1. #1
    BeatingBaseball
    It's all about the price
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    Boston - Detroit #3

    Even though Verlander appears to be back to his old self - I'm still going with Boston +130 for both 5 and 9 innings tonight, weighted to the full game X3. The price is right - and I'm banking on the Ortiz shot being a pivot point for the Boston offense (read Kirk Gibson '88 WS) - that Lackey has the good down movement that he's been exhibiting again of late - and that Detroit's bad bullpen work and less than stellar late inning defense in game2 is predictive of things to come.

    The big thing of course will be to do some business with good ABs vs Verlander - if not enough to establish a lead after 5 to at least make him work for his outs and maybe get him out of there before setup/close. Oakland sure wasn't able to do it - but at least tonight he won't have Tom Hallion back there helping him out. Always dangerous betting against JV but I've seen him many times when he is shaky early - esp the 1st inning - and if the Red Sox can get him in the stretch they have the lineup to handle him.

    Still stick with everything else I've said about Boston as a club.
    May not have the best starting pitcher tonight but do have the better team at a nice + price..

  2. #2
    BeatingBaseball
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    Just pressed the Boston plays a bit as the price improved to +138 for 5 inn and +140 game.

  3. #3
    ridersonthestorm
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    BOL

    Go Sox!

  4. #4
    BeatingBaseball
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    The Boston series press at +175 after their loss of game 1 is now looking very very fat and sweet. The overall 4 Units on Boston for the series at -103 is not feeling too bad either. All over Jake Peavy tomorrow. The Ortiz shot in gm2 turned the series and the Cabrera AB in the 8th today was the nut crusher for Detroit. It's going to be an All Red World Series.

  5. #5
    whtsox13
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeatingBaseball View Post
    ...The big thing of course will be to do some business with good ABs vs Verlander...
    Or just one good AB.

  6. #6
    BeatingBaseball
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    Quote Originally Posted by whtsox13 View Post
    Or just one good AB.
    Not sure what you're trying to say. If you are trying to credit Napoli - yes. Sometimes one good AB is all it takes in this game - if you can match a guy like JV pitch per pitch (Lackey tonight - Sonny Gray for Oakland in gm2 ALDS). But if you are trying to somehow discount what the Boston club accomplished tonight by implying they somehow got lucky in one AB, however - you are not looking at this game objectively. Beyond the Boston pitching and defense that shut down the favored Tigers tonight - please realize that they had more than one good AB vs JV. Don't forget that Gomes also took him deep on a 2-strke hanging curve with a man on in the early innings - but it hooked foul in the last 10 ft. Ortiz also squared him up on a shot the other way to the wall in left. The score could easily have been more than 1-0 on those two swings - not to mention Drew's leadoff double late which failed to produce the insurance run because Farell decided to forego the bunt to get him over. Bottom line - both the W and the $ go to Boston on the road. They deserve the credit. The best "team" won this game and will win the series.
    Last edited by BeatingBaseball; 10-16-13 at 04:12 AM.

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