Losers of six in a row, being out scored 16-40 and the line move 10-15 cents in favor of Seattle? Yet some of this move may be Saunders home play, eh? The southpaw is 10-0 at Safeco Field and putting up a 3-0, 0.94 ERA in 4 home starts this year. Saunder is 3-1 with an ERA of 2.41 ERA in six career home starts against the Rangers. However, it is a bit troubling the Rangers are 11-5 against the southpaw.
I believe there is a contrarian view to gambling... most wold think to take the Rangers against the Mariners losers of 6 in a row. However, the Mariners do rather well being losers of 6/7 out their last 10. Since Sept. of 2011, they are 30-9 with an average win margin of 2.5 runs. They are 6-3 in this spot this year and 7-1 against the Rangers since 2012 season. The ONLY thing I don't like about this bet is has lost all it's value regarding this situation. The average line in this spot is +122...uggh.
Another situation, I noticed from the Mariners, they do well coming off a bad road loss and they are home dogs in the first game of a series. In fact since 2004, that are 8-0 as home dogs in the first game of a series coming off a 5+ run loss. Average win margin is 3.3 runs during that time. Most recent being (Maurer v. Richards 6-0)
I really like the under in this game as well. Any thoughts...ya, no, maybe so?