1. #1
    Ganchrow
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    July 22 Ganchalysis

    Philadelphia 60% - Myers has been effective in his usual unspectacular but solid manner this year, and here he should do the same thing, especially with some of Atlanta's bigger bats not in the starting lineup. James should have a slightly worse outing than Myers, and Philadelphia will again have another small edge when the bullpens are involved, with a better pen, slightly better lineup, and playing at home.

    Toronto 53% - Both starters are sharp, but Lilly has noticeable problems in the daytime, and Wang has noticeable problems on the road. Lilly also has been bad against the Yankees in his career, but that is probably anomalous, and he should have a quality start here against a Yankee lineup that is weaker than it has been in the recent past. The Toronto lineup and bullpen are still solid, giving them a small edge overall. B.J. Ryan's recent struggles are a concern though, and it could be a sign of fundamental issues, but for now it can be assumed that it isn't.

  2. #2
    Ganchrow
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    Florida 54% - This game has a high degree of uncertainty to it. Wells was sharp in his last start, as he was in the last part of his start before that. His overall numbers are misleading; while he is always vulnerable to getting hit, he is not nearly the same kind of pitcher as others who have similar terrible numbers, as he is also always very capable of having a very good start. Nolasco also is a big question mark for this game. He has had a very high degree of volatility, and can either get crushed or be excellent. Both lineups bullpens are capable and roughly evenly matched, leaving the starters' outings all the more important. This game has a very low confidence factor.

    Milwaukee 51% - Milwaukee is obviously having major bullpen problems right now. If Turnbow isn't the closer, then who is? A glance down their roster gives no answer. Even Capellan, the most likely option, is injured. As hard as it would have been to imagine a few weeks ago, Cincinnati has a significant edge in that area for this game. Bush is also a question here. While he has been good for a while this year, he does not inspire confidence in a situation like this. He has been worse on the road this year, and was used as a reliever 3 days ago. Mays, of course, is no bargain, and is likely to get hit hard by the capable Milwaukee lineup. Milwaukee's best chance for this game is to outslug Cincinnati, which they might be able to do.

  3. #3
    Ganchrow
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    White Sox 53% - The White Sox' problems are real, and they are likely to struggle for at least the near future. Their pitching is suspect, and they will need to outslug the other team to win most of their games. They may do that here, but it is not at all a sure thing with Garcia facing the percolating Texas lineup. Koronka is spotty, but he can be good at times, and if he can manage to have any kind of quality start here, the White Sox will be vulnerable.

    Angels 53% - Hudson has always had the potential to be a good major league starter, but he had injury issues for a while. Now he seems to be OK, and he has thrown 2 decent starts so far. Escobar can be dominating but when his velocity or command is off he gets hit hard, and coming off of the DL for this game it is not at all clear that he is in prime shape. The Angels do have an edge in the bullpen, and a small lineup edge as well, but Kansas City is a very scrappy team at home, and they will likely be in this game until the end.

  4. #4
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by ganchrow
    Their pitching is suspect, and they will need to outslug the other team to win most of their games.
    Sounds like a team in New York. What is that team again?........Oh yeah, the Yankees.

  5. #5
    Ganchrow
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    Arizona 52% - Fogg has been good recently and has also been good against Arizona and at Chase in his career, but he is still a mediocre pitcher and is vulnerable to getting hit, even by mediocre lineups. Still, Arizona does not send out a strong offense, and Fogg may well extend his streak of quality starts. The Colorado bullpen, however, is not in good shape, and that may well figure in greatly if the game is close in the later innings, which it is likely to be. Gonzalez has been very volatile this year, either getting shelled or pitching sharp outings, and his likely performance in very unclear. Added to that is the recently slumping Colorado offense, which will wake up at some point, and it could be this game. This game has a low confidence factor.

  6. #6
    Ganchrow
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    Dodgers 51% - This game has a high degree of uncertainty to it. Sele has been great at home, but that is sure to even out soon, as his stuff is suspect to say the least. Weaver has done well in his career at Dodger Stadium, although of course this year he has has all kinds of trouble. Combined with the inconsistent offenses invloved, this adds up to a lot of uncertainty and low confidence. This game rates very even in all areas.

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