1. #1
    Illusion
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    Capping and Discussions 6/28

    Post your comments and leans in this thread. If you have a play post it in the regular best bets thread. Remember, this is for comments and leans only. No results will be tracked from this thread.

  2. #2
    bigboydan
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    heres the overnite consensus numbers from carib:

    # 951 2:20pm Brewers (D Bush) vs Cubs (C Marmol) Cubs 30.00%
    Brewers 70.00%
    240 Bets

    # 953 1:05pm Astros (A Pettitte) vs Tigers (Verlander) Tigers 71.80%
    Astros 28.20%
    798 Bets

    # 955 1:05pm Braves (J Smoltz) vs Yankees (C Wang)(ESPN) Braves 26.46%
    Yankees 73.54%
    567 Bets

    # 957 1:10pm Dodgers (O Perez) vs Twins (JO Santana) Dodgers 17.14%
    Twins 82.86%
    630 Bets

    # 959 7:05pm Phillies (S Mathieson) vs Orioles (K Benson)(DH Game #2) Orioles 88.00%
    Phillies 12.00%
    75 Bets

    # 961 7:05pm Mets (P Martinez) vs Red Sox (J Beckett)(ESPN2) Red Sox 46.51%
    Mets 53.49%
    387 Bets

    # 963 7:05pm Nationals (S Hill) vs Blue Jays (T Lilly) Blue Jays 85.84%
    Nationals 14.16%
    339 Bets

    # 965 7:05pm White Sox (F Garcia) vs Pirates (P Maholm)(WGN) White Sox 93.88%
    Pirates 6.12%
    588 Bets

    # 967 7:05pm Devil Rays (C Fossum) vs Marlins (S Olsen) Marlins 82.35%
    Devil Rays 17.65%
    204 Bets

    # 969 7:10pm Royals (S Elarton) vs Reds (A Harang) Reds 94.44%
    Royals 5.56%
    378 Bets

    # 971 8:10pm Indians (Westbrook) vs Cardinals (Carpenter) Indians 14.15%
    Cardinals 85.85%
    318 Bets

    # 973 9:40pm Mariners (F Hernandez) vs Diamondbacks (ED Gonzalez) Diamondbacks 0.00%
    Mariners 100.00%
    141 Bets

    # 975 10:05pm Athletics (J Blanton) vs Padres (C Hensley) Athletics 95.65%
    Padres 4.35%
    207 Bets

    # 977 10:05pm Rockies (J Francis) vs Angels (E Santana) Angels 82.72%
    Rockies 17.28%
    243 Bets

    # 979 10:15pm Rangers (Rheinecker) vs Giants (N Lowry) Giants 100.00%
    Rangers 0.00%
    105 Bets



  3. #3
    Patrick McIrish
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    Atl/NYY U9-
    LAA/Col U8-
    LAD/Minn O8



    Been pretty hot of late on these totals, really like that Minnesota over tomorrow. Perez has been a walking gas can of late, I mean he is just getting bombed. Last 3 starts he has gone 12 innings, given up 30 hits and has an ERA of over 14 1/2. Santana of course is Santana but doubt he will come close to shutting down the Dodgers either, they feast on lefties. Got this one about 9-4 or so.

  4. #4
    bigboydan
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    heres the projected weather forcasts for wednesday's games:


    Dodgers
    Twins
    (DOME)



    Braves
    Yankees
    Forecast : 74°F
    Probability of Precip:70 %
    Wind: From the SSE at 15 mph



    Brewers
    Cubs
    Forecast : 74°F
    Probability of Precip:20 %
    Wind: From the NW at 10 mph



    Mariners
    D'backs
    Forecast : 101°F
    Probability of Precip:30 %
    (ODDS ARE THE ROOF WILL BE CLOSED)



    White Sox
    Pirates
    Forecast : 75°F
    Probability of Precip:30 %
    Wind: From the WSW at 7 mph




    Rockies
    Anaheim
    Forecast : 78°F
    Probability of Precip:10%



    Astros
    Tigers
    Forecast : 75°F
    Probability of Precip:50 %
    Wind: From the SW at 9 mph




    Mets
    Red Sox
    Forecast : 72°F
    Probability of Precip:30 %
    Wind: From the SSE at 11 mph



