1. #1
    Illusion
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    Capping and Discussions 6/17

    Post your comments and leans in this thread. If you have a play post it in the regular best bets thread. Remember, this is for comments and leans only. No results will be tracked from this thread.

  2. #2
    bigboydan
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    Scott Mathieson(R): 6-2, 3.05era, 95-26 k/bb
    in 85.2 IP, 13gs @ AA Reading

  3. #3
    bigboydan
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    peavy is a +115 tomorrow.

    something here just don't look right.

  4. #4
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    peavy is a +115 tomorrow.

    something here just don't look right.
    When I first seen that line it stuck out to me as being werid. Its like the book is trying to bait bettors into betting the Padres tomorrow.

    I havent looked at the matchup for that game yet, but on the surface, it looks like a trap.

  5. #5
    bigboydan
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    i haven't capped that game either yet looker. but, that game stuck out like a sore thumb to me when i first glanced at the lines for tomorrow.

  6. #6
    onlooker
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    Early consensus on that Padres/Angels game is about 75% on the Padres. So that line should do a swing in the favorite direction. So if you want to bet the Padres, do it as soon as you can.

    Its down to +112 at Pinnacle right now.

  7. #7
    EBone
    Washington State +140 over Wichita State
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    At the TFZ forum, Raiders posted that he thinks Peavy has arm problems. He bet against him last week with the Marlins and cashed a nice doggie there. FYI. Don't know if Raiders knows something or not. Just thought I'd post that. It's not like the Angels are an offensive jaugernaut anyway.........



    E

  8. #8
    bigboydan
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    i haven't read any reports on peavy's arm troubles lately. what i can tell you though is, the bulpen always seems to screw him this year.

    embree is the guy who seems to do it more than anyone too. although he did pitch in last nights game, so i don't know if he is even available to pitch today.

  9. #9
    bigboydan
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    heres todays injury reports for today:

    COL-RP-Mesa-susp. over
    STL-SS-Eckstein-Questionable

    NYY-RP-Farnsworth-OUT
    WAS-SS-Clayton-Questionable


    Out to center 20-22 mph, then out
    to left, 16-18mph.
    DET-C-Rodriguez, OF-Monroe-Questionable
    CHC-C-Barrett-doubtful

    CHW-DH-Thome-not exp. to start


    Scott Mathieson(R): 6-2, 3.05era, 95-26 k/bb
    in 85.2 IP, 13gs @ AA Reading
    TB-DH-Gomes-not exp. to start

    HOU-3B-Ensberg-Questionable

    CLE-OF-Michaels-Questionable

    BAL-DH-Lopez-not exp. to start

    LAD-OF-Drew-Probable
    OAK-OFs-Kotsay, Bradley-Questionable

  10. #10
    bigboydan
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    here's today consensus:

