1. #1
    No coincidences
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    Tampa/Detroit over 8.5 (-110)

    Scherzer has a 5.17 ERA at home.

    Fausto is a gascan with a 5.23 ERA on the road.

    Both have ERAs over 5 in limited day action.

    Both bullpens are suspect to say the least.

    Not betting it personally, but looks good to go.

  2. #2
    chantrain
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    do you have a lean on a side?

  3. #3
    RetardStrength
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    60* and Sunny...

    Balls will sail!

    Like the play for a quarter unit...

  4. #4
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by chantrain View Post
    do you have a lean on a side?
    Not sure how you could logically back Fausto on the road against a team like the Tigers, but the # is way too high to take Detroit.

  5. #5
    RetardStrength
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    agree NC... waaay too much chalk here.

    Over is the better play

  6. #6
    detroitlionsfan
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    i dunno i like tigers -1.5 myself

    whats to say sherz wont deal ?

    and i doubt tigers offense blanks two games in a row

  7. #7
    Sixla
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    Detroit TT over 4.5 is the play!

  8. #8
    blackeyeshamus
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    TB/DET ff OVER 5 @ +115 1x
    TB/DET OVER 9 @ +108 1x
    BOL

  9. #9
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by detroitlionsfan View Post
    i dunno i like tigers -1.5 myself

    whats to say sherz wont deal ?

    and i doubt tigers offense blanks two games in a row
    Scherzer's never overly sharp during the day, and his numbers at home have been pedestrian to say the least.

  10. #10
    Marooner
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    Since no coin is insane, i'll help you guys out. 'fatso' carmona has a winning record against Detroit. fatso carmona is pitching on an extra day of rest. Detroit sucks ass in day games, tampa doesn't. scherzer has been terrible at home, just gotten tons of run support. smart money is on the under. anything can happen, but expect Detroit to lay another egg. they are a losing team in day games, with a pitcher due for some serious regression, going against a team who is above average in day games, hit righties well, is on fire for awhile now, with a rested pitcher. tampa wins 5-3.

  11. #11
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marooner View Post
    Since no coin is insane, i'll help you guys out. 'fatso' carmona has a winning record against Detroit. fatso carmona is pitching on an extra day of rest. Detroit sucks ass in day games, tampa doesn't. scherzer has been terrible at home, just gotten tons of run support. smart money is on the under. anything can happen, but expect Detroit to lay another egg. they are a losing team in day games, with a pitcher due for some serious regression, going against a team who is above average in day games, hit righties well, is on fire for awhile now, with a rested pitcher. tampa wins 5-3.
    How is that so much different than what I've been saying in this thread, ghost?

    You act like I'm advocating a play on Detroit, which I'm not. And you're saying the game will be 5-3, which is pretty close to the 8.5 total.

    BTW genius, Detroit is 12-14 in day games with a 4.01 ERA; Tampa is 10-10 with a 4.12 ERA. Detroit ranks 2nd in the AL in day BA; Tampa is dead-last.

    And I'm the "insane" one. LOL. Only at SBR.

  12. #12
    HardCore
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    How is that so much different than what I've been saying in this thread, ghost?

    You act like I'm advocating a play on Detroit, which I'm not. And you're saying the game will be 5-3, which is pretty close to the 8.5 total.

    BTW genius, Detroit is 12-14 in day games with a 4.01 ERA; Tampa is 10-10 with a 4.12 ERA. Detroit ranks 2nd in the AL in day BA; Tampa is dead-last.

    And I'm the "insane" one. LOL. Only at SBR.
    cant we all just get along lol

  13. #13
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by HardCore View Post
    cant we all just get along lol
    Can't fix stupid, but you can correct it.

  14. #14
    matt1216
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    TB team total under 3.5 runs -109

  15. #15
    thes0vereign
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    TB team total under 3.5 runs -109
    Funny, I was just checking out the TB TT O3.5

  16. #16
    HardCore
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Can't fix stupid, but you can correct it.
    well said imma start saying that/doing that to select idiots i come across in everyday life. Good line NC

  17. #17
    riffraff24
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    Both pitchers ERAs in the .200s facing these teams

  18. #18
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by thes0vereign View Post
    Funny, I was just checking out the TB TT O3.5
    Who knows, i may be wrong here

  19. #19
    Gus Fring
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    Fausto Carmona is a identity theif lol

  20. #20
    chantrain
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    Ball not exactly flying out of the park yet

  21. #21
    Gus Fring
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    Won't even be half the amount of runs

  22. #22
    RetardStrength
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    LOL Snoozer...

  23. #23
    chantrain
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    Tigers fukk me 2 days in a row

  24. #24
    riffraff24
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    Quote Originally Posted by riffraff24 View Post
    Both pitchers ERAs in the .200s facing these teams

  25. #25
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Scherzer has a 5.17 ERA at home.

    Fausto is a gascan with a 5.23 ERA on the road.

    Both have ERAs over 5 in limited day action.

    Both bullpens are suspect to say the least.

    Not betting it personally, but looks good to go.
    You haven't lost your touch for totals, that's for sure

  26. #26
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    You haven't lost your touch for totals, that's for sure
    I honestly think the key to totals is just to play the opposite of what makes the most sense.

    Kind of like the day Danny Haren and Freddy Garcia were locked in a pitchers' duel.

  27. #27
    chantrain
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    There's 2

    only need 7 more

  28. #28
    Gus Fring
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    Omar the rally killer

  29. #29
    HardCore
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I honestly think the key to totals is just to play the opposite of what makes the most sense.

    Kind of like the day Danny Haren and Freddy Garcia were locked in a pitchers' duel.
    i feel you cause i got burned on the 1st 2 games of the pit/atl series with the under and then on gm 3 when the total is its highest at 8 i pass and Fn Teheran has a no hitter thew 7 so i definatley feel u

  30. #30
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by chantrain View Post
    There's 2

    only need 7 more

    Lol guys this game had under written all over it. Like yesterdays bluejays game. Read the lines fellas

  31. #31
    HardCore
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    lets go man good shit ** how dare this hernandez fuk stare down mr. triple crown himself like he's good or something

  32. #32
    HardCore
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    wow did sbr really just edit m....c... i was just using miguel cabrera's initials

  33. #33
    face
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    lots of movement on fausto's pitches lately, maybe he's not as bad as i thought. need to make a note that he doens't totally blow anymore

  34. #34
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I honestly think the key to totals is just to play the opposite of what makes the most sense.

    Kind of like the day Danny Haren and Freddy Garcia were locked in a pitchers' duel.
    FWIW, Scherzer's home ERA is slightly better than his road ERA since he moved to Comerica and Fausto's road starts have been @tex @Bal @Chw @Bal @Mia. Can't fault him for having some ugly numbers on the road this season

  35. #35
    Gus Fring
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    More stranded runners by Tigers

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