1. #1
    BennyFang
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    Nats +180?

    -Jurrjens' velocity is down, something is up with him. Allowed 0 runs last outing vs Cubs but 13 baserunners in 6.1 innings.

    -Nats always play the Braves tough (6-6 this year, even better in recent seasons)

    -IMO the three day break will hurt the Braves' momentum and it might take a game or two for them to get the bats started (see Marlins, Phillies). Livan is the junkball type of pitcher that would be a nightmare for a "rusty" team to face.

    I just think +180 is a nice value here and/or Braves TT under 4.

    ....this coming from a Braves' fan that has seen most of their games this year.

    Wanted to solicit some thoughts before I made a decision.

  2. #2
    thekidrounder
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    Nats strugglin scorin but still playin tough and hitting (16 hits in 5-4 loss sunday 14ish lob), lost a heartbreaker in 14 to cinn on sun, agree with all your points but would shy away from TT under 4 livan us a gascan, but watchin the mets florida game yesterday announcers were saying how coming back from 3 day break facing a junker (dickey) is alot harder than facing a fast ball pitcher (timing ect, not that they know anything but valid point nonetheless). Like the value here and sf not pressuring atl into must win situations I can see atl starting slow here as well. BOL

  3. #3
    Avenger
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    How about over?

  4. #4
    thebestthereis
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    when betting this time of year make sure you calculate the choke factor. teams that need to win are tight and those that don't play with no pressure, much easier. be careful of big favorites based on stats or must win games. this line should not be -200 and the nats will win a game in atlanta this series. good luck!

  5. #5
    Coming Back!
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    Nats suck bro, I don't care if it was +280. They just suck. If they win, it's a fluke

  6. #6
    thebestthereis
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coming Back! View Post
    Nats suck bro, I don't care if it was +280. They just suck. If they win, it's a fluke
    100% agree and more if I could find more % somewhere. my point is the braves will choke like most teams do down the stretch when it matters and they need wins. laying -200 now is a major mistake more then ever. fyi, i don't care if it was +2800

  7. #7
    BennyFang
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    Quote Originally Posted by thekidrounder View Post
    Nats strugglin scorin but still playin tough and hitting (16 hits in 5-4 loss sunday 14ish lob), lost a heartbreaker in 14 to cinn on sun, agree with all your points but would shy away from TT under 4 livan us a gascan, but watchin the mets florida game yesterday announcers were saying how coming back from 3 day break facing a junker (dickey) is alot harder than facing a fast ball pitcher (timing ect, not that they know anything but valid point nonetheless). Like the value here and sf not pressuring atl into must win situations I can see atl starting slow here as well. BOL
    Didn't know the Mets' announcers mentioned the same thing.....not that they would know much!

  8. #8
    PD77
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    I like the Braves at home. Too much chalk for me though. Although the Nats play the Braves tough, the Braves basically had the equivalent of an All-Star break for Irene. I say the rest does them good and they light Livan up, at least by the second trip through the batting order he makes his exit. On the road this game is a different story.
    Braves 9 Nats 3.

  9. #9
    JMUplayer
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    I've been fading Jurrjens the whole 2nd half of the year.... he and Tomlin (Clev) have been gold to me

  10. #10
    BennyFang
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    Well I took Nats, Marlins, Tigers early....BOL!

  11. #11
    BIGDAY
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    On ATL RL @+110. I see a 5-2 ATL win. GL

  12. #12
    Dukebluejms
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    Nats or no play really. Braves at -190 is crazy. They've always struggled with Livan and JJ has struggled vs the Nats. Thinking about hitting thee under 9 pretty hard though.

  13. #13
    MrShrink
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dukebluejms View Post
    Nats or no play really. Braves at -190 is crazy. They've always struggled with Livan and JJ has struggled vs the Nats. Thinking about hitting thee under 9 pretty hard though.
    yeah.. and wind coming in from right @ 8 mph

  14. #14
    Dukebluejms
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrShrink View Post

    yeah.. and wind coming in from right @ 8 mph
    A lot of lefties for the Bravos...

  15. #15
    lakerboy
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    great call

  16. #16
    BennyFang
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    Thanks buddy....BOL

  17. #17
    Monchito
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    Gratz!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  18. #18
    PD77
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    Nice call. Looks like you had a pretty good night!

  19. #19
    BennyFang
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    Quote Originally Posted by PD77 View Post
    Nice call. Looks like you had a pretty good night!
    Thanks...well 3-0 early, have Cubs, Dodgers, Rox late.

  20. #20
    hankcream
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    Nice job

  21. #21
    face
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyFang View Post

    Didn't know the Mets' announcers mentioned the same thing.....not that they would know much!
    keith hernandez and ron darling were famous players, world series champions. they say all kinds of good stuff. great call on the nats man.

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