1. #456
    Jesus33
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    cain hasn't done well this season but at least he'll be home and anderson is horrible, I think the giants have an advantage... lol and I can't see you disagreeing with the red sox with lackey up if you took em yesterday

  2. #457
    BiffTFinancial
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    Friday 4.11.2014 final card
    1* Marlins ML (-117) - LOSER
    1* Rays/Reds FF under 3' (-110) - WINNER
    1* Red Sox -1 RL (+107) - WINNER
    1* Cubs FF ML (+125) - LOSER
    1* Brewers ML (-106) - WINNER
    1* Dodgers/Diamondbacks over 8' (-108) - LOSER
    1* Padres ML (-101) - WINNER
    1* Rockies/Giants FF under 3' (-115) - LOSER

    4-4 -0.33u

    Damn my eyes for the late add on Rocks/Giants FF under. Stupid move.

    38-18-6 +21.35u MLB to date

  3. #458
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jesus33 View Post
    cain hasn't done well this season but at least he'll be home and anderson is horrible, I think the giants have an advantage... lol and I can't see you disagreeing with the red sox with lackey up if you took em yesterday
    Up early on the grind to get my mind and my card right. Sox/Yanks is first game so should have some thoughts on them shortly, and Rockies/Giants is only 4 pm game so will be taking a long look at that one. Let's get it today.

  4. #459
    BilllyW
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    How do you even select these games? Baseball is crazy unpredictable and I'm dying to get some inside professional knowledge.

  5. #460
    xraygord
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    Up early on the grind to get my mind and my card right. Sox/Yanks is first game so should have some thoughts on them shortly, and Rockies/Giants is only 4 pm game so will be taking a long look at that one. Let's get it today.

    Sounds like a plan man!

  6. #461
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by BilllyW View Post
    How do you even select these games? Baseball is crazy unpredictable and I'm dying to get some inside professional knowledge.
    I never capped bases until I broke my foot playing hoops three years ago and was in walking boot for four months. I was bored and stir-crazy so I read a couple of books and anything else i could find on bases capping and built a very simple model. The idea for me is to try to forecast how the 51-54 outs in a game will go. Baseball is great with all the advanced stats. I basically just trust my model and play the sides/totals where model varies from line the most (though sometimes large variance a sign that something is fishy).

  7. #462
    twestacott
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    I never capped bases until I broke my foot playing hoops three years ago and was in walking boot for four months. I was bored and stir-crazy so I read a couple of books and anything else i could find on bases capping and built a very simple model. The idea for me is to try to forecast how the 51-54 outs in a game will go. Baseball is great with all the advanced stats. I basically just trust my model and play the sides/totals where model varies from line the most (though sometimes large variance a sign that something is fishy).
    Biff do you mind if I ask if there are any books you can recommend for someone that wants to learn Baseball capping?

  8. #463
    Jesus33
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    Friday 4.11.2014 final card
    1* Marlins ML (-117) - LOSER
    1* Rays/Reds FF under 3' (-110) - WINNER
    1* Red Sox -1 RL (+107) - WINNER
    1* Cubs FF ML (+125) - LOSER
    1* Brewers ML (-106) - WINNER
    1* Dodgers/Diamondbacks over 8' (-108) - LOSER
    1* Padres ML (-101) - WINNER
    1* Rockies/Giants FF under 3' (-115) - LOSER

    4-4 -0.33u

    Damn my eyes for the late add on Rocks/Giants FF under. Stupid move.

    38-18-6 +21.35u MLB to date
    its all good well get it back today and some...All giants games have gone over, how do we not play over 7' here??

  9. #464
    Jesus33
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    I never capped bases until I broke my foot playing hoops three years ago and was in walking boot for four months. I was bored and stir-crazy so I read a couple of books and anything else i could find on bases capping and built a very simple model. The idea for me is to try to forecast how the 51-54 outs in a game will go. Baseball is great with all the advanced stats. I basically just trust my model and play the sides/totals where model varies from line the most (though sometimes large variance a sign that something is fishy).
    thats some boss shit right there...and all along i thought u were dreaming of the winners in your sleep

  10. #465
    2daBank
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    Had hardly any time w cards, had to do family thing last night and working today ., cards way overpriced but they win, both pens overworked and waino will give the innings, think it goes over but really that kinda endorsing the rl as well, worm today and helping wind makes me think they clear 7 runs easy and in cards wins they avg 6 or so..

