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Pittsburgh 51% - Gorzelanny hasn't had a strong outing in the majors yet, but he has good stuff, and he was strong in the minors this year, and he may well have his first quality major league start in this game. The Colorado offense will break out of their current slump at some point soon, but for now it is likely to continue to slump throughout the Pittsburgh series. Francis should throw a decent game as well, and the key here will be the effectiveness of Pittsburgh's superior, but possibly overextended bullpen.

Detroit 53% - Both starters are likely to have strong games. Garland has done well in his career at Comerica, and is well-suited to pitch in this park, and the same can be said for Robertson. Beyond that, both teams of course have strong lineups and capable bullpens, which makes this a very evenly matched game. Guillen considers this series to be very important and will be trying to cook up any magic he can.

Florida 68% - Willis has been coming on strong of late, and he is likely to have a quality start here. If he does, Florida will have a huge edge, as their offense is very capable, and O'Connor has only average stuff. He is also not likely to go deep in the game, so the Florida lineup will likely have a shot at scoring against the softer part of the Washington pen for a few innings.

Oakland 57% - Oakland has a modest edge in this game, as Loaiza is a bit less terrible than Ortiz, and their bullpen is better rested than Baltimore's. Baltimore may have a slight lineup edge, but this game will mostly hinge on whose pitching is less inept, and that is more likely to be Oakland's.

Mets 62% - The Mets may soon have a truly awesome lineup if Cliff Floyd starts to hit the way he did last year. Pelfrey has talent, and while he may not be ready to be consistently effective in the majors yet, in this game, with the Mets' lineup in a hitters' park going up against Milton, and with their strong and deep bullpen, he will only need to be modestly effective to give the Mets a big edge, which is likely.

Boston 70% - Lester may have an off game here as he has struggled with his control recently, and Kansas City's offense does take advantage of pitchers when they are having problems. Duckworth may have one of his better 6 IP, 3 ER outings. But even if those 2 things happen, it's hard to see Kansas City winning. They seem to just give games away of late, even when they play well enough to win.

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Houston 61% - Marmol will likely be helped by a home plate umpire with a relatively forgiving strike zone tonight. Oswalt's inning count will be key. The Cubs' chances of winning go up dramatically with each inning they have against the Houston bullpen.

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Arizona 60% - Billingsley walks too many hitters to have success in the majors right now, and the stirring Arizona offense is likely to take advantage of that. Cruz has a high degree of volatility, but when he is good he has high-quality starts. If the game doesn't get away from the Dodgers in the first 5 innings, it will be an evenly matched game, but the chance that it will gives Arizona a solid overall edge.

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San Diego 54% - Madson is a very hard pitcher to figure; he can be dominating at times, but also seems to struggle with his mechanics and gets hit when he does. It might be mental, and may have mechanics issues again here. Hensley on the other hand, has been consistently effective as a starter at home, and he is likely to have a good outing again here. Philadelphia's offense has been perking up of late, and that does reduce Hensley's likelihood of a good outing somewhat, but in general, San Diego will have a small edge overall playing at home with a solid pen and a promising starter.

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Angels 51% - Lee has had late-season issues with fatigue in his career, and that might be happening to him again. Saunders had success in the minors this year, as well as in his only start at home last year, and he could have a quality start in this situation despite facing a relatively tough lineup. The Angels will also have a bullpen edge. Cleveland's big bats, however, are always a threat to explode, and could do so here.