1. #1
    Mantle7
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    Holy $hit! Mondays trends hit so hard its unbelievable!

    It's something I pay attention too but I don't cap strictly based on trends but today made me realize something and that's... I need to start paying attention a little harder. I'll give a unit to every trend that hit and deduct one if it missed.

    Yankees vs. Rangers
    *Texas 0-5 on road vs. NY.
    *Over has hit in 5-7 in their last 7 games
    Tex 2 NY 8
    +2 units

    LAD vs. Pitt
    *LAD 4-1 on road vs Pitt
    *Over 5-6
    LAD 5 Pitt 4
    +2 units

    Tor vs CHW
    *Tor 15-3 in last 18 vs. Chw @ home
    *Over 4-6
    Tor 3 CHW2
    Even

    Miami vs Philly
    *Philly 0-5 in last 5 games in Mia
    Philly 4 Miami 0
    -1 unit

    SD vs. Az
    *12-18 games gonende
    +1 unit

    Houston vs. Cubs
    *Houston 1-8 vs Cubs
    * Unders hit 5-5 in Cubs last 5 games
    Hou 1 Cubs 7 (I played under here and missed by .5) unreal
    Even

    Det vs. Twins
    *Det 5-2 last 7 against Twins
    Det 3 Minn 9
    -1 unit

    LAA vs Cle
    *Laa 4-1 at home vs Cle
    -1 unit
    LAA 2 Cle 6

    TB vs Sea
    *16-22 have gone under in TB games
    *Sea 2-9 vs TB
    TB 4 Sea 1
    +2 units

    SF vs. Wash
    *SF 1-4 last 5 playing Wash
    SF 2 Wash 14
    +1unit

    Mil vs Col
    * Mil 5-15 in last 20 in Colorado
    Mil 6 Col 9
    +1 unit

    So that would be a six unit increase for the day. One of those that missed was a obvious one to stay away from. CHW was not gonna go over. I was just kind of surprised how these trends hit so hard today. I'll be looking at these a little harder now.

  2. #2
    Bettalent
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    Where did you find those trends?

  3. #3
    EVPlus
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    Tread carefully here. Vegas knows these and other trends and adjusts accordingly. I've capped plenty of games in which trends helped; and I've capped plenty of games in which the trends pointed towards a certain outcome and the EXACT opposite took place.

    The take-home message is to incorporate trends in your final decision to play or pass; but there must be other variables factored in. And, of course, you need to know that being on the right side is never a guarantee.

  4. #4
    Mantle7
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    eBettalent, I have a couple good sources but I like to use sportsbettingstats.com. They have the lowdown on EVERYTHING.

    EV, I hear what you're saying and I totally agree. I would never place a bet on a trend alone but they're something to consider when making a decision. I think the Mil/Col trend surprised me the most. I thought Fiers was gonna go in and handle buisness but apparently Colorado has the Brew Crews number.

  5. #5
    Mantle7
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    Looking at today's trends I think I'm gonna have to take the under with TB

  6. #6
    PAULYPOKER
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    MLB(959) HOUSTON @ (960) CHICAGO CUBS | 08/14/2012 - 8:05 PMPlay AGAINSTHOUSTON using the money line in Road games when playing against a team with a losing record
    The record is 4 Wins and 27 Losses this season (-21.90 units)

    MLB(975) OAKLAND @ (976) KANSAS CITY | 08/14/2012 - 8:10 PMPlay UNDEROAKLAND on the total in All games against right-handed starters
    The record is 21 Overs and 48 Unders this season (+24.05 units)

    MLB(963) MILWAUKEE @ (964) COLORADO | 08/14/2012 - 8:40 PMPlay OVERMILWAUKEE on the total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record
    The record is 35 Overs and 17 Unders this season (+17.35 units)

    MLB(963) MILWAUKEE @ (964) COLORADO | 08/14/2012 - 8:40 PMPlay AGAINSTCOLORADO using the run line in All games as a home underdog when the run line price is -155 to -130
    The record is 2 Wins and 10 Losses this season (-12.10 units)

    MLB(953) PHILADELPHIA @ (954) MIAMI | 08/14/2012 - 7:10 PMPlay AGAINSTPHILADELPHIA using the money line in All games against division opponents
    The record is 15 Wins and 28 Losses this season (-18.70 units)

    MLB(977) CLEVELAND @ (978) LA ANGELS | 08/14/2012 - 10:05 PMPlay AGAINSTCLEVELAND using the run line in All games in road games
    The record is 24 Wins and 33 Losses this season (-26.35 units)

    MLB(955) NY METS @ (956) CINCINNATI | 08/14/2012 - 7:10 PMPlay OVERNY METS on the total in All games in road games
    The record is 84 Overs and 47 Unders for the last two seasons (+33.65 units)

    MLB(953) PHILADELPHIA @ (954) MIAMI | 08/14/2012 - 7:10 PMPlay ONPHILADELPHIA using the money line in Road games in August games
    The record is 26 Wins and 6 Losses for the last three seasons (+18.90 units)

    MLB(977) CLEVELAND @ (978) LA ANGELS | 08/14/2012 - 10:05 PMPlay AGAINSTLA ANGELS using the money line in All games as a home favorite of -175 to -200
    The record is 5 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (-15.10 units)

    MLB(977) CLEVELAND @ (978) LA ANGELS | 08/14/2012 - 10:05 PMPlay OVERCLEVELAND on the total in All games on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5
    The record is 27 Overs and 10 Unders for the last two seasons (+16.25 units)

  7. #7
    a4u2fear
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    Trends are Great if you bet them since they started trending, just because something is 16-5 for example does t mean diddly and like someone else said, Vegas has accounted for it

  8. #8
    Mantle7
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    I'm not saying I bet them but I do consider them when I'm placing a bet.What made me start paying attention to them a little more was the Pirates/SD series.

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