[Spedizzo]

Sharps help me out here...

Giants lost 2 to Brewers already... and this game is to avoid a sweep. Giants are the defending World Series champs and have their ace on the mound who hasn't won a game yet (nor has the team in any of the 3 games he has pitched.) Gallardo has been inconsistent, and this is the perfect game for the sometimes lackluster Giants offense to score some runs behind a solid pitcher in Matt Cain.

All logic would point to a Giants win. I was originally expecting a line in the area of -150. Regardless of the last few games, Giants are a public team and Cain is a public pitcher. Fukking Kershaw was like -260 yesterday.

However, the line was at -135 and went down as low as -105 at some places, despite a majority of the public being on the Giants. Posey was a 20 cent drop? Smells fishy. I know you shouldn't read to heavily into the lines, especially in baseball, but what gives? Is Brewers the play?

[onacloud]

Gallardo has been sober for 3 days he will throw a 7 inning shut out

Cubs hit two HRs off Cain wouldn't back him right now

[NOboy]

scutaro is likely to be replaced by nick noonan as well. so not just posey

[Hotnicks]

Same thing happened 2 days ago. Line opened, dropped, and the public was all over giants. Then zito got his titties lit up. I followed the steam and cashed last time so I'm hoping for a repeat.

[NOboy]

1. Angel Pagan (S) CF 2. Gregor Blanco (L) LF 3. Pablo Sandoval (S) 3B 4. Hunter Pence (R) RF 5. Brandon Crawford (L) SS 6. Nick Noonan (L) 2B 7. Brandon Belt (L) 1B 8. Hector Sanchez (S) C 9. Matt Cain (R) P official line up for giants, brew crew rolling with regular lineup

[EVPlus]

Cain hasn't displayed the 2012 form. Also, everyone talks about Mil bp but SF bp hasn't been much to write home about.

PRIOR to last night's game, the stats:

Giants BP 4.44 ERA/1.274 WHIP/12 RUNS/22 HITS/4 HRs/9 WALKS/23 K's on the Road

Brewers BP 4.85 ERA/1.517 WHIP/19 RUNS/34 HITS/6 HRs/11 WALKS/30 K's at Home

As you can see, there isn't a big of a difference as most people think. I passed SF/MIL yesterday and will probably pass today as I see more interesting angles to exploit.