Originally Posted by
cocknocker
Right Panekkk, but this is one of those games where you have to ask yourself, "If Vegas were to make a ton of money on this game, what would have to happen? We have a consensus of
Giants +1.5 96%
D-Backs-1.5 4%
Giants ML 42%
D-Backs 58%
So if the D-Backs were to beat the Giants by more than 1 run, Vegas would clean up on this game. And these are CURRENT consensus numbers too. I think that it is safe to say that I have lined up with the minority side of this game (4% of bettors on D-Backs -1.5), and that means that I am placing my money where the books money is.
And on another note, I never use ERA numbers. They are VERY misleading about how a pitcher competes.