak this season
    Nats win an avg of .33% of games on the road in a 3 game series.

    NATS 1-7 with Back to Back Wins in a 3 Game Away Series

    NATS 4 game winning streaks has ended on the road 3 times this season
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  33. 06-26-14 07:28 AM #33
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheNumbersGame View Post
    I know this was yesterday but this was my analysis of the game before it started. (I also picked MIL ML + MIL over)

    Nationals 3 Game Away Series Trends
    0-7 3 Game Away Sweep
    Have NOT had a 5 game Win Streak this season
    Nats win an avg of .33% of games on the road in a 3 game series.

    NATS 1-7 with Back to Back Wins in a 3 Game Away Series

    NATS 4 game winning streaks has ended on the road 3 times this season
    Good analysis. I see you just joined us. Welcome to the forum.
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