1. #1
    Ernie_Money
    Ernie_Money's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-06
    Posts: 65

    Day 2, the trek continues

    I have a new userid as people just want to believe that I am a spammer or a tout, which I promise I am not, I hate both of those types of people, I am just looking to share some plays and a betting style that has goals. Also keep in mind that the "ultimate" goal is to win $1000 a week. That "ultimate" goal keeps me focused on the actual goal, which is to win money and be up a fairly good amount at the end of the year. I have NOT averaged $1000 a week for 3 straight years now. BUT, That is always my goal. Again, just watch me and DO NOT COAT-TAIL me for at least 3 months and get a feel for how this works.

    Tonight:

    The plays:


    Florida Marlins --- $200 to win $214
    NY MetsColorado game over 10 --- $204 to win $200
    Toronto/Cleveland under 9.5 --- $200 to win $206
    Away Teams Pick --- $100 to win $150


    Reasoning:

    1) I have to fade Mulder until he shows that he is anywhere near 100%.
    2) There is a slight breeze blowing out at Coors and both pitchers tonight have been in a slight rut as of late, and despite Coors being a stone Under field all year, I have to like this Mets lineup to reverse that trend.
    3) Chacin is not as bad as his last outing and Sabbathia has been on a roll and there is a stiff breeze blowing straight in.
    4) because the Home Teams have slaughtered the Away teams by 29, 15, 22 & 19 runs the last 4 days and although it is not unusual at all for the Home Teams or Away Teams to get streaky covering a bunch in a row (Home Teams covered 8 straight earlier this month and the Away Teams covered 6 straight earlier this month), it is fairly rare to have 4 straight blowouts like this and when this situation pops up, the trend is to go the other way.

    Record (0-1, -$107)

    do NOT coat-tail. Thank you.

  2. #2
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,425

    i'd take a shot with the fish in this spot myself.

    the cardinals lineup is going to probly be all rightys, and the cardinals rightys are not exactly hitting all that great as of late.

  3. #3
    Ganchrow
    Nolite te bastardes carborundorum.
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-05
    Posts: 5,011
    Betpoints: 1088

    excellent 'capping, especially #'s 2 and 3. they both involved below-the-surface analysis and both won easily, impressive start.

  4. #4
    rolemand
    rolemand's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-06
    Posts: 1,033

    Was #4 even valid with the cancellation of the Det/NYY. I thought all 15 games had to 8.5 innings.

  5. #5
    bigboydan
    bigboydan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 55,425

    that is indeed an impressive start bud. keep it up

  6. #6
    rolemand
    rolemand's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-06
    Posts: 1,033

    Yes nice comeback Ernie. Analysis is appreciated as well.

  7. #7
    Bulldog
    Bulldog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-22-06
    Posts: 839

    Keep em coming Ernie, and congrats on your winning night

Top