    Over in nyy as well, again good weather and 2 pitchers I don't think hold even these struggling offenses down. 8 be really nice here or might pass depending what you say., that all I even looked at, posting and driving now

  11. #466
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jesus33 View Post
    thats some boss shit right there...and all along i thought u were dreaming of the winners in your sleep
    I just throw darts.,

  12. #467
    gimmetheloot
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jesus33 View Post
    its all good well get it back today and some...All giants games have gone over, how do we not play over 7' here??
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games
    I'm goin for it

  13. #468
    twestacott
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Had hardly any time w cards, had to do family thing last night and working today ., cards way overpriced but they win, both pens overworked and waino will give the innings, think it goes over but really that kinda endorsing the rl as well, worm today and helping wind makes me think they clear 7 runs easy and in cards wins they avg 6 or so..

    Over in nyy as well, again good weather and 2 pitchers I don't think hold even these struggling offenses down. 8 be really nice here or might pass depending what you say., that all I even looked at, posting and driving now
    Little surprised by the Yankees OVER lean....... There offense hasn't looked too sharp this week, Kuroda is solid at home and Lackey has looked sharp in his first two starts. They also have gone under in both games in this series so far. I had this one pegged as UNDER or at least UNDER FF but was waiting on BiffT and a couple of others. Now I have some doubts as I highly respect in your input 2daBank

  14. #469
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by twestacott View Post
    Little surprised by the Yankees OVER lean....... There offense hasn't looked too sharp this week, Kuroda is solid at home and Lackey has looked sharp in his first two starts. They also have gone under in both games in this series so far. I had this one pegged as UNDER or at least UNDER FF but was waiting on BiffT and a couple of others. Now I have some doubts as I highly respect in your input 2daBank
    It real possible I'm just going off past history in sat day games in this park, also my distaste for lackey, understand under lean and I think market will prob agree with u and it will hit 8 at some point. Just think they both find a way to scratch 4 across in that bandbox w a helping wind in the daytime..def feel stronger bout cards over and should get decent price on that..

  15. #470
    robbeduagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by twestacott View Post
    Biff do you mind if I ask if there are any books you can recommend for someone that wants to learn Baseball capping?
    Yes, I'm very interested as well.

  16. #471
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by twestacott View Post
    Biff do you mind if I ask if there are any books you can recommend for someone that wants to learn Baseball capping?
    Yeah, sure thing. It's been awhile and just redid the basement, so they're all in boxes. However, i'm going through process of getting stuff back out, restocking bookshelves this weekend, so i should be able to get to it, hopefully this afternoon once i finish capping today's card.

  17. #472
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jesus33 View Post
    thats some boss shit right there...and all along i thought u were dreaming of the winners in your sleep
    I do that too.

  18. #473
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Had hardly any time w cards, had to do family thing last night and working today ., cards way overpriced but they win, both pens overworked and waino will give the innings, think it goes over but really that kinda endorsing the rl as well, worm today and helping wind makes me think they clear 7 runs easy and in cards wins they avg 6 or so..

    Over in nyy as well, again good weather and 2 pitchers I don't think hold even these struggling offenses down. 8 be really nice here or might pass depending what you say., that all I even looked at, posting and driving now
    I like under in the Bronx, very close to playing it. Model says around 7.3-7.5. Reluctance to play under in day games in Yankee Stadium main thing that's held me back to far.

    Love Cain for parlay material today. Cain + Waino pays +148

  19. #474
    twestacott
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    Yeah, sure thing. It's been awhile and just redid the basement, so they're all in boxes. However, i'm going through process of getting stuff back out, restocking bookshelves this weekend, so i should be able to get to it, hopefully this afternoon once i finish capping today's card.
    Greatly appreciated...... obviously picking some winners for today takes priority so cap away. Can't wait to see what you have for us this afternoon and this evening. Thanks again for sharing with us all.

