1. 07-31-12 07:39 AM #71
    PuckIt
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    Official plays went 1-0 yesterday for +3.5u. Had I played my leans later in the day, they would have gone 3-2.

    For today, I am looking at A's, Twins, Mets, Cubs, and Royals...I like the A's a lot.
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  2. 07-31-12 06:55 PM #72
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    7/31/12 Plays:

    2.3x to win 2x - A's ML -115
    1.5x to win 2.055x - Twins ML +137
    1.25x to win 1x - Twins +1.5 -125
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  3. 08-01-12 04:51 PM #73
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    1-2 last night.

    08/01/12:

    Reds -1 (-140)
    Indians ML (-102)
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  4. 08-02-12 03:06 PM #74
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    Reds RL
    Mets ML
    Cards ML
    Braves ML
    Phillies ML
    Texas ML
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  5. 08-03-12 10:40 AM #75
    PuckIt
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    going to try something interesting today...I will put 2u (risk) on every team in this list and see if i can come out on top. Being that this is experimental (lol) i will be using betpoints.


    Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 03 MLB [901] MIAMI +158 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 31.60 SBR 1595524
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 03 MLB [903] ARIZON -112 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 17.86 SBR 1595525
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 03 MLB [905] PITTSB +135 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 27.00 SBR 1595526
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 03 MLB [908] ATLANT -275 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 7.27 SBR 1595527
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 03 MLB [910] ST. LO -170 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 11.76 SBR 1595528
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 03 MLB [911] SAN FR -160 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 12.50 SBR 1595529
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 03 MLB [913] NY MET -130 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 15.38 SBR 1595530
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 03 MLB [916] LA DOD -155 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 12.90 SBR 1595531
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  6. 08-03-12 04:12 PM #76
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    Adding:

    Ticket#:1596104
    Aug 03 07:05 PM     		Internet / -1 Aug 03 05:12 PM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [902] WASHIN -150
    ( ACTION )    		 20.00 / 13.33
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  7. 08-04-12 10:16 AM #77
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    Finished 6-3 +2.761...typical when I don't use real money! Let's try again today:

    WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 04 MLB [952] WASHIN -180 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 11.11 SBR 1596935
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 04 MLB [953] ARIZON +123 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 24.60 SBR 1596936
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 04 MLB [956] CINCIN -130 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 15.38 SBR 1596937
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 04 MLB [958] ATLANT -201 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 9.95 SBR 1596938
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 04 MLB [959] MILWAU +176 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 35.20 SBR 1596939
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 04 MLB [962] COLORA +136 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 27.20 SBR 1596940
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 04 MLB [963] NY MET +126 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 25.20 SBR 1596941
    STRAIGHT BET Aug 04 MLB [966] LA DOD -290 [Action] 20.00 SBR / 6.90 SBR 1596942
    Last edited by PuckIt; 08-04-12 at 10:19 AM.
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  8. 08-04-12 10:53 AM #78
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    My #'s changed from overnight, and now the value looks to be on the Astros +185, but it's too late for me to make a change. I also still feel that the Braves have a 63-64% chance of winning, so I don't feel too bad about the play, but if you want the actual *smart value* play, its the Astros.

    The Atlanta Braves are 31-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 10-45 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning. Braves' starter Paul Maholm is forecasted to have a better game than Astros' starter Lucas Harrell. Paul Maholm has a 70% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lucas Harrell has a 52% chance of a QS. If Paul Maholm has a quality start the Braves has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 67%. In Lucas Harrell quality starts the Astros win 53%. He has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53%. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Chipper Jones who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 78% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 1.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 53% chance of winning.
    Last edited by PuckIt; 08-04-12 at 11:11 AM.
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  9. 08-05-12 11:54 AM #79
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    Phillies -141
    Braves -235
    Rockies +142
    Cubs +161
    Cards -167
    Nats -230
    Reds -115
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  10. 08-05-12 12:11 PM #80
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    Pirates U8 -105
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  11. 08-05-12 12:34 PM #81
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    Phillies U8 -135
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  12. 08-05-12 06:43 PM #82
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    Cards -1 (-132)
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  13. 08-06-12 11:50 AM #83
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    Today's most UNDER RATED teams:

    Nats ML - (-185) Line gives them +/- 63% chance of winning. I put them around 72%.
    Rockies ML - (+168) Line gives them +/- 36% chance of winning. I put them around 46-47%.
    Detroit ML - (-177) Line gives them +/- 63% chance of winning. I put them around 70%.
    Boston ML - (+125) Line gives them +/- 43% chance of winning. I put them at 53%.
    LA Angels ML - (-145) Line gives them +/- 58% chance of winning. I put them at 69%.

    *These are not specifically what I am playing, just some information for you guys. I am sticking to the NL side value trend.
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  14. 08-06-12 11:52 AM #84
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    Plays:

