1. #1
    Laker_crazy
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    ( 4-0 yesterday) My 2 EarLy Confident PLays for Today...Read on!!

    1) Boston @ Detroit ( Game Totals under 10)


    Its the Knuckball specialist Tim wakefield against Willis today at Detroit.Now two things make me totally in favour of the under here.Firstly it being a day game and secondly both teams are coming off the over last nite,where as many as 11 runs were scored in the 8th inning itself.The trend usually says that if the total goes over in the night game,then the chance of it going under in a next day game is high and especially if both teams decide to rest a few players.I expect Detroit to struggle facing wakefield and willis to pitch reasonably well to help this total sail in the under.This is my first confident play.

    2) Rangers @ New york yankees ( Game totals over 11.5)

    Ok so we have the lines set at 11.5 which will make most of us feel that it orders well for an under but i would suggest not to be fooled by the lines here.The yankees bats were quiet last night but i don't expect that today as i am sure they will be targeting mccarthy from the first pitch and get some offense going.I also expect tha rangers to score productively against wang as well..The starting pitchers are not great coupled with high offense on both teams,i expect this game to sail over 11.5 and end up being afew more than the lines set.This is my other confident play.

    I am up with 3rd play for now as well...

    3) Brewers @ Marlins ( Game totals Under 8.5)

    Ok,so we have another game here which totally messed up the under last night when the two teams combined to score 10 runs in the 5th inning itself.Frankly I don't see that happening tonight As bush and johnson are good pitchers and runs are not going to be easy to come by.I see this game settling down for the under.So this rounds up my 3rd confident play for tonight.Good luck.

    4) Chicago cubs @ Atlanta braves ( Game totals Over 8.5)

    This happens to be my 4th play tonite and it is a little late as i was getting some information on this one.Zambarani is coming off suspension because of his attitude in the previous games,i do not see him pitching good enuff to this braves team which has good left hand hitters,the Line seems to be favouring the under a lot,i see the braves taking an early lead and roughing up zambrano and i also see jurrjens leaking a few,this is another play which i really like.Good luck.


    5) St Louis Cardinals to win ( -1.5) against the Reds.

    This is another of my favourite plays for tonight.Its Harang against the Ace pitcher of the cardinals Carpenter.I see runs and more than a couple from Harang and i see carpenter having another good outing here.Cardinals will win with this line.Good luck


    I am also doing some more research on a couple of other plays for tonight and will update them on the board as soon as possible.Good luck everyone.

    Laker_crazy

    "There is nothing known as a lock.It is reasonable knowledge coupled with reasonable amount of luck."
    Last edited by Laker_crazy; 06-04-09 at 05:58 PM.

  2. #2
    xxdjstriderxx
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    nice plays.

  3. #3
    Bikiniwinkis
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    I'm going in with you on boston under

    Best of luck

  4. #4
    Laker_crazy
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    Quote Originally Posted by xxdjstriderxx View Post
    nice plays.
    Thx.I like the change in the run line in the boston game,from under 10 at 1.86,it has gone to over 10 at 1.86,i can see a lot of money going on the over,so i expect this to be going under,lets watch the line....

  5. #5
    Laker_crazy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bikiniwinkis View Post
    I'm going in with you on boston under

    Best of luck
    Cheers mate.Hopefully we will cash this one.I am just observing the shift in the run line towards over,which is making me more confident of my play.We should cash this one!!

  6. #6
    GGPLAYER
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    Still like these plays? Line movement seems to favor them. NYY is now o11 -110 on Bookmaker and Bos under is u10 -115.

  7. #7
    Laker_crazy
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGPLAYER View Post
    Still like these plays? Line movement seems to favor them. NYY is now o11 -110 on Bookmaker and Bos under is u10 -115.
    Yes mate i still like them,i see the shift as well on my sportsbook i.e bet365....but i am confident on my plays...rest as i said earlier...nothing is a lock...it is knowledge coupled with luck..good luck on whatever you pick!!

  8. #8
    Bikiniwinkis
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    still leaning towards boston under...
    will decide in an hour !

  9. #9
    Laker_crazy
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    Yes,i am still on the under,I had made these bets prior to posting my picks here,and i have just made another one which i have written above as my 3rd play,brewers vs marlins under 8.5.

    Good luck,

    Laker_crazy

    "There is nothing known as a lock.It is reasonable knowledge coupled with reasonable amount of luck."

  10. #10
    GGPLAYER
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    I'm confused There have been huge swings in the line in the last half hour. Not sure how to read them. Public money is now shifting towards the under in the Bos game...does that mean the smart money is jumping on that one? The line now stands at u10 -120.
    The NYY number is now at o10.5 -125? Most of the public is on the under. That's a big move from 11.5 to 10.5.

    Mil is now u8 Even. But almost all the public money is on the Under.

    Does any of this mean anything or is it just the Books trying to get even money on both sides? Basically I see them giving better odds to the public heavy money for the MIl and Bos game but the exact opposite for the Bos game.

    Crap I knew it. Right as I was typing this they moved the under in the Bos game to 9.5 Even. I waited too long. I'll still pay it.