  20. #475
    twestacott
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    It real possible I'm just going off past history in sat day games in this park, also my distaste for lackey, understand under lean and I think market will prob agree with u and it will hit 8 at some point. Just think they both find a way to scratch 4 across in that bandbox w a helping wind in the daytime..def feel stronger bout cards over and should get decent price on that..
    I am not a huge Lackey fan either but he had a great bounce back last year and has looked sharp so far this year. As mentioned before Kuroda has been pretty tough at Yankee stadium too and neither offense has been exactly lighting up the scoreboard this week. I think I am personally leaning with the UNDER 4.5 FF that 5 Dimes is listed at right now.

    I am however with you on the Cards as I know you are the Cards expert around these parts and although I think Wainwright is lights out at home, I am not too big on Villanueva and I think we all know the Cubs bullpen is capable of giving up all 7 runs that the O/U mark is set at right now.

  21. #476
    BiffTFinancial
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    Sizemore not starting for Red Sox today.

    Per our friend Jeff Grant:
    John Lackey has gone at least 5 innings in 25 consecutive starts vs Yankees - longest streak among active players.

    It's worth noting, however, that even though Lackey has been relatively solid vs Yankees, 6 of last 10 starts vs Yanks have gone over.

    Like Red Sox/Yankees under 8', but under for day game in Bronx with wind blowing out can be very dangerous.

  22. #477
    BiffTFinancial
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    Think i'm going to pass on Cain and consider over instead. Listening to broadcast last night, Giants organization removed a building in CF and the wind flow now really allows the ball to fly to right center. We have 12 mph wind to center for a day game at AT&T, meaning the ball should fly more than at night when marine layer is in effect. Model has 8.6-8.8 runs there, will probably play it.

    Need to decide who to pair with Cards in parlay. Like Tribe and Masterson has good history vs CWS. Was considering Tribe -1 RL but that's now -110. Just fearful that Tribe will blow parlay while Cards win with ease. The neurosis that is Cleveland sports fanship...

    Early leans
    Red Sox/Yankees under 8'
    Royals/Twins under 7'
    Tribe
    Cards
    Rockies/Giants over
    Phils
    Brewers
    Rats/Brewers under 8 (like under better than Brewers)
    Pads

  23. #478
    BiffTFinancial
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    Saturday 4.12.2014
    1* Royals/Twins under 7' (-110)
    1* Rockies/Giants over 7' (-120)
    1* Pirates/Brewers under 8 (+105)

  24. #479
    superbowl3056
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    Think i'm going to pass on Cain and consider over instead. Listening to broadcast last night, Giants organization removed a building in CF and the wind flow now really allows the ball to fly to right center. We have 12 mph wind to center for a day game at AT&T, meaning the ball should fly more than at night when marine layer is in effect. Model has 8.6-8.8 runs there, will probably play it.

    Need to decide who to pair with Cards in parlay. Like Tribe and Masterson has good history vs CWS. Was considering Tribe -1 RL but that's now -110. Just fearful that Tribe will blow parlay while Cards win with ease. The neurosis that is Cleveland sports fanship...

    Early leans
    Red Sox/Yankees under 8'
    Royals/Twins under 7'
    Tribe
    Cards
    Rockies/Giants over
    Phils
    Brewers
    Rats/Brewers under 8 (like under better than Brewers)
    Pads
    Cleveland boy and Tribe fan myself. Even with Nasty on the mound today, I don't think I can back us

  25. #480
    BiffTFinancial
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    adding

    1* Moneyline parlay: Tribe + Cardinals (+148)

    Saturday 4.12.2014 updated card
    1* Royals/Twins under 7' (-110)
    1* ML parlay: Tribe + Reds (+148)
    1* Rockies/Giants over 7' (-120)
    1* Pirates/Brewers under 8 (+105)
    Last edited by BiffTFinancial; 04-12-14 at 11:00 AM. Reason: User error; see apology below

