Originally Posted by
Xpertcapper
In all due respect i'm not sure if i understand your comment. In order for a lean i have to move into a posted play that particular team must meet the criteria i have until i am satisfied that at first pitch they will still meet the criteria. If that particular team falls out of my criteria or if i feel they will it is now a no play for me. I understand that the Pads won their game tonight after i posted them as a lean but that will happen now and again. But i do know this....i stick 100% to my criteria regarding the line movement and throughtout the season it will pay off more than it wont.
On another note. Two 1 run defeats tonight, 1 in extras..that happens. I will take 71% every 7 games when the majority of the wins are dogs anytime. Of course you will have some posters chim in when a losing day comes along..which it will now and again which is ok. Those others are always welcome to share their success and thoughts in this thread.
As i have said before my philosophy is simple. I dont handicap games or have a special chase system. I study and know a ton about line movements in sports wagering and i can promise you even though we will have a few 1 run defeats you will be on the SMART side of the play everytime you follow any of my picks. I dont wager or post plays on favs that are -250 or -270. I dont play run lines on big favs to get the juice down to where it should be on the money line. I dont gamble on big favs just to win more than i lose because as you should know, personal posted records dont mean anything in MLB...the amount you win does. Last year, for instance, in MLB i lost about 20 more games than i won and i was + about $13,500 for the season.
As i previously stated, always know obviously i will lose my share of posted plays but i can guarentee you that you were on the right side of the play. GL and tomorrow we will start out next 5 out of 7 streak.