  11. #11
    Bikiniwinkis
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    Lets cash in folks

  12. #12
    Laker_crazy
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    [quote=GGPLAYER;1908800]I

    I just checked the lines again.Brewere is still at 8.5,Bos is 10 o/u both at 1.90 and the yanks one at 11 (2.05).If you are confused,then follow yourself,do what you feel is right.I have been confident on these three plays since i made them and i will continue to be irrespective of how much the lines change.At the end of the day the books just want to even out both sides because they also do not know what the final score would be,yep they open the lines according to what the past record and experience says but even they cannot predict the final outcome.

    If you read above i had clearly stated that do not be fooled by the lines in the yankees vs rangers game because most of the people seeing 11 would want to bet the under but then there are also chances that it turns out to be a slugfest.I am in on these plays and i am hoping to cash on them.GL

  13. #13
    Laker_crazy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bikiniwinkis View Post
    Lets cash in folks
    Surely mate,i have already bet on the three plays i have specified,and i am pretty confident on them,the rest to the players in the ballpark.Cheers

  14. #14
    POTVINSUX
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    Laker crazy i'm going to have to go the other way on your second pick. I believe Wang begins to turn it around today after throwing 3 scoreless innings in Clevleand he looks like a new man. Granted its only three strong innings well see how he fares throughout. McCarthy on the other hand for Texas has looked solid so far 5-2 posting a 4.35. His only start against the bombers he went 5 1/3 yielding only 1 earned run. Yanks U.11(-120)

    Only other pick so far on this early day is the muts. I look for them to avoid the sweep. With a few key injuries i still feel they will provide Pelf the runs needed to get him the W.
    Mets(-120)

  15. #15
    Laker_crazy
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    [quote=POTVINSUX;1908922] Howdy Potvin mate.That's ok,at the end of the day we all are risking our own money so we may differ as well.I do not want to argue,but i just feel confident about that play.Yes wang has improved,but when he has started against the rangers,he did yield 7 runs and 11 hits in 6 1/3 rd inning,he is a sort of pitcher who if he gets it wrong at the start,he will be plundered around for plenty,my gut says the over and so i v taken it as well.Good luck on the mets buddy.Cheers

  16. #16
    Laker_crazy
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    Willis walks 4 batters and hits one...sox have no hits and have 2 runs...wtf...lol

  17. #17
    Laker_crazy
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    4-3 sox top 3rd....hmmmm

  18. #18
    GGPLAYER
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    6-3 Bos after 2 and half. I knew something was wrong with all that line movement. Hope the NY/Tex game goes over so I can break even. What the hell...every game is pouring on the runs except the NY/Tex one?

  19. #19
    xxdjstriderxx
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    yikes, burial in progress

  20. #20
    Laker_crazy
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    It was ridiculous pitching from willis...sox have 6 runs from 2 hits....lol...you cant do anything about this..anyways yes the runs will be coming in the yanks rangers hopefully....come on

  21. #21
    Laker_crazy
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    Can the improbable happen again...Sox and tigers scorless for 3 and a half now...3 more to go...fingers crossed.....

  22. #22
    GGPLAYER
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    Quote Originally Posted by Laker_crazy View Post
    Can the improbable happen again...Sox and tigers scorless for 3 and a half now...3 more to go...fingers crossed.....
    jinx

  23. #23
    Laker_crazy
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    6-5 yankees bottom 5th...should have this one in the bag...and hoping for the best in the sox one...good luck..good luck

  24. #24
    Laker_crazy
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    Got the over in the Yankees vs Rangers game 6-6 top sixth...cashed one....need some luck now in the other one... now...go pitchers....

  25. #25
    Laker_crazy
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    Just 2 innings to cash that one...no run for 4 n a half...come on pitchers...hold that ball.....

  26. #26
    Laker_crazy
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    Whoa...Zumaya works out of a bases loaded jam with nobody out in the top of the 8th...still 6-3 bottom 8th...come on...cash this

  27. #27
    Laker_crazy
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    6-3 sox 8 innings in the book....final inning now...go pitchers......

  28. #28
    GGPLAYER
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    6-6 Tex/NYY....cash it

  29. #29
    Laker_crazy
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    Yep GG cashed that....8 and a half in the books in boston vs detroit....final half inning....papelbon pitching..come on make me a perfect 2-0...

  30. #30
    Laker_crazy
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    I out.....2 outs remaining to cash this one...go papelbon

  31. #31
    Laker_crazy
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    Phew this one is dicey ...1st and 2 nd with 1 out...

  32. #32
    Laker_crazy
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    Down to the final out now..... 2 away.....

  33. #33
    Laker_crazy
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    Gottttttttt it....Amazing 6-3 after 2 and a half and no runs in the ball game from there on..... Makes me 6-0 since yesterday....2-0 tonite with a play remaining....For all those who followed me...hope you guys cashed in as well...I may post a few more...depends...cheers guys!!

  34. #34
    Laker_crazy
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    Phew...i still can't believe it...need a break now....be back after a smoke to see if i can cap a few more games tonite...

  35. #35
    GGPLAYER
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    Quote Originally Posted by Laker_crazy View Post
    Phew...i still can't believe it...need a break now....be back after a smoke to see if i can cap a few more games tonite...

    Wow!! Well there was a lesson in never giving up hope. I had that game at 9.5 When there was a guy on 1st and 2nd I could'nt take it anymore. Way to start the day off right

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