Florida 56% - Nolasco has had a high degree of volatility this year, but when he has been good, he has been very good. Unless he gets crushed, Florida will have a strong edge. Both Milwaukee and their starter, Dave Bush, have had road problems this season, and the scheduling spot for this game does not help; Milwaukee had to make a long trip yesterday, while Florida got the day off. Florida's bullpen has also been reasonably capable in general, and they are likely to be able to make any small lead stick here.