1. 06-05-12 12:25 PM #1
    Jeff Grant
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    Most Impressive Stat in Baseball Handicapping Right Now?

    Boston Red Sox SP Jon Lester is 14-0 with a 2.47 ERA in 19 career starts against the Baltimore Orioles, with the team winning 16 of those contests

    Is this the most impressive stat in baseball handicapping right now?

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  2. 06-05-12 12:29 PM #2
    brahmabull117
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    Sox - 1.5 pays at + 140. You would have to be crazy to think that doesn't win at least 50% of the time
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  3. 06-05-12 12:32 PM #3
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    Sox - 1.5 pays at + 140. You would have to be crazy to think that doesn't win at least 50% of the time
    Definitely can't make an argument - it's the longest current win streak by any active pitcher versus any team
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  4. 06-05-12 12:58 PM #4
    JMon
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    As impressive as an Red Sox 22-6 mark since 2006 after consecutive games where Lester's whip was 1.5 or more. Still will not be on this game.
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  5. 06-05-12 02:02 PM #5
    lunchbawks
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    Lestr will get shelled for 5+
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  6. 06-05-12 02:14 PM #6
    Frank-King
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    Good stuff
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  7. 06-05-12 02:16 PM #7
    LoneStar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    Lestr will get shelled for 5+
    so... should we consider the over after opening at 9 and sitting at 8.5 as of now?
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  8. 06-05-12 02:16 PM #8
    Frank-King
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    Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 games and are quickly fading down the standings
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  9. 06-05-12 02:20 PM #9
    rumnblack
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    Sox are not a decent betting proposition anymore, just too eratic.
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  10. 06-05-12 02:29 PM #10
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by rumnblack View Post
    Sox are not a decent betting proposition anymore, just too eratic.


    16-7 last 23 games
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  11. 06-05-12 03:17 PM #11
    NittanyLionsFan
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    Sox - 1.5 pays at + 140. You would have to be crazy to think that doesn't win at least 50% of the time
    This certainly doesn't win 50% of the time. You might need to take a lesson in statistics, you're a fkn moron.
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  12. 06-05-12 04:38 PM #12
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by NittanyLionsFan View Post
    This certainly doesn't win 50% of the time. You might need to take a lesson in statistics, you're a fkn moron.


    I didn't say the line would indicate that it wins 50% of the time. I said the sox will win the game 50% of the time - which is why there's tremendous value there



    Oh wait, are you another one of these morons who thinks Vegas is a 100% efficient market and everything they say is 100% on point and exactly what's gonna happen in every game?
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  13. 06-05-12 04:43 PM #13
    pattymayo
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    I didn't say the line would indicate that it wins 50% of the time. I said the sox will win the game 50% of the time - which is why there's tremendous value there
    And Baltimore will win the other 50 percent of the time .. I don't see this tremendous value you speak of
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  14. 06-05-12 04:45 PM #14
    Statistics
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    Meh, Pitcher versus team stats are not very relevant unless they're current or at worst last season.

    Betting to look at Pitcher versus Batters; do work.
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  15. 06-05-12 04:47 PM #15
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by pattymayo View Post
    And Baltimore will win the other 50 percent of the time .. I don't see this tremendous value you speak of

    it's +140....


    that's like hitting 58% betting on EV lines
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  16. 06-05-12 05:01 PM #16
    NittanyLionsFan
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    I didn't say the line would indicate that it wins 50% of the time. I said the sox will win the game 50% of the time - which is why there's tremendous value there



    Oh wait, are you another one of these morons who thinks Vegas is a 100% efficient market and everything they say is 100% on point and exactly what's gonna happen in every game?
    No, that's not what you said idiot. Read what you said again. You said Sox -1.5 wins over 50% of the time.
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  17. 06-05-12 05:04 PM #17
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by NittanyLionsFan View Post
    No, that's not what you said idiot. Read what you said again. You said Sox -1.5 wins over 50% of the time.

    I said the play wins at least 50% of the time, in my opinion at least. I didn't say that's the probability the line indicates. You retarded?
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