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Colorado line moved 20 points
I'm fading this line movement. Doesn't matter how you slice it, the only edge Padres have over Colorado is their bullpen that is gonna be much needed with Stults on the mound who should even be in the majors.
Not like De La Rosa is an elite pitcher but he will get it done. Rockies will also be happy to be back home.
I hate laying -140 so I'm not sure if I'll take the -1.5 or even -1
also taking a shot with toronto at +152 and the rrl at +236
Colorado should win this, that is if their offensive power is back online
I might slam the over TT at 5 -110 - opposing pitcher has a 5+ ERA and we all know what Colorado can do at home.
do you fance the win too, flabrah?
I like them to win as well, but -140 is too much for me to make a big play. If they win, they will be scoring more than 5, so Id like to take my chances they come back home and we see some bats/runs again.Originally Posted by Bullywully
That high altitude is great
-1 at -104 for 4 units
Blue Jays +152 1u and RRL for half unit
keep in mind i'm a loser gambler so far this mlb season... good luck everyone
so the high altitude is the reason why they score so big? Why arent the away teams making advantage of this too? They need to adapt more or?
Damn laying the 4 units because you like it that much, or trying to chase our losses from the Cubs choke fest?
Away teams will score more in that park as well due to it bc the ball carries further, but the Rockies are at home and seem to always take advantage of it quicker than other teams.
I'm in no hurry here. It's only May and baseball season is far away from over. Colorado is happy to be back home with a better pitcher on the mound and way better hitters at the box.
If I win today I'll have possibly a 4-5 unit play on an underdog tomorrow I'm very confident with. Let's see how tonight goes first.
Out for tonight, good luck everyone.
The reason they score more, mash, especially in the first 2 games of the series is because of the pitch movement and human muscle memory based on the movement caused by the altitude. You would be a wise man to pound the rockies and/or rockies team total of a game 1 or 2 when it is a lefty facing them. This scenario tonight is a perfect one to bet 10 units on the over 4.5 tt and to hammer the RL for +135.
IT doesn't get much better than this. Here is some science to help you understand/
This is the sharp s h it you dart throwers dont dig for. I was a minor league pitcher. I can tell you for a fact that betting the rockies and/or team total of a game 1 and 2 homestand against a finesse lefty is as close to an all in play as you can have.
http://www.baseballvmi.com/baseball-altitude
The muscle memory for opposing hitters based on a 90mph four seamer is huge at colorado which is almost a mile above sea level. The Rockies hitters are already adjusted to this movement. It takes opposing teams a couple games to adjust to this.
Last edited by jbart28; 05-16-14 at 05:44 PM.
very interesting jbart. good stuff and thx for posting that
Great stuff man
To add to it - Check out the last three La Rosa has played
Won 9-2 @ Texas
Won 10-3 @ home against the Mets
Won 6-1 @ San Fran
He gets the run support alright, as well as shuts down the opposing teams.
Im all in here - GL everybody - havnt made a play like this in a long time.
Rockies full game - 368 to win 250
Rockies FF - 368 to win 250
Rockies TT over 5 - 275 to win 250
SO when you are watching the games and look up at the rockies game and it takes what seems to be hours to get through the 4, 5, 6th innings it is because of the rockies mashing the starting pitcher 2nd time through the lineup. Take for example last week when the rangers were in town, they smashed the rangers and the middle innings were a blood bath. Just remember me when you are looking up at the scoreboard and you see the middle innings at colorado take 2 hours lol
like your style op. also on the COL RL and TOR ML.
haha
I'm with you here, the Rocks are 11-1 vs. the Pads with La Rosa overall, 7-0 at home...But all trends catch up eventually. Hopefully, not tonite!
Stults has been hit out of the park at least once in all but one game he's pitched in this season (to be fair De La Rosa isn't much better but he has to pitch here). Now he's at Coors, could end badly.
SD can't get anything going on the base paths at the best of times but one thing I'll give them is they can hit a long ball... well sort of it's their only batting stat they aren't last in I think.
I'm the train 1unit. Let's do this.
Give me a damn run in 5 innings PLEASE!
Whew - hit the 1st 5 - lets hold for the game.
Wish they could convert more runs from the 6 hits. Not likely going into the top of the 9th, but one can dream, right?
Thanks for tip....took the Rockies -1.5.
bang. also took col ff but for some reason wasn't able to post from my phone
that was a very close call. barely scratched out some runs there Colorado, not what i expected. But as most here are glad they made it... we're not complaining in the end
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