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DShaffe's Post All Star Break MLB Thread (+11x since break!)
Here is the link to my previous thread documenting my plays. Wasn't getting a lot of views - maybe it wasn't a catchy enough title...haha. Placed my first post all star break wager on 7/15/12 and I'm up 11x since. Going for my 5th win in a row tonight. Lets make this money boys and thanks for looking! Good Luck!
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-b...mlb-plays.html
Tuesday 7/24/2012
Play #1
Tigers -1RL (-120) 2x
Only got 1 play for tonight that I locked in last night and I really like it. Despite Fister’s 4-6 record this year, his advanced stats show he has been an ace of a pitcher this year and is highly undervalued tonight. In his 2 starts since the all-star break he has gotten the win in both only allowing 5 hits in 15 innings and giving up only 2 ER. Fister’s career #’s against CLE are great as well. Ubaldo on the other hand has just been terrible this season and his last 2 starts since the break have been worse. We made a 5x play against Ubaldo 5 days ago and it cashed easily. His career #’s against DET are bad as well. He averages almost 5.5 BB/9 and that doesn’t bode well against a hot DET offense right now. Detroit is averaging a BA against righties of .289 and .330 over their last 10 and 5 respectively. While the Indians are just struggling to score runs against righties over their last 10. This is yet another spot where I could see Fister pitching a shutout and Ubaldo giving up 7-8 runs in 6 innings. This is a great chance to pick our spots and get the most out of our investment by putting down 2x on the -1RL. We have to take the better pitcher with the better offense on the -1RL at a nice price of -120 for the ML and +140 for the -1.5RL. Good luck guys!
Tuesday's Recap
0-1 (-2.4x)
Updated Record
13-12 (+8.6x)
The Tigers just couldn't drive the runners in that they had on base and it was frustrating to watch. Onto Wednesday!
Wednesday 7/25/12
Play #1
Nationals -1RL (-180) 1x
Strasburg's #'s speak for themselves. Going to take him and the better offense for 1x. Good Luck!
Play #2Originally Posted by dshaffe4
Rays (-145) 2x
I like Price in this matchup against a struggling BAL club and I expect him to continue his dominant form.
Last edited by dshaffe4; 07-25-12 at 05:53 PM.
Added an extra unit to Play #2. Correct units denoted above.
Wednesday’s Recap
2-0 (+3.23x)
Updated Record
15-12 (+11.85x)
Thursday 7/26/12
Play #1
Rays (-115) 2x
Shields has great numbers this year and even better numbers against the O’s. Taking the better pitcher with the better offense for 2x.
Play #2
Athletics (-102) 2x
Lets face it, the Oakland A’s are the best team in baseball right now. Millone is really beginning to round into form evident of his last 2 starts since the break. Going to keep riding the hotter team for 2x. Good Luck!
Well 0-2 today, almost everyone I know was on Oakland. Days like these
Yea tough day, but we will get it back tomorrow!Well 0-2 today, almost everyone I know was on Oakland. Days like these
Thursday's Recap
0-2 (-4.34x)
Updated Record
15-14 (+7.51x)
Games weren't even close today. Got a big play coming Friday that I'm excited about!
Friday 7/27/12
Play #1
Cardinals -1RL (-165) 4x
We cashed on this exact same pitching matchup last week and I expect to do the same. Cant see anyway possible that you could back the Cubs here unless you are banking on the fact that all of a sudden their bats come to life and the Cards' go dead. Star pitcher against a struggling offense vs. a terrible pitcher against the best offense. Rolling with the -1RL for 4x. Good Luck!
Play #2
Phillies (-117) 1x
I need a night play for my degenerate self. I like Hamels here and expect him to pitch a great game to justify that contract. Bravos offense is really struggling against lefties and I expect Sheets to finally give up a run. Good Luck!
Friday's Recap
1-1 (+3.49x)
Updated Record
16-15 (+11x)
Saturday 7/28/12
Play #1
Cubs (+107) 1x
Samardzija is a much better pitcher than his 7-8 record suggests. Despite the Cards high powered offense, they are only hitting .235 off of righties in their last 5. I’ll take the better pitcher at a nice underdog price. Good Luck!
Play #2
Reds (-168) 1x
Taking the much better pitcher with the streaking Reds and their hot offense. Good Luck!
Play #3
Athletics (-106) 1x
The A’s bats should continue their “hotness” against a pitcher that averages over 2 HR/9. Good Luck!
Play #4
White Sox (+180) 1x
Despite Harrison’s record, this guy is no ace. The Sox are just hammering lefties right now and the Rangers are just struggling against righties. This line is just a joke. Good Luck!
Saturday’s Recap
4-0 (+4.87x)
Updated Record
20-15 (+15.86x)
Got the sweep yesterday, look forward to continue it Sunday!
Sunday 7/29/12
Play #1
Cardinals (-160) 2x
Play #2
Giants (+105) 2x
Play #3
Athletics (-110) 2x
Good Luck!
Sunday's Recap
0-3 (-7.4x)
Updated Record
20-18 (+8.46x)
Just wow, a combined 3 runs scored today by the 3 teams. I guess a 4-0 day yesterday will put you back in check rather quickly. Well we move onto Monday and look to rebuild the bankroll. Gotta keep the head up.
Monday 7/30/12
Lets try something different today...
Play #1
MIA/ATL 1st inning NO (-130) 1x
Play #2
BAL/NYY 1st inning YES (-140) 1x
Play #3
DET/BOS 1st inning YES (-130) 1x
Play #4
LAA/TEX 1st inning YES (-150) 1x
Play #5
TB/OAK 1st inning NO (-150) 1x
Roll the dice and see what happens...
Play #6
CHW/MIN Under 9 (-120) 1x
Alright enough of the stupid/fun plays, lets make some cash!
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