1. 03-03-13 12:19 AM #1
    pm4e
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    computer program Spring Training 2013 picks

    I'll be posting my MLB Spring Training picks in this thread, beginning with Sunday, 3/3/2013. Last year I developed a program that pulls the hitting lineups of every game being played, then calculates various sabremetric stats from it. I'll be making calls based on the data it puts out this year.
    Last edited by pm4e; 03-03-13 at 01:37 AM.
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  2. 03-03-13 11:34 AM #2
    pm4e
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    Sunday 3/3/2013
    ATL -115, 1.15 units to win 1.00
    LAD -115, 1.15 units to win 1.00

    Waiting for info on rest of the games
    Edit: Everything is updated and no additional picks.
    Last edited by pm4e; 03-03-13 at 12:05 PM.
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  3. 03-03-13 06:24 PM #3
    pm4e
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    Record:
    2-0, +2.00 units

    Can't complain with a 2-0 start. See you tomorrow!
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  4. 03-03-13 10:14 PM #4
    OMGRandyJackson
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    GL on the season! Are you using spring training to test?
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  5. 03-04-13 07:51 AM #5
    wgortney
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    Can't really complain about the way this season started for you!
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  6. 03-04-13 10:04 AM #6
    pm4e
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    OMGRandyJackson, this is actually a program that I worked on during Spring Training last year, so I have a pretty good idea of what I'm doing (hopefully!). Regular season is a completely different program and data pool.

    Monday 3/4/2013
    PHI -110, 1.10 units to win 1.00
    ATL -115, 1.15 units to win 1.00
    SEA -125, 1.25 units to win 1.00
    CLE +105, 1.00 units to win .105

    Might add more. Still waiting on data for min/stl, sf/chw, sd/tex, and cin/ari
    Last edited by pm4e; 03-04-13 at 10:07 AM.
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  7. 03-04-13 10:33 AM #7
    pm4e
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    Monday 3/4/2013
    Adding:
    CHW -115, 1.15 units to win 1.00
    TEX -135, 1.35 units to win 1.00

    That's all for today.
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  8. 03-04-13 05:27 PM #8
    pm4e
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    Record:
    8-0, +8.05 units

    Can't complain with a 8-0 start. See you tomorrow!
    Last edited by pm4e; 03-04-13 at 05:31 PM.
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  9. 03-04-13 05:29 PM #9
    EXhoosier10
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    haha nice start, pm4e
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  10. 03-04-13 05:46 PM #10
    CHR1S
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    Impressive. Will be watching this thread
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  11. 03-05-13 08:33 AM #11
    wgortney
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    One of the best starting streaks for spring training that I have ever seen!
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  12. 03-05-13 10:43 AM #12
    pm4e
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    Thanks!

    Tuesday 3/5/2013:
    LAD -105, 1.05 units to win 1.00

    Might add some more. Still waiting for data on CIN/LAA (3:00 EST game) and ATL/NYY (7:00 EST game)
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  13. 03-05-13 12:25 PM #13
    pm4e
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    Tuesday 3/5/2013:
    Adding:
    LAA -110,     1.10 units to win 1.00
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  14. 03-05-13 01:23 PM #14
    wgortney
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    I follow your forum about your spring training picks and I was wondering where you got your data for the games. Such as who is starting and the lineups.

    Please anything you can give that will help would be appreciated.
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  15. 03-05-13 05:16 PM #15
    pm4e
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    Tuesday 3/5/2013:
    Adding:
    ATL +105,     1.0 unit to win 1.05
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  16. 03-05-13 09:24 PM #16
    pm4e
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    Record:
    10-1, +9.05 units
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  17. 03-06-13 09:38 AM #17
    pm4e
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    Wednesday 3/6/2013:
    PHI -120, 1.20 units to win 1.00
    STL -150, 1.50 units to win 1.00
    PIT +105, 1.00 unit to win 1.05
    TEX -140, 1.40 units to win 1.00

    Waiting for info on KC/ARI and MIL/SEA
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  18. 03-06-13 09:49 AM #18
    562
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    Looking to tail you on a few picks! Which would you say is the strongest out of your picks today?

