1. #1
    BettingWizard
    BettingWizard's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-28-09
    Posts: 6,522
    Betpoints: 102

    Verlander only -160 in a must win game

    discuss

  2. #2
    BennyFang
    BennyFang's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 10582

    I always consider unders in an elimination game.....that would be my first inclination here. The side is tough but I would probably either go with the value (Texas +150) or no play. ( I think CJ Wilson at +150 is decent value.)

  3. #3
    robinhood
    Steal from the books, give to the poor
    robinhood's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-09
    Posts: 916

    Love the rangers here. All pressure on Detroit and CJ should handle Detroit well. I see a 4-2 win for Texas

  4. #4
    aman86
    aman86's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-09
    Posts: 3,115
    Betpoints: 150

    under seems like a solid play, cruz promised he wouldn't do that a third time

  5. #5
    asdfghasdfgh
    asdfghasdfgh's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-11
    Posts: 359
    Betpoints: 744

    I'll probably be on the Rangers tomorrow. The Tigers' bats are dead and today's loss was about as deflating as they come. Tied in extras, your go-to shutdown closer gives up 4 runs in 1.1IP. Psychologically, losing by 4 runs in extras TWICE has to kill you. Benoit has pitched 4 innings (3 appearances in the last 3 days) and Valverde has pitched 4.1 innings (3 appearances in the last 3 days). The back of the bullpen has been overused in losing efforts and ultimately I think this will be the Tigers' downfall. If the game is close down the stretch (as every game of the series has been), the strength of the Rangers' bullpen plus clutch hitting should win this game.

    I know this doesn't mean much, but I've picked every game of this series correctly and tomorrow I feel a big play on the Rangers.

  6. #6
    toddorts
    toddorts's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-30-11
    Posts: 882

    Verlander is good. But he ain't that good. I'll probably be on the Rangers ML.

  7. #7
    Ask Whole
    Ask Whole's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-11
    Posts: 55

    I think the best strategy is to keep pressing bets until the rangers win the series.

  8. #8
    BathingApe
    BathingApe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-10
    Posts: 846
    Betpoints: 662

    Hmm, I really want to take Verlander but idk...

  9. #9
    Renojaguar
    Renojaguar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-09
    Posts: 921
    Betpoints: 938

    Detroit should get the win tomorrow. Verlander is 11-3 at home with the Tigers winning 12 of his 17 starts there. In a must win game there is nobody I would pick to get me throught this game than Verlander. The books know that everyone ios going to hammer Texas to get the winning game here. If they would of opened the ML at a higher price you definatley get Detroit money here. Keeping it at a minimum will lead people to believe that Texas gets the win here, But they will loss this game.

  10. #10
    chrisharvard01
    chrisharvard01's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-24-08
    Posts: 2,943
    Betpoints: 145

    Rolling with DET 1st 5 again

  11. #11
    Ask Whole
    Ask Whole's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-11
    Posts: 55

    Under first 5 innings?

  12. #12
    KnowingNothing
    KnowingNothing's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-11-11
    Posts: 402
    Betpoints: 746

    I've been an avid fan of playing big on Verlander every game but I feel very uneasy about this game... there's only so much pressure one can take.

  13. #13
    Sportsbetting123
    Sportsbetting123's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-08
    Posts: 1,400
    Betpoints: 7617

    I would play Detroit at this line with Verlander.

  14. #14
    RumHam
    RumHam's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-07-11
    Posts: 18
    Betpoints: 149

    After the Halladay loss there's no faith in the ace.

  15. #15
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,663
    Betpoints: 32317

    Quote Originally Posted by toddorts View Post
    Verlander is good. But he ain't that good. I'll probably be on the Rangers ML.
    He has not been Verlander good either for a month either.

  16. #16
    thebestthereis
    thebestthereis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-09
    Posts: 11,459
    Betpoints: 8056

    Choke city

  17. #17
    Regul8er
    Wordd
    Regul8er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-06-07
    Posts: 10,666
    Betpoints: 4101

    Gotta like the Rangers......Cuz took the last wind out of Detroit. Even with Verlander on the mound, Detroit is depleted.

  18. #18
    YOUNGBUCK
    YOUNGBUCK's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-10
    Posts: 6,510
    Betpoints: 5189

    Quote Originally Posted by asdfghasdfgh View Post
    I'll probably be on the Rangers tomorrow. The Tigers' bats are dead and today's loss was about as deflating as they come. Tied in extras, your go-to shutdown closer gives up 4 runs in 1.1IP. Psychologically, losing by 4 runs in extras TWICE has to kill you. Benoit has pitched 4 innings (3 appearances in the last 3 days) and Valverde has pitched 4.1 innings (3 appearances in the last 3 days). The back of the bullpen has been overused in losing efforts and ultimately I think this will be the Tigers' downfall. If the game is close down the stretch (as every game of the series has been), the strength of the Rangers' bullpen plus clutch hitting should win this game.

    I know this doesn't mean much, but I've picked every game of this series correctly and tomorrow I feel a big play on the Rangers.
    Deflating losses dont really mean anything in Baseball its u an the pitcher ur not thinking ab deflating losses in ur ab

  19. #19
    BennyFang
    BennyFang's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 10582

    Quote Originally Posted by Ask Whole View Post
    Under first 5 innings?
    I think this is the best play.

  20. #20
    Regul8er
    Wordd
    Regul8er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-06-07
    Posts: 10,666
    Betpoints: 4101

    Quote Originally Posted by YOUNGBUCK View Post
    Deflating losses dont really mean anything in Baseball its u an the pitcher ur not thinking ab deflating losses in ur ab
    I disagree YoungBuck wholeheartedly. It's apparent you never played competitive baseball, as deflating losses take the wind out of the sails. Not saying Detroit doesn't win this game, but I wouldn't at all be surprised to see the Rangers close this thing up tonight. Low moral in the clubhouse doesn't generally translate into success on the field.

  21. #21
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    everyone in this thread on the rangers. good sign for detroit

  22. #22
    sickeric
    sickeric's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-22-10
    Posts: 92
    Betpoints: 1657

    seems like alot of the action is against Verlander and the Tigers today.... kinda odd

  23. #23
    linedrivr
    I'm your huckleberry
    linedrivr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-04-10
    Posts: 2,223
    Betpoints: 432

    Quote Originally Posted by Renojaguar View Post
    The books know that everyone ios going to hammer Texas to get the winning game here. If they would of opened the ML at a higher price you definatley get Detroit money here. Keeping it at a minimum will lead people to believe that Texas gets the win here, But they will loss this game.
    based on the wagers placed thus far, the books are keeping the line lower which is getting major Verlander backing.

    ML is 67% Detroit backers

    RL is 88% Detroit backers

    one would think the books would try to even up the wagering for both sides by making the ML for Texas more appealing. It opened @ Detroit -175 and is down to -145 so I'm not seeing it. Based on betting trends and reverse line movement, I don't think the books think Detroit wins today.

  24. #24
    Ice House
    Ice House's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-21-10
    Posts: 4,060

    good game so far...

  25. #25
    Delirium tremens
    Update your status
    Delirium tremens's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-11
    Posts: 173
    Betpoints: 1285

    must win doesn't mean "will win"!!

  26. #26
    erkanua
    erkanua's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-10
    Posts: 773
    Betpoints: 2395

    96 pitches in 5 inning showed that it is not about Verlander..it is PoweRangers..

  27. #27
    nomar122977
    nomar122977's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-11
    Posts: 9,496
    Betpoints: 4376

    this will be his last inning. and tigers bp is beat no valverde or soria

Top