1. 10-08-06 10:42 AM #1
    scottyy11
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    what do u guys think of pads?

    any shot? price seems high to me
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  2. 10-08-06 11:43 AM #2
    Ganchrow
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    It does seem a little high. However, Carpenter has a high degree of volatility, and his performance factors into the final outcome much more than most pitchers. He has a high likelihood of having a 0 or 1 run outing, and also a higher than normal likelihood of having a mediocre outing for someone of his caliber. If he has a 0 or 1 run outing, St. Louis' likelihood of a win goes through the roof. If he doesn't, St. Louis goes down to big underdog status. But the line right now says St. Louis has a 64% chance of winning, and we see Carpenter's likelihood of a dominant start as significantly higher than that, so we'll take St. Louis here.
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  3. 10-08-06 11:58 AM #3
    bigboydan
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    I think it all could depend on how Larussa will protect Pulojs in that lineup against Peavy. That is probably one of the big keys to capping this game IMO
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  4. 10-08-06 12:52 PM #4
    Ganchrow
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    They actually have Woody Williams going tonight, Peavey tomorrow -- not that that is nearly as big of a downgrade as it might seem.
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  5. 10-08-06 05:36 PM #5
    Illusion
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    Williams has been real solid recently so I see great value with San Diego tonight.
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  6. 10-08-06 07:27 PM #6
    tacomax
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    Damn, Carpenter's a bit volatile today.
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  7. 10-08-06 07:30 PM #7
    bigboydan
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    I noticed that too Taco.

    As I was telling owned earlier in another thread. Watch Carpenter's pitch count very closely if your live betting wagering.
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