    Thank you for sharing your systems picks!
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  19. 03-06-13 10:10 AM #19
    pm4e
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    No opinion on strength
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  20. 03-06-13 10:13 AM #20
    562
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    Ok thanks! Nonetheless, bol to both of us!

    Thank you for your insights!
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  21. 03-06-13 11:16 AM #21
    pm4e
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    Wednesday 3/6/2013:
    Adding:
    SEA -135, 1.35 units to win 1.00
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  22. 03-06-13 05:27 PM #22
    pm4e
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    Record:
    14-2, +11.75 units
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  23. 03-07-13 04:25 AM #23
    joemingia125
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    Tailing. Don't know how you're 14-2 but that's amazing for preseason
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  24. 03-07-13 09:34 AM #24
    pm4e
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    On the one hand, I spent a lot of time developing my program during spring training last year. When I run it, it literally freezes my computer for up to 10 minutes until it's finished. On the other hand, a 14-2 start definitely means there's some luck in there. Only God can predict at that rate regularly.

    One note: Because it took so long for me to get it working, I did not start making picks for myself until March 10th last year. From 3/10/12 to the end of spring training, it only averaged about 2 plays per day. I have made a lot of tweaks since then, but the 4 plays a day average so far this year is more than I thought. I'm interested to see if that will continue.
    Last edited by pm4e; 03-07-13 at 09:39 AM.
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  25. 03-07-13 09:56 AM #25
    hoont79
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    Thanks for the work bud, been tailing and riding the wave with you. The picks seem consistent with a lot of great cappers
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  26. 03-07-13 09:59 AM #26
    pm4e
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    Thursday 3/7/2013:
    CLE -115, 1.15 units to win 1.00

    Waiting for info on ARI/MIL and DET/ATL
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  27. 03-07-13 10:16 AM #27
    Ville Helm
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    You not going to extend this for the main system then? Only spring training? Excellent start, hope it continues
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  28. 03-07-13 10:17 AM #28
    Ville Helm
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    *sorry I meant main season. The competitive fixtures...?
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  29. 03-07-13 11:07 AM #29
    pm4e
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    Yeah, regular season is a totally separate program. What I'm using now is for Spring Training only.

    Thursday 3/7/2013:
    Adding:
    ARI +105,     1.19 units to win 1.25
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  30. 03-07-13 05:03 PM #30
    NoHero
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    Would love to see how your regular season goes...
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  31. 03-07-13 06:26 PM #31
    pm4e
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    Regular season will be good, but I am going to take my time and get it right before I start. I am hoping to be ready to go in mid April

    Record:
    15-3, +11.56 units (lost .19 units today)
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  32. 03-08-13 11:19 AM #32
    pm4e
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    Friday 3/8/2013:
    DET -155, 1.55 units to win 1.00
    PHI +125, 1.00 unit to win 1.25

    Waiting for data on later games, but might add to noon plays as well.
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  33. 03-08-13 01:53 PM #33
    pm4e
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    Friday 3/8/2013:
    Adding:
    SEA -140,     1.40 units to win 1.00

    waiting on data for the 7pm games.
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  34. 03-08-13 02:34 PM #34
    jules11
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    Quote Originally Posted by pm4e View Post
    Friday 3/8/2013:
    Adding:
    SEA -140,     1.40 units to win 1.00
    5 runs in the 1st. not happy.
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  35. 03-08-13 04:20 PM #35
    pm4e
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    *MARINERS bet canceled due to rain postponement (lucky). But yeah, I would rate that as a "bad start" to a game. Having said that, I did see a team blow an 8 run lead in the 9th inning in Spring Training before, so anything can happen.
    Last edited by pm4e; 03-08-13 at 04:49 PM.
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