Pinnacle has changed their lines. There was a glitch where you would do better betting it at ML and RL. On games that aren't big spreads ( like Atl) Pinny used to have a difference of about 12 cents on the -1 line, now it's at 8 cents, so it's fine.
Atl -1 -103
Hous +1 -111
earlier this would have been more like
Atl -1 -101
Hous +1 -113
I did the math on NYY, and the -1 is even a little better.
NYY -219
NYY -1.5 -107
NYY -1 -164
If you bet:
Nyy -1 -164 , risk 1000 to win 609.75
splitting it ( using algebra) to create a -1 line yields
NYY -219 686.53 to win 313.48
NYY -1.5 -107 313.48 to win 292.97
This pays $3.30 less in this case !
However you can create your own -1 line anywhere with this method, and still beat the -1 price by shopping and betting each half at the best line.
It's not worth much now since Pinny no longer gouges you on the -1 line !
Makes sense that the Yanks would be a big favorite. Chacon has been their best pitcher of late. They're at home with their backs against the wall facing elimination. Washburn is nothing special either. Call me a homer, but I still think the Yanks have a shot in this series. They've already beaten Colon @ Anaheim and there's no reason to believe they can't do it again.
To be honest, I think it was worth laying -225 with Chacon against Washburn because of his struggles in the playoffs and against the Yankees. If I had to play the game now, the Angels makes more sense, because Lackey is a great big-game pitcher. Still, I don't see the Yankees losing tonight.
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Chacon and NYY -225 ?
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