[Ganchrow]

White Sox 51% - This game has a high degree of uncertainty to it as both starters can be dominant, but have both also faltered a bit recently. Contreras, however, is more likely to have a strong game, and the White Sox' lineup is more likely to as well. Johnson, however, is well aware of, and bothered by, talk of his decline, and he is sure to be gunning for a dominant outing. At this stage of his career, he has been much more effective when well rested, as he is here. His natural ability and winning attitude will clash with his obvious age-related decline and the White Sox' strong lineup, and it's not clear which is more likely to win out.

Pittsburgh 56% - Washington will be hurt by having a thinner bullpen overall, but for this game that won't matter, and their offense, which was already improving at the end of the first half, will get a boost from their new hitters. Duke has thrown his better starts at home, however, and Ortiz' final start of the first half was troubling. Both starters are likely to get knocked around here, and Pittsburgh plays better at home, and has a capable pen.

Detroit 61% - Rogers is likely to decline in performance in the second half, and his final three starts before the break indicate that might already have begun. Redman is likely to get hit as well in the second half, but he has pitched well in his career at Comerica, and this is a good spot for him; he is likely to have a quality outing. If he does, the Kansas City offense should be able to get a few runs off of Rogers and they will have a good shot at winning.

Cincinnati 52% - Guardado won't make much of a difference in the Cincinnati pen, but Majewski and Bray might. Jennings and Harang rate roughly even, and the Colorado bullpen has been struggling of late. Colorado rates a lineup edge.

[Ganchrow]

Houston 54% - Clemens is still not in dominant form, and although he is in good form, the capable Florida lineup will be dangerous vs the iffy Houston bullpen, which should be in for at least 3 innings. If Sanchez can keep Florida in the game until then, they will have a solid edge.

[Ganchrow]

Cleveland 52% - Radke's recent success at home is likely a mirage. He was hit hard by Cleveland once already this year, and he is likely to have a mediocre outing here. Byrd, on the other hand, has been effective of late, and has been good at the Metrodome in his career. He is likely to have a quality start. Minnesota's strong bullpen edge does mitigate Cleveland's edge for the first parts of the game.

[Ganchrow]

Milwaukee 51% - Davis has been shelled on the road so far this year, but here he is more likely than usual to have a quality start. Bautista is less likely to have a quality start, and other than that, the game rates roughly even.

[Ganchrow]

Angels 62% - Seo has had success before in the majors, and his last start vs the capable Yankee lineup was promising. He may well have a strong entire second half for Tampa Bay, and he is likely to have a quality start here, despite the fact that the Angels' offense was stirring at the end of the first half of the season. Lackey has been very sharp in many instances this year, and he is likely to have another good start here at home vs the modest Tampa Bay lineup.