    A's
    Padres
    Forecast : 75°F
    Probability of Precip:10 %
    Wind: From the WNW at 9 mph



    Phillies
    Orioles
    Forecast : 86°F
    Probability of Precip:20 %
    Wind: From the SSW at 6 mph



    D'Rays
    Marlins
    Forecast : 86°F
    Probability of Precip:40 %
    Wind: From the E at 10 mph





    Nationals
    Blue Jays
    Forecast : 76°F
    Probability of Precip:30 %
    Wind: From the SW at 10 mph
    (ROOF COULD BE CLOSED)



    Indians
    Cardinals
    Forecast : 83°F
    Probability of Precip:30 %
    Wind: From the WNW at 7 mph




    Royals
    Reds
    Forecast : 77°F
    Probability of Precip:30 %
    Wind: From the WSW at 10 mph



    Rangers
    Giants
    Forecast : 61°F
    Probability of Precip:20 %
    Wind: From the WNW at 12 mph

  5. #5
    bigboydan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick McIrish
    Atl/NYY U9-
    LAA/Col U8-
    LAD/Minn O8



    Been pretty hot of late on these totals, really like that Minnesota over tomorrow. Perez has been a walking gas can of late, I mean he is just getting bombed. Last 3 starts he has gone 12 innings, given up 30 hits and has an ERA of over 14 1/2. Santana of course is Santana but doubt he will come close to shutting down the Dodgers either, they feast on lefties. Got this one about 9-4 or so.
    your not kidding pat. perez has been brutal in his last 10 starts.

    the problem i'd have is it's the getaway day for the dodgers, and santana is on the hill. thats appears to be a really bad combo for the dodgers offense. but, what really makes matters worse is, it's a day game.

    i'm personaly gonna pass on this game completely. although, if you were going to put a gun to my head i'd probly take the over myself.


    in regards to your other two over/unders go. well, i have no leans at all on those.

  6. #6
    bigboydan
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    updated injury report for today:

    Wind out to right @ 8 mph
    MIL-P-Wise-Questionable
    CHC-C-Barrett-OUT

    NYY-2B-Cano-DL

    LAD-1B-Garciparra-NOT expected to start (rest)

    NYM-OF-Nady-Questionable

    CWS-DH-Thome-NOT expected to start (rest)

    TB-DH-Gomes-Pinch Hit only
    FLA-2B-Uggla-Questionable


    LAA-OF-Anderson-Questionable


    SF-OF-Alou-Questionable, SS-Vizquel-Probable


    DH#1 (Write-In Game)
    PHI-OF-Burrell-Probable





  7. #7
    bigboydan
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    heres the updated consensus numbers from carib as of 11:15am est.

    theres a few early games today guys, thats why i posted these updated numbers this early. i will updated the numbers before the late games start as well.

