1. #1
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Travis Wood is +188 in StL on Monday



    What kind of line is this?

    Should be +160 tops.

  2. #2
    tg09
    tg09's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-26-12
    Posts: 208
    Betpoints: 454

    http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvsp...15/travis-wood

    haven't really looked at this game yet but these numbers rationalize the +188

  3. #3
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,661
    Betpoints: 32303

    Books are begging for Cub money, I bet there will be a shit load of Card run line money too.

    Look for a 4-3 or 5-4 type one run win for St. Louis.
    Books will collect from all sides.
    Seen it 1000 times.

  4. #4
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by tg09 View Post
    http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvsp...15/travis-wood

    haven't really looked at this game yet but these numbers rationalize the +188
    What's Wood done against the Cards this year? He's a much different/better pitcher than he has been in years past.

    I agree nasher -- that +1.5 is awfully tempting at a pretty low number on the Cubs' side. Cubs aren't really that bad; their bullpen is just atrocious.

  5. #5
    drfunkmaster
    printing it
    drfunkmaster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-29-08
    Posts: 11,162
    Betpoints: 1065

    over

  6. #6
    pacocn
    pacocn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-05-10
    Posts: 12,934

    Take cubies +1.5 and cash

  7. #7
    pacocn
    pacocn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-05-10
    Posts: 12,934

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Books are begging for Cub money, I bet there will be a shit load of Card run line money too.

    Look for a 4-3 or 5-4 type one run win for St. Louis.
    Books will collect from all sides.
    Seen it 1000 times.
    n.c. and nasher is there a site to find percentages on cubs rl?

  8. #8
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    I didn't have time to look at anything but I'd assume wood kind of guy cards hate to hit against. That said miller prob shut scrubbies down. Tight low scoring makes sense.

  9. #9
    joco
    joco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-24-11
    Posts: 3,242
    Betpoints: 8045

    i dunno. miller got slapped around his last outing...mite take cubs ff

  10. #10
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    I agree....+188 seems high...its just not easy betting the cubs

  11. #11
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by joco View Post
    i dunno. miller got slapped around his last outing...mite take cubs ff
    I like this. Games that are nationally televised, or atleast on ESPN are uncapable. What ever makes sense, bet the opposite.

  12. #12
    leetreaper
    leetreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-10
    Posts: 34,841
    Betpoints: 2140

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Books are begging for Cub money, I bet there will be a shit load of Card run line money too.

    Look for a 4-3 or 5-4 type one run win for St. Louis.
    Books will collect from all sides.
    Seen it 1000 times.
    Yeah, I like Stl and Over.

  13. #13
    HardCore
    I Win Some, I Lose Less
    HardCore's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-05-12
    Posts: 3,615
    Betpoints: 72

    It's just too much for miller vs wood it kinda has me wondering what waino'swill be tomorrow -230ish probably.

  14. #14
    ThingsFallApart
    ThingsFallApart's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-10
    Posts: 880

    [QUOTE=No coincidences;18934866]What's Wood done against the Cards this year? He's a much different/better pitcher than he has been in years past.
    /QUOTE]

    Bro 108 at bats is 108 at bats. He didn't have an arm transplant. I agree he has improved but you should know baseball enough to know if guys have seen a pitcher that many times he isn't suddenly going to fool them. It only happens the other way. With that said +188 has a lot of value especially considering the Cards have been playing just about .500 ball for a couple of weeks now, but your analysis is off. I'm just waiting for a 6-1 victory for stl so you all of a sudden come back flabbergasted at how a superior team could possibly win with so much "value" on the other side

  15. #15
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    [QUOTE=ThingsFallApart;18937836]
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    What's Wood done against the Cards this year? He's a much different/better pitcher than he has been in years past.
    /QUOTE]

    Bro 108 at bats is 108 at bats. He didn't have an arm transplant. I agree he has improved but you should know baseball enough to know if guys have seen a pitcher that many times he isn't suddenly going to fool them. It only happens the other way. With that said +188 has a lot of value especially considering the Cards have been playing just about .500 ball for a couple of weeks now, but your analysis is off. I'm just waiting for a 6-1 victory for stl so you all of a sudden come back flabbergasted at how a superior team could possibly win with so much "value" on the other side
    108 at-bats as a team is a lot? In his other start vs. the Cards this year, he gave up 1 run in 6.2 IP with 8 K's.

