1. 07-05-12 01:43 PM #1
    No coincidences
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    Is there any value left in Hamels/Philly at +105-110?

    Was out with the fam last night and didn't get down on the overnight line of +120 or more. That's definitely where the value was, and I still feel like the Phils are certainly the play, but at the current number?
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  2. 07-05-12 01:46 PM #2
    BiffTFinancial
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    No value. Dickman rolls.
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  3. 07-05-12 01:47 PM #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    No value. Dickman rolls.
    I would've gobbled up Philly at +120 or more. Probably at least 5U.
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  4. 07-05-12 01:48 PM #4
    Regul8er
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    YA.....the value has been lost in my opinion as well.
    Maybe some late steam on Dickey??
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  5. 07-05-12 01:53 PM #5
    good2go2mexico
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    Tough spot. The Mets can't hit lefties to save their lives this season but have overall good career numbers against Hammels. Hard to bet against Dickey either for that matter. Look at his numbers against the Phillies.
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  6. 07-05-12 01:56 PM #6
    2daBank
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    im done trying to bet against ra dickhead..
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  7. 07-05-12 02:11 PM #7
    good2go2mexico
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    Better games to play. I see no edge either way.
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  8. 07-05-12 02:13 PM #8
    HoulihansTX
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    Phillies lineup does not offer much resistant to tha !DICK!
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  9. 07-05-12 02:38 PM #9
    t-wizzle
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    Cole Hamels at +money is always good value.
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  10. 07-05-12 03:34 PM #10
    og4667
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    Phils maybe coming around
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  11. 07-05-12 03:43 PM #11
    newbottles
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    Better value to be found elsewhere in my opinion. Maybe look hard at the o/u on this game if it is calling you.
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  12. 07-05-12 03:47 PM #12
    krk1030
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    Mets only need 1 run to win.
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  13. 07-05-12 03:56 PM #13
    nrok2118
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    Im a Phillies fan, but Im baffled. This is a spot were I would mortgage the house on the Mets. I mean the Phils offense is anemic, and pretty much blew their load yesterday. Dickey should shut them down for 8 or 9 innings, and Cole hasnt been top form lately. Yet the line keeps moving towards the Phils?! Clear cut sign to back off. But if the line points to a possible Phils upset, than the only way they're doing that is in a 2-1, 3-2 type of game. So if anything Under is the play, but at such high juice theres little value there too.
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  14. 07-05-12 04:07 PM #14
    dynamite140
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    No value when you bet 10 dollars a game.



    So you not going to make this bet because you could have gotten +120 earlier and risked 10 dollars to win 12 dollars and now 10 dollars only wins you 10.50. .



    You want this forum to help you decide if you should make this bet or not because if you win at +105, you lost $1.50 in value?


    Small Bettor Syndrome
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  15. 07-05-12 05:17 PM #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    Cole Hamels at +money is always good value.
    That's what I'm thinking. Buy low with Hamels and sell high with R.A.
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  16. 07-05-12 05:22 PM #16
    EVPlus
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    I think this game is a bookie's wet dream.
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  17. 07-05-12 05:34 PM #17
    Hangoverblack
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I would've gobbled up Philly at +120 or more. Probably at least 5U.
    I am lost then.

    If you're looking for value in a bet then you are hopefully betting a single unit. Trying to find value in a situation such that when making the bet 100 times you would win over that exercise.

    If you would bet 5 units at +120, and the line has moved in your favor, you are basically making a big bet and all you should care about is if they win this ONCE. Value down the shitter. You are spot betting the Phils here.

    Play the damn Phillis for 5u and be thrilled that sharps are affirming your large spot bet.
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  18. 07-05-12 05:39 PM #18
    slowdown
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    Yes...this is a value for NYM...-1.5 +190....MYM win by 3 runs
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  19. 07-05-12 05:40 PM #19
    lunchbawks
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    took philly +122 last night

    there is always value in a winner, but TBH i only took this because it was +120+
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  20. 07-05-12 05:41 PM #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    took philly +122 last night

    there is always value in a winner, but TBH i only took this because it was +120+
    Great number lunch. Good luck.
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  21. 07-05-12 06:00 PM #21
    EVPlus
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    I suspect many took Phi because Hamels wll rarely be found at this price. Regardless, BOL
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  22. 07-05-12 06:06 PM #22
    icancount2one
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    +115 available now.

    I'm on it for my max (3u)

    I don't understand you with these 5 and 10u bets.
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  23. 07-05-12 06:09 PM #23
    icancount2one
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    Oh wait, today I've got +110 for 3u and it's down to +102.

    So yes, looks like there probably was still value.
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