 SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks |
Best Sportsbooks List
|
|
| |||||
| #1 FanDuel | SBR rating 4.8/5 | Review | #6 BetRivers | SBR rating 4.1/5 | Review | #2 Caesars | SBR rating 4.7/5 | Review | #7 Fanatics | SBR rating 4.1/5 | Review |
| #3 DraftKings | SBR rating 4.7/5 | Review | #8 Betway | SBR rating 3.8/5 | Review | ||
| #4 BetMGM | SBR rating 4.6/5 | Review | #9 Borgata | SBR rating 3.5/5 | Review | ||
| #5 bet365 | SBR rating 4.6/5 | Review | #10 ClutchBet | SBR rating 2.9/5 | Review | ||
icancount2one's MLB 2013 thread
So, it's a little late to be starting threads, but I haven't had a play that I really liked before this.
Last year, I went +14.5 units, 1 2 and 3 unit plays only (to win). Same rules apply this year.
Tomorrow:
Cincinnati Reds -230 @ Miami. Latos v. Slowey or no action
4.6u to win 2u.
YTD 0-1 -4.6u
There were some technical issues with the system I'm using, but I think I got the kinks worked out (that means expect to see more plays, I'm not making an excuse for losing a -230 play). Don't expect to see that kind of chalk often, btw. It seems any time the numbers add up for a really square play it ALWAYS loses, eh?
Well here we go, TONIGHT 4/25
Seattle Mariners +110, 1.82u to win 2u
Oakland Athletics -125 1.25u to win 1u
TOMORROW 4/26
Toronto Blue Jays +105 1.90u to win 2u
Seattle Mariners +140 0.71u to win 1u
Minnesota Twins +110 2.73u to win 3u
Ouch, 1-4 the last couple days, 1-5 -9.19 units YTD. Started off rough last year, but not like this. Let's get this thing back on the right track.
4/28
Toronto -110 (Dickey v Hughes) 1.1u to win 1u
Miami +115 (Nolasco v Villanueva) 0.87u to win 1u
Colorado +130 (Garland v Corbin) 2.31u to win 3u
4/29
Houston +215 (Harrell vs Pettite) 0.47u to win 1u
4/30
Oakland -105 2.2u to win 2u (Parker vs Richards)
2-5 -8.19 units YTD
3-5 -6.19 units YTD
5/2/2013 SDG E Stults CHC T Wood MLB Moneyline +130 $30.77 $40.00 0 -110.76 20.87%
5/2/2013 CHW J Peavy TEX J Grimm MLB Moneyline +120 $33.33 $40.00 0 -125.63 22.50%
5/2
SDG +130 2.31 to win 3 units
CHW +120 2.5 to win 3 units
5/3
CLE -150 4.5u to win 3u (Hernandez v Masterson)
with the 2 wins on 5/2 we're almost out of this hole.
5-5 (-0.19 u) pending tonight's games
Upon checking my graded bets instead of just the scores, it seems I made a couple mistakes. I had a bet graded as a push I thought I had won (pitching change) and I completely forgot to grade one of my posts. Here is an accurate update.
Date Play Pitchers Risk Win Grade Net YTD 19-Apr CIN -230 Latos v Slowey 4.6 2 L -4.6 -4.6 25-Apr SEA +110 1.82 2 W 2 -2.6 25-Apr OAK -125 1.25 1 L -1.25 -3.85 26-Apr TOR +105 1.9 2 L -1.9 -5.75 26-Apr SEA +140 0.71 1 L -0.71 -6.46 26-Apr MIN + 110 2.73 3 L -2.73 -9.19 28-Apr TOR -110 Dickey v Hughes 1.1 1 L -1.1 -10.29 28-Apr MIA +115 Nolasco v Villanueva 0.87 1 W 1 -9.29 28-Apr COL +130 Garland v Corbin 2.31 3 L -2.31 -11.6 29-Apr HOU +215 Harrel vs Pettite 0.47 1 W 1 -10.6 30-Apr OAK -105 Parker vs Richards 2.2 2 W 2 -8.6 2-May SDG +130 Stultz vs Wood 2.31 3 W 3 -5.6 2-May CHW +120 Peavy vs Grimm 2.5 3 No action -5.6 3-May CLE -150 Hernandez vs Masterson 4.5 3 W 3 -2.6
Total: 6-7, still -2.6u because of the pitching change and lost bets on the post I missed.
5/5
Philadelphia -183 3.66 to win 2 units (Halladay vs Slowey)
Minnesota +130 2.31 to win 3 units (Pelfrey vs. Kluber)
5/6 OAK +112 (Parker vs. Jimenez) .893 to win 1u
YTD 7-8 -4.26 units
5/7
Milwaukee +105 (Peralta vs Grimm) 2.86 to win 3u
YTD 8-8 -1.26u. Living up to my current status.
Washington +110 (Zimmermann vs Sanchez) 1.82 to win 2u
5/8 obvOriginally Posted by icancount2one
5/9
Philadelphia +105 (Hamels vs Corbin) 0.95u to win 1u
NYM -110 (Gee vs Locke) 2.2u to win 2u
5/10
Colorado +155 (Garland vs Miller) 1.29u to win 2u
YTD (Pending games on 5/9)
9-8 (+0.74u)
Huzzah! Technically positive units and W-L!!!
Pretty much still breaking even and bonus whoring... story of my life.
5/11
Toronto +190(Buehrle vs Bucholz) 1.05u to win 2u
5/12
NYY + 105 1.9 units to win 2 units
SDG +125 2.4 units to win 3 units
YTD update after I get some sleep... possibly after tomorrow's games.
YTD (pending games on 5/12 - it's going to be painful cheering for the Yankees...)
11-10 (+2.50 units)
btw, pitchers for today (I omitted in the post, but did specify when I bet)
NYY: Kuroda vs Santana
SDG: Stultz vs Hernandez
Milwaukee +135 (Estrada vs Burnett) 2.22 units to win 3 units.
YTD 12-11 +2.1 units
5/14
Milwaukee -117 (Lohse vs Locke) 1.17u to win 1u
Philadelphia +107 1u to win 1.07u
YTD (pending games on 5/14)
13-11 (+5.10 units)
5/15
NY Mets +185 1.62 to win 3u (Miller v Marcum)
Philadelphia -170 3.4 to win 2u (Hamels v. Kluber)
YTD: 14-12 +5 units even
Keep up the good work man, but why the Mets?
YTD 14-14 -.02 units
I use a statistical model, project the outcomes of every game, and compare the projection to the line. I've come out positive two years running, but last year was the first that I posted plays. Right now we're just keeping up with the juice, but that's better than losing, I suppose!
Ok boys, after nothing today, we got a huge one tomorrow:
5/17
Chicago Cubs + 135 2.22 to win 3 units
Philadelphia -115 2.3 to win 2 units
Minnesota +145 1.38 to win 2 units
Oakland +115 2.61 to win 3 units
5/22
Philadelphia -168 (Lee vs Slowey) 1.68u to win 1u
Reply With Quote
