If I wait until gametime tomorrow, the Yankee juice will be so heavy that I might be able to get Phils +1.5 for about -140. That's what I'm hoping for. Right now it's at -150. Regardless of what it is tomorrow, this is the bet I'm making.
Over the last 10 games, the Phils are outscoring the Yanks 6.2 to 5.8 runs per game. Think about that..the Phils are outscoring the Yanks even without the use of a DH. They will have one tomorrow. On top of this, the stats for Cliff Lee over his last three starts are even better than CC's. Cliff Lee's ERA over the last three starts is 0.74!
Now there is definite value in taking the Phils ML; however, I feel more confident with having the one-run cushion simply because the home field advantage for the Yanks is the best in baseball.
Either way, this game is going to be very tight...which makes a play of +1.5 a Sterling bet.