1. 05-17-12 09:20 PM #1
    nrok2118
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    Verlander at home against the Pirates?? Is it worth the risk?!

    I mean its one of (if not THE) best pitcher in the league, at home, against the Pirates?! -250 is A LOT but you dont pay juice when you win.

    Anyone have a good reason not to take this?
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  2. 05-17-12 09:22 PM #2
    nrok2118
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    "
    Few pitchers in recent years have dominated Interleague Play like Verlander, 15-2 with a 2.94 ERA for his career against the National League. He won all three of his Interleague starts last year, allowing two runs on 15 hits over 24 innings."


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  3. 05-17-12 09:25 PM #3
    taxe91
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    could take the -1.5 if you dont want the juice
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  4. 05-17-12 09:27 PM #4
    nrok2118
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    Quote Originally Posted by taxe91 View Post
    could take the -1.5 if you dont want the juice

    I dont play runlines, everytime I do they win by 1 and it drives me insane
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  5. 05-17-12 09:34 PM #5
    antifoil
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    what percentage chance do you think the tigers win?
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  6. 05-17-12 09:36 PM #6
    nrok2118
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    Quote Originally Posted by antifoil View Post
    what percentage chance do you think the tigers win?
    I think at least 70%-80%...whats that translate to moneyline wise?
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  7. 05-17-12 09:37 PM #7
    JMon
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    Verlander is 10-1 at home in his career in interleague play. Respectable, he is 8-3 on the RL in those starts. Yet his average win margin by 2.8. Further, the Tigers as a team are very good interleague team. Since 2004, as a home fav they are 47-16. However, they never had a losing season until last where they went 4-5 as a home fav. Yet, Verlander was two of those wins.

    Ideally, it's a solid play, but I personally do not play home RL's due to the moderate percentage of home team not batting in the bottom of the ninth. I will probably play them in a 2T parlay(only) or -1, or just pass.

    gl
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  8. 05-17-12 09:38 PM #8
    antifoil
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    10 percent is a wide range. you should narrow it down more.
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  9. 05-17-12 09:43 PM #9
    JMon
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    I have Verlander at 16-6 career in interleague play...

    Losses...

    10-21-06 v. STL
    10-27-06 v. STL
    06-16-08 v. SF
    06-16-09 v. STL
    06-29-09 v. HOU
    06-22-10 v. NYM
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  10. 05-17-12 09:45 PM #10
    nrok2118
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    Gonna be a nice sunny day, Friday evening game coming off a loss to a bad team at home (no travel)...they bounce back hard under their ace against an inferior team....80%
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  11. 05-17-12 09:45 PM #11
    mbs4
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    Quote Originally Posted by nrok2118 View Post
    I think at least 70%-80%...whats that translate to moneyline wise?
    -233 to -400
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  12. 05-17-12 09:48 PM #12
    antifoil
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    yeah that shows you how far off you are at guessing. when was the last time you saw a mlb team at -400 for 80 percent chance?
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