  26. #481
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by superbowl3056 View Post
    Cleveland boy and Tribe fan myself. Even with Nasty on the mound today, I don't think I can back us
    I went ahead and pulled the trigger, though i don't blame you for passing on Tribe today. I think that Masterson acts as the stopper today to end this brief skid. He needs an ump who gives him the corners, and i think that Wolcott will. Wolcott doesn't have much of a history, but Masterson beat Sale 4-0 in his one game with Wolcott behind the plate, and i happened to watch Wolcott work Rays/Royals Monday (was on Rays team under for Venture season debut) and think that he is the kind of ump who will benefit Masterson.

    BOL whatever you decide. Either way, Go Tribe!

  27. #482
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    adding

    1* Moneyline parlay: Tribe + Reds (+148)

    Saturday 4.12.2014 updated card
    1* Royals/Twins under 7' (-110)
    1* ML parlay: Tribe + Reds (+148)
    1* Rockies/Giants over 7' (-120)
    1* Pirates/Brewers under 8 (+105)
    TYPO: should be Tribe + Cards, not Reds. My apologies. Was looking at Reds game preview as i typed and my brain stupidly transposed Reds for Cards. Sorry

  28. #483
    BiffTFinancial
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    Saturday 4.12.2014 updated card
    1* Royals/Twins under 7' (-110)
    1* ML parlay: Tribe + Cardinals (+148)
    1* Rockies/Giants over 7' (-120)
    1* Pirates/Brewers under 8 (+105)

  29. #484
    actafoolzz
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    went with tribe + red LOL. Oh well, BOL

  30. #485
    BiffTFinancial
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    Quote Originally Posted by actafoolzz View Post
    went with tribe + red LOL. Oh well, BOL
    I am so so sorry. Wife and kids leaving for two-week vacation with in-laws and i have a lot of chaos going on around me right now. My sincere apologies. If it helps at all, i do lean Reds there. I'm guessing that you got around +267 there? Well, i now will be watching the Reds game rooting like crazy for them. Fk, i'm sorry. Need to pay better attention to what i'm doing.

  31. #486
    BiffTFinancial
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    That's all for the afternoon games. Decided to pass on Red Sox/Yankees under. Back in a few hours, got to run out and do some stuff.

    Sincerely apologies to anyone else who booked Tribe + Reds. My penetrating stupid ass.

  32. #487
    actafoolzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    I am so so sorry. Wife and kids leaving for two-week vacation with in-laws and i have a lot of chaos going on around me right now. My sincere apologies. If it helps at all, i do lean Reds there. I'm guessing that you got around +267 there? Well, i now will be watching the Reds game rooting like crazy for them. Fk, i'm sorry. Need to pay better attention to what i'm doing.

    haha. No need to apologize. Yes I got around +267. Being a noob, it was my fault that I didn't check for the +148. It might all work out for me. I'm not worried. It's just that I sit at work all day and just keep up to date on here. Beats me why I'm working on Saturdays.

  33. #488
    Kicks8901
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    I am so so sorry. Wife and kids leaving for two-week vacation with in-laws and i have a lot of chaos going on around me right now. My sincere apologies. If it helps at all, i do lean Reds there. I'm guessing that you got around +267 there? Well, i now will be watching the Reds game rooting like crazy for them. Fk, i'm sorry. Need to pay better attention to what i'm doing.
    Wish my wife and kids were getting ready to go on a 2 week vacation without me! LOL enjoy and BOL

  34. #489
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    That's all for the afternoon games. Decided to pass on Red Sox/Yankees under. Back in a few hours, got to run out and do some stuff.

    Sincerely apologies to anyone else who booked Tribe + Reds. My penetrating stupid ass.
    Hopefully u glad you passed and I can get a 4-4 gm out of this. Surprised I got best of number at ov8-110 cause figured lot of ppl and ur model would prefer under..

  35. #490
    twoods23
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    What website or sites do you use for your analysis?

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