1. 07-24-13 11:03 PM #1
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    Giants have stranded 8 through 4 innings

    EIGHT.

    Is that even possible?

    Oh well, it's not like I have a huge bet on them or anything.

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  2. 07-24-13 11:10 PM #2
    whtsox13
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    Check the Dodgers box - 2 for 17 with RISP, 13 LOB. And a W.
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  3. 07-24-13 11:23 PM #3
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    10 through 5 now.

    10 hits and 1 run.

    Out-hit CIN 10-8 and are down 6-1.

    This is the damn dumbest shit I've ever seen. f\*\*k Leake. Fvcking wizard.
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  4. 07-24-13 11:25 PM #4
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Can't believe people are still betting on the Giants. Especially against Leake absolute stud on the road. Leake very underrated.
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  5. 07-24-13 11:28 PM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
    Can't believe people are still betting on the Giants. Especially against Leake absolute stud on the road. Leake very underrated.
    I take it you haven't actually watched him pitch and are just looking at his surface stats.

    Guy is far from a "stud" anywhere. He's having a total fluke year.
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  6. 07-24-13 11:28 PM #6
    DoggyStyle
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    I was just going to post a thread on this! Glad i got the Reds just to win 41 n change. Sucks to suck Giants
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  7. 07-24-13 11:30 PM #7
    cameron
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I take it you haven't actually watched him pitch and are just looking at his surface stats.

    Guy is far from a "stud" anywhere. He's having a total fluke year.
    And Gaudin isn't? You really expected him to outpitch Leake? Sorry bro but this was fairly easy.
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  8. 07-24-13 11:31 PM #8
    PAULYPOKER
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    STFU you lil cryin bitch........
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  9. 07-24-13 11:33 PM #9
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I take it you haven't actually watched him pitch and are just looking at his surface stats.

    Guy is far from a "stud" anywhere. He's having a total fluke year.
    Lol. A fluke year. Gl with that grope master Gaudin.
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  10. 07-24-13 11:33 PM #10
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Lewdness charge makes for a beautiful year.
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  11. 07-24-13 11:34 PM #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by cameron View Post
    And Gaudin isn't? You really expected him to outpitch Leake? Sorry bro but this was fairly easy.
    Why did 57-44 Cincy only open as a -111 fave given Leake's numbers and the fact that they're playing the 46-54 Giants? I don't know -- maybe it is really this easy and the books just like giving away free money, much like the Dodgers over and over again. Cincy should've been -130 minimum tonight.
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  12. 07-24-13 11:35 PM #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
    Lol. A fluke year. Gl with that grope master Gaudin.
    Take a look at Leake's advanced stats compared to previous years and get back to me.

    I'm not saying he isn't decent, but yes, his surface stats (W-L, ERA, etc.) are a total fluke.
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  13. 07-24-13 11:39 PM #13
    KiDBaZkiT
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    I don't care about his stats from previous years on a night like tonight. Giants are cold, Pagan is greatly missed. No Posey tonight and Gaudin didn't scare my money one bit. Line was a lil goofy but that's not always everything.
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  14. 07-24-13 11:40 PM #14
    cameron
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Why did 57-44 Cincy only open as a -111 fave given Leake's numbers and the fact that they're playing the 46-54 Giants? I don't know -- maybe it is really this easy and the books just like giving away free money, much like the Dodgers over and over again. Cincy should've been -130 minimum tonight.
    In my opinion Giants should've been favored.... At home with a guy that's been near unhittable at home all I know Giants can't hit but still they're a home team with theyre best statistical pitcher pitching.
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  15. 07-24-13 11:44 PM #15
    MagicDiceFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Why did 57-44 Cincy only open as a -111 fave given Leake's numbers and the fact that they're playing the 46-54 Giants? I don't know -- maybe it is really this easy and the books just like giving away free money, much like the Dodgers over and over again. Cincy should've been -130 minimum tonight.
    Line was right Coin. Even though Cincy has the better record, books would never hang Cincy at -130 given the Giants hottest pitcher was on the mound......-110 was about right.