    You have completely contradicted yourself in the bolded part. I don't even understand what you're trying to say, other than the fact that you're covering your bases for either outcome.

  16. #16
    ridims
    ridims's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-10
    Posts: 3,863

    cards seem to always win after a loss.

    however, i think the cubs are a great value bet and could pull off the win. cards are back home after being on the road for a bit. they are obviously tired, they lost 2 of 3 in miami....

  17. #17
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    Cards have been playing .500 ball? Lol whateveR you say

  18. #18
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,661
    Betpoints: 32303

    Looking at Mr. Radar, I really don't think they play tonight

  19. #19
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    Cards have been playing .500 ball? Lol whateveR you say
    Mia series the 1st series they lost in a month and a half. Lmao.. Wouldn't know it here in stl today tho. Ppl act like the sky is falling after a 5-4 road trip where they took 2 of 3 from Cincy, lol.

  20. #20
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Looking at Mr. Radar, I really don't think they play tonight
    You saying I'm gonna get rained on at work nasher? I havnt checked , heard it might rain, heard it be spotty for most part tho. They never know.

  21. #21
    You mad bro
    You mad bro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-12
    Posts: 16,641
    Betpoints: -23

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Mia series the 1st series they lost in a month and a half. Lmao.. Wouldn't know it here in stl today tho. Ppl act like the sky is falling after a 5-4 road trip where they took 2 of 3 from Cincy, lol.
    44-25 ... I guess they're average though ...

  22. #22
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    [QUOTE=No coincidences;18937856]
    Quote Originally Posted by ThingsFallApart View Post

    108 at-bats as a team is a lot? In his other start vs. the Cards this year, he gave up 1 run in 6.2 IP with 8 K's.

    You have completely contradicted yourself in the bolded part. I don't even understand what you're trying to say, other than the fact that you're covering your bases for either outcome.
    No matter what wood has done vs stl he is def the kind of soft tossing lefty cards have a tendency to struggle with, everyone round here should know that by now seeing how I been saying it forever

  23. #23
    ThingsFallApart
    ThingsFallApart's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-24-10
    Posts: 880

    [QUOTE=2daBank;18939742]
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post

    No matter what wood has done vs stl he is def the kind of soft tossing lefty cards have a tendency to struggle with, everyone round here should know that by now seeing how I been saying it forever
    They don't struggle against them as much after the La Russa era. Really its an entirely different team from when they had those struggles, Holiday is the only medium holdover from that era where any lefty that could max out at 89 would be a cy young candidate when they played.

  24. #24
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,661
    Betpoints: 32303

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Looking at Mr. Radar, I really don't think they play tonight
    NL-Cubs @ Cardinals
    Weather Update Mon, 17 Jun 2013 03:23:00 PM
    The Tarp is currently on the field for Monday's game between the Cubs and Cardinals. Rain likely 60-70% throughout game. No word of a delay yet.
    Busch Stadium 6 hour forecast
    5 PM 6 PM 7 PM 8 PM 9 PM 10 PM
    Rain 70% Rain 65% Rain 60% Rain 30% Rain 5% Rain 30%

  25. #25
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    [QUOTE=ThingsFallApart;18939786]
    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post

    They don't struggle against them as much after the La Russa era. Really its an entirely different team from when they had those struggles, Holiday is the only medium holdover from that era where any lefty that could max out at 89 would be a cy young candidate when they played.
    hasnt vchanged much this yr bro..

  26. #26
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Yea it raining all around here now nasher. Cept where I'm at. Lol

  27. #27
    OhMyEli
    OhMyEli's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-17-12
    Posts: 1,164

    Handled them relatively easily. Next...

  28. #28
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by OhMyEli View Post
    Handled them relatively easily. Next...
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-b...read-p101.html

  29. #29
    Gus Fring
    Gus Fring's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-13
    Posts: 3,423
    Betpoints: 745

    NoCoin, do u ever sleep?

Top