    GameDate User/Phone Date Placed Sport Description Risk/Win
    Ticket#:1599250
    Aug 06 07:05 PM     		Internet / -1 Aug 06 08:55 AM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [951] ATLANT -120
    ( ACTION )    		 20.00 / 16.67
    Ticket#:1599251
    Aug 06 07:05 PM     		Internet / -1 Aug 06 08:55 AM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [953] ARIZON -115
    ( ACTION )    		 20.00 / 17.39
    Ticket#:1599252
    Aug 06 08:05 PM     		Internet / -1 Aug 06 08:55 AM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [955] WASHIN -185
    ( ACTION )    		 20.00 / 10.81
    Ticket#:1599253
    Aug 06 08:10 PM     		Internet / -1 Aug 06 08:55 AM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [957] CINCIN +115
    ( ACTION )    		 20.00 / 23.00
    Ticket#:1599254
    Aug 06 10:05 PM     		Internet / -1 Aug 06 08:55 AM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [961] CHI. C +115
    ( ACTION )    		 20.00 / 23.00
    Ticket#:1599255
    Aug 06 10:10 PM     		Internet / -1 Aug 06 08:55 AM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [963] COLORA +156
    ( ACTION )    		 20.00 / 31.20
    Ticket#:1599450
    Aug 06 08:15 PM     		Internet / -1 Aug 06 12:51 PM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [959] SAN FR EV
    ( ACTION )    		 20.00 / 20.00
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  15. 08-07-12 05:00 PM #85
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    Quote Originally Posted by PuckIt View Post
    Today's most UNDER RATED teams:

    Nats ML - (-185) Line gives them +/- 63% chance of winning. I put them around 72%.
    Rockies ML - (+168) Line gives them +/- 36% chance of winning. I put them around 46-47%.
    Detroit ML - (-177) Line gives them +/- 63% chance of winning. I put them around 70%.
    Boston ML - (+125) Line gives them +/- 43% chance of winning. I put them at 53%.
    LA Angels ML - (-145) Line gives them +/- 58% chance of winning. I put them at 69%.

    *These are not specifically what I am playing, just some information for you guys. I am sticking to the NL side value trend.
    Nats - WIN
    Rockies - WIN
    Detroit - WIN
    Boston - WIN
    Angels - WIN

    ...can't believe I didn't play these!
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  16. 08-07-12 05:05 PM #86
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    8/7/12 - Most UNDER RATED teams:

    Phillies - (-136) Line: 56% / My #'s: 66%
    Brewers - (+105) Line: 48% / My #'s: 56%
    Cards - (-200) Line: 65% / My #'s: 71%
    Rockies - (+159) Line: 38% / My #'s: 47%
    Mariners - (+121) Line: 44% / My #'s: 55%
    Indians - (+100) Line: 49% / My #'s: 61%
    Rangers - (+104) Line: 48% / My #'s: 57%
    White Sox - (-206) Line: 66% / My #'s: 71%

    I will be playing the ones in Bold.
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  17. 08-07-12 09:30 PM #87
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    Wow - White Sox and Cards are really gonna blow it.
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  18. 08-08-12 04:21 PM #88
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    3x Mets -1
    2x Padres ML
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  19. 08-10-12 02:13 PM #89
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    Cubs +1.5
    Cubs O6
    Cards
    Pirates -1
    Yanks -1
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  20. 08-14-12 12:18 PM #90
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    Pirates -2.5 (+345)
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  21. 08-15-12 04:51 PM #91
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    Dodgers TT O4 +100
    LAD / PIT O3 [1st 5] (-140)
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  22. 08-15-12 04:58 PM #92
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    Red Sox + 119
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  23. 08-16-12 08:35 AM #93
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    2-1 yesterday.

    Today we'll start with LAD +120 and LAD -1.5 +185.
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  24. 08-16-12 08:56 AM #94
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    Lad tt o3.5 +105
    tor tt o3.5 -125
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  25. 08-16-12 05:25 PM #95
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    CWS / TOR O4 [1st 5] -140
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  26. 08-16-12 08:48 PM #96
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    Stl o8 -105
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  27. 08-17-12 10:19 AM #97
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    Royals TT O3 -120
    CWS / KC O8 +105
    Arizona TT O5 -115
    Arizona -1.5 -110
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  28. 08-17-12 04:55 PM #98
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    Trying something a little interesting here:

    Parlay:
    SAN Silver Stars -400
    Minnesota lynx -1800
    Diamondbacks -182
    Detroit Tigers -275

    Total: +178
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  29. 08-17-12 10:33 PM #99
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    Quote Originally Posted by PuckIt View Post
    Royals TT O3 -120 --> WIN
    CWS / KC O8 +105 --> LOSS
    Arizona TT O5 -115 --> LOSS
    Arizona -1.5 -110 --> WIN


    Quote Originally Posted by PuckIt View Post
    Trying something a little interesting here:

    Parlay:
    SAN Silver Stars -400
    Minnesota lynx -1800
    Diamondbacks -182
    Detroit Tigers -275

    Total: +178 --> WIN!
    Not bad! Parlay came in huge.
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  30. 08-17-12 11:05 PM #100
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    A bit of soccer tomorrow:

    Newcastle (ENG-P) +172 vs Tottenham (ENG-P)
    Southampton (ENG-P)/Manchester City (ENG-P) O3 -120
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  31. 08-29-12 11:22 AM #101
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    Go figure when I stop posting plays:

    21-4-3

    Last edited by PuckIt; 08-29-12 at 11:27 AM.
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  32. 09-01-12 02:59 PM #102
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    Brewers - Brewers are 31-4 against the buccos when they play at home and in their opponents previous game their opponent was the dog and lost.

    Detroit - Tigers have gone 25-6 against the AL Central when they play with the total set at 8.5 and in their previous game they were the favorite, and won, and their opponents lost their previous game.

    Colorado - Rockies are 56-16 in the 2nd game of a series and in the opponents previous game their opponent was the dog and won.

    SEA / LAA Under - Seattle has gone UNDER 23 out of the last 31 games in the 2nd game of a series with King Felix starting and in their previous game they were a dog, and in the opponents previous game they were a favorite, and won.

    STL Under 8

    Rangers

    Dodgers
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