    Although sharp bettors would have picked up on Cincy hitting in Pacbell really well.
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  16. 07-24-13 11:47 PM #16
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Your saying Leake is overrated but you want him to be a -130 road fave against Gaudin with his numbers who was going into tonight at what like 4-1 and nice ERA??
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  17. 07-24-13 11:50 PM #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
    Your saying Leake is overrated but you want him to be a -130 road fave against Gaudin with his numbers who was going into tonight at what like 4-1 and nice ERA??
    Cincy is 11 games better than SF in the standings, and Leake is 9-4 with a 2.79 ERA overall and 6-1 with a 2.19 ERA on the road. Posey isn't playing. Yes, the Reds should've been -130. I figured the books knew what they were doing here. Guess not.
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  18. 07-25-13 12:08 AM #18
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    Bases loaded no one out....

    And nothing? Again?

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  19. 07-25-13 12:13 AM #19
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  20. 07-25-13 12:15 AM #20
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    Wow.

    13 through 7 after that gem.

    What's the 9-inning record?
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  21. 07-25-13 12:15 AM #21
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Cincy is 11 games better than SF in the standings, and Leake is 9-4 with a 2.79 ERA overall and 6-1 with a 2.19 ERA on the road. Posey isn't playing. Yes, the Reds should've been -130. I figured the books knew what they were doing here. Guess not.
    you need to stop worrying what the books are thinking man. Your making this shit harder than it needs to be. Just evaluate the game being played on the field.

    Trust your gut.
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  22. 07-25-13 12:23 AM #22
    whtsox13
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    DBacks have stranded 14 through 10 innings. Left the bases loaded three times.
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  23. 07-25-13 12:30 AM #23
    alamo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    you need to stop worrying what the books are thinking man. Your making this shit harder than it needs to be. Just evaluate the game being played on the field.

    Trust your gut.
    Very good advice. Its all about the pitcher and the better team in baseball. Most of the time the books will know this but they make mistakes.
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  24. 07-25-13 12:39 AM #24
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by alamo View Post

    Very good advice. Its all about the pitcher and the better team in baseball. Most of the time the books will know this but they make mistakes.
    The only thing the books know is that the public will ALWAYS bet on the losing team in the long run.......

    It is that simple.....
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  25. 07-25-13 12:43 AM #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by alamo View Post
    Very good advice. Its all about the pitcher and the better team in baseball. Most of the time the books will know this but they make mistakes.
    No, it's not.
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  26. 07-25-13 12:45 AM #26
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    If the Giants manage to strand the bases loaded in the 9th, they'll be the first team in 27 years -- and just the second since 1956 -- to leave 18 on base in a single nine-inning game.
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  27. 07-25-13 03:23 AM #27
    whtsox13
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    If the Giants manage to strand the bases loaded in the 9th, they'll be the first team in 27 years -- and just the second since 1956 -- to leave 18 on base in a single nine-inning game.
    translation: I lost because of a statistical anomaly. Did the Reds bats, gloves, and pitching play a role or just inept Giants offense when it mattered?
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  28. 07-25-13 05:26 AM #28
    HardCore
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    you need to stop worrying what the books are thinking man. Your making this shit harder than it needs to be. Just evaluate the game being played on the field.

    Trust your gut.
    yea i could care less what the books think honestly, unless its basketball where every other fukking gm is fixed. NFL/MLB i just wathc the games and make plays accordingly.
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  29. 07-25-13 08:13 AM #29
    YouHave2outs
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Cincy should've been -130 minimum tonight.
    this logic leads you to the conclusion that Giants +105 is a solid play.

    best troll on the forum = nocoin
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  30. 07-25-13 10:03 AM #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by YouHave2outs View Post
    this logic leads you to the conclusion that Giants +105 is a solid play.

    best troll on the forum = nocoin
    I'm always going to side with the books, because in the long run, they make the money -- not you.

    They're not infallible, but I'd rather listen to the guys who set lines for a living than people who think they're smarter than the books long-term.
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