    # 951 2:20pm Brewers (D Bush) vs Cubs (C Marmol) Cubs 51.72%
    Brewers 48.28%
    1131 Bets

    # 953 1:05pm Astros (A Pettitte) vs Tigers (Verlander) Tigers 64.63%
    Astros 35.37%
    3444 Bets

    # 955 1:05pm Braves (J Smoltz) vs Yankees (C Wang)(ESPN) Braves 28.38%
    Yankees 71.62%
    1998 Bets

    # 957 1:10pm Dodgers (O Perez) vs Twins (JO Santana) Dodgers 32.22%
    Twins 67.78%
    3045 Bets

    # 959 7:05pm Phillies (S Mathieson) vs Orioles (K Benson)(DH Game #2) Orioles 84.21%
    Phillies 15.79%
    798 Bets

    # 961 7:05pm Mets (P Martinez) vs Red Sox (J Beckett)(ESPN2) Red Sox 56.53%
    Mets 43.47%
    1332 Bets

    # 963 7:05pm Nationals (S Hill) vs Blue Jays (T Lilly) Blue Jays 64.90%
    Nationals 35.10%
    1701 Bets

    # 965 7:05pm White Sox (F Garcia) vs Pirates (P Maholm)(WGN) White Sox 89.43%
    Pirates 10.57%
    1788 Bets

    # 967 7:05pm Devil Rays (C Fossum) vs Marlins (S Olsen) Marlins 60.07%
    Devil Rays 39.93%
    1608 Bets

    # 969 7:10pm Royals (S Elarton) vs Reds (A Harang) Reds 62.30%
    Royals 37.70%
    1488 Bets

    # 971 8:10pm Indians (Westbrook) vs Cardinals (Carpenter) Indians 23.21%
    Cardinals 76.79%
    1422 Bets

    # 973 9:40pm Mariners (F Hernandez) vs Diamondbacks (ED Gonzalez) Diamondbacks 56.94%
    Mariners 43.06%
    864 Bets

    # 975 10:05pm Athletics (J Blanton) vs Padres (C Hensley) Athletics 82.12%
    Padres 17.88%
    453 Bets

    # 977 10:05pm Rockies (J Francis) vs Angels (E Santana) Angels 84.00%
    Rockies 16.00%
    825 Bets

    # 979 10:15pm Rangers (Rheinecker) vs Giants (N Lowry) Giants 24.83%
    Rangers 75.17%
    858 Bets

    # 981 1:35pm Phillies (C Hamels) vs Orioles (E Bedard)(DH Game #1) Orioles 57.69%
    Phillies 42.31%
    78 Bets


  8. #8
    bigboydan
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    heres the early consensus numbers from sportsbook.com:

    Milwaukee 75%
    Detroit 75%
    Yankees 83%
    Minnesota 90%
    Baltimore 95% (game 2)
    Baltimore 81% (game 1)
    Boston 55%
    Toronto 95%
    white sox 93%
    Florida 76%
    Cincinnati 84%
    St. Louis 61%
    Seattle 81%
    Oakland 73%
    halo's 68%
    Texas 54%

  9. #9
    Bulldog
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    Lets go Smoltzie!!!
    Like the old times!!!

  10. #10
    bigboydan
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    heres the updated consensus numbers from carib as of 5:40pm EST:

    # 959 7:05pm Phillies (S Mathieson) vs Orioles (K Benson)(DH Game #2) Orioles 74.91%
    Phillies 25.09%
    1638 Bets

    # 961 7:05pm Mets (P Martinez) vs Red Sox (J Beckett)(ESPN2) Red Sox 53.10%
    Mets 46.90%
    3096 Bets

    # 963 7:05pm Nationals (S Hill) vs Blue Jays (T Lilly) Blue Jays 66.23%
    Nationals 33.77%
    3180 Bets

    # 965 7:05pm White Sox (F Garcia) vs Pirates (P Maholm)(WGN) White Sox 86.37%
    Pirates 13.63%
    4269 Bets

    # 967 7:05pm Devil Rays (C Fossum) vs Marlins (S Olsen) Marlins 65.83%
    Devil Rays 34.17%
    2739 Bets

    # 969 7:10pm Royals (S Elarton) vs Reds (A Harang) Reds 66.85%
    Royals 33.15%
    3330 Bets

    # 971 8:10pm Indians (Westbrook) vs Cardinals (Carpenter) Indians 23.68%
    Cardinals 76.32%
    3306 Bets

    # 973 9:40pm Mariners (F Hernandez) vs Diamondbacks (ED Gonzalez) Diamondbacks 36.95%
    Mariners 63.05%
    1827 Bets

    # 975 10:05pm Athletics (J Blanton) vs Padres (C Hensley) Athletics 80.12%
    Padres 19.88%
    966 Bets

    # 977 10:05pm Rockies (J Francis) vs Angels (E Santana) Angels 85.36%
    Rockies 14.64%
    1926 Bets

    # 979 10:15pm Rangers (Rheinecker) vs Giants (N Lowry) Giants 22.18%
    Rangers 77.82%
    1677 Bets



  11. #11
    Patrick McIrish
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    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick McIrish
    Atl/NYY U9-
    LAA/Col U8-
    LAD/Minn O8



    Been pretty hot of late on these totals, really like that Minnesota over tomorrow. Perez has been a walking gas can of late, I mean he is just getting bombed. Last 3 starts he has gone 12 innings, given up 30 hits and has an ERA of over 14 1/2. Santana of course is Santana but doubt he will come close to shutting down the Dodgers either, they feast on lefties. Got this one about 9-4 or so.

    I love this place for bases.....

  12. #12
    bigboydan
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    glad you like it here pat

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