    # 901 7:15pm Rockies (J Francis) vs Cardinals (J Suppan) Rockies 24.35%
    Cardinals 75.65%
    2526 Bets

    # 903 1:20pm Red Sox (J Beckett) vs Braves (L Cormier)(FOX) Braves 59.90%
    Red Sox 40.10%
    2484 Bets

    # 905 1:20pm Yankees (S Chacon) vs Nationals (RM Ortiz)(FOX) Yankees 81.28%
    Nationals 18.72%
    2709 Bets

    # 907 4:05pm Tigers (Verlander) vs Cubs (C Marmol) Cubs 21.99%
    Tigers 78.01%
    2838 Bets

    # 909 4:05pm Padres (J Peavy) vs Angels (E Santana)(FOX) Angels 79.56%
    Padres 20.44%
    2334 Bets

    # 911 4:05pm Giants (J Schmidt) vs Mariners (G Meche)(FOX) Giants 80.73%
    Mariners 19.27%
    1152 Bets

    # 913 6:05pm Blue Jays (C Janssen) vs Marlins (B Moehler) Marlins 24.12%
    Blue Jays 75.88%
    1368 Bets

    # 915 6:10pm White Sox (J Contreras) vs Reds (E Milton)(WGN) White Sox 61.19%
    Reds 38.81%
    2682 Bets

    # 917 7:05pm Twins (B Bonser) vs Pirates (P Maholm) Twins 16.94%
    Pirates 83.06%
    1098 Bets

    # 919 7:05pm Devil Rays (S Kazmir) vs Phillies (S Mathiesn) Phillies 67.43%
    Devil Rays 32.57%
    2220 Bets

    # 921 7:05pm Royals (B Keppel) vs Astros (T Buchholz) Astros 38.15%
    Royals 61.85%
    1848 Bets

    # 923 7:05pm Indians (Westbrook) vs Brewers (D Bush) Indians 34.48%
    Brewers 65.52%
    2088 Bets

    # 925 7:10pm Orioles (K Benson) vs Mets (P Martinez) Orioles 48.30%
    Mets 51.70%
    2472 Bets

    # 927 8:05pm Diamondbacks (K Jarvis) vs Rangers (J Koronka) Diamondbacks 79.51%
    Rangers 20.49%
    1977 Bets

    # 929 9:05pm Dodgers (D Lowe) vs Athletics (K Saarloos) Dodgers 66.57%
    Athletics 33.43%
    1068 Bets

  11. #11
    onlooker
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    I see the Padres and Peavy are down to +102 at Pinnacle. So I hope you Peavy backers jumped on last night.

  12. #12
    bigboydan
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    F.Y.I.

    vlad isn't in the halo's lineup today.

  13. #13
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    F.Y.I.

    vlad isn't in the halo's lineup today.
    I just noticed that Dan. Thanks for giving everyone else a heads up.

  14. #14
    bigboydan
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    I also noticed that line has been moving big time too.

  15. #15
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    I also noticed that line has been moving big time too.
    Its been moving all night and day. The Padres are sitting at -102 at Pinnacle.

  16. #16
    bigboydan
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    the nats tied it up...

    what happen in this game anyways ? ... the last time i seen this score it was 9-2 yankees.

  17. #17
    bigboydan
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    holy shit!... the nats just took the lead in this game 10-9

  18. #18
    bigboydan
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    it's now 11-9 nats.

    you know it's not going the yankees way when Rivera gives it all up today.

  19. #19
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    the nats tied it up...

    what happen in this game anyways ? ... the last time i seen this score it was 9-2 yankees.
    Great comeback by the Nationals. I just hope they can close it out in the 9th.

    I had this one marked as a loss Dan. When we were speaking earlier, I thought it was a 0-2 early morning.

  20. #20
    bigboydan
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    i know you did bud.

    i just can't believe they battled back like they did.

  21. #21
    onlooker
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    11-9 Final. Nationals close it out.


  22. #22
    onlooker
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    Jim Thome not starting for the White Sox today.

    Reds have speed and power in their lineup. Freel is getting the start, and leading off today.

  23. #23
    bigboydan
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    the thing is the white sox just flat out own the reds onlooker. i don't think the reds have beaten the white sox since interleague has started.

  24. #24
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    the thing is the white sox just flat out own the reds onlooker. i don't think the reds have beaten the white sox since interleague has started.
    Yes, I know that. Different Reds team this year though.

    Just pointing out that Thome is out, and the Reds have more speed in the lineup today, to go along with their power hitters.

  25. #25
    Illusion
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    Hopefully you guys took my advice from yesterday and took White Sox + the over.

  26. #26
    bigboydan
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    this A's/Dodgers game is all tied up at 4-4 in extra innings.

    i can't believe the dodgers tied this game up in the 9th with 2 outs.

  27. #27
    bigboydan
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    the dodgers have a real threat going on right now in the 14th inning i see. they have runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out.

  28. #28
    onlooker
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    They walked the bases loaded, with 2 outs. They are going to pitch to the rookie Kemp. Does the rook come through?

    EDIT: Nope, the rook grounds out.

  29. #29
    bigboydan
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    i can't believe the A's got out of that jam.

  30. #30
    Illusion
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    They got lucky.

  31. #31
    bigboydan
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    not only am i sweating this game out. i'm sweating out the Essendon/Melbourne AFL game right now too.

  32. #32
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    i can't believe the A's got out of that jam.
    Neither one of these teams want to win. A's are already with 2 outs. I wish they can get that clutch hit, geez.

  33. #33
    Illusion
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    Onto the 15th.

  34. #34
    onlooker
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    Im just greedy with this one. I win on the day no matter this outcome, just would like to have a bigger day. The damn A's had their chances, and have blew it. Just like Street in the 9th.

  35. #35
    bigboydan
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    don't remind me of what street did in the